What Clinton should do when this is over.
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  What Clinton should do when this is over.
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Author Topic: What Clinton should do when this is over.  (Read 3694 times)
Panda Express
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« Reply #50 on: March 27, 2016, 01:32:31 AM »
« edited: March 27, 2016, 01:45:19 AM by Vox Populi »

I have NY as a tie-- 51-49 Clinton win.

In any case, one more data point, for the "Beet needs xanax" crowd Tongue :




1. Cash out
2. Use that money and book a flight to Tahiti or something. You obviously could use it.
3. Relax and sip Piņa coladas for a couple weeks. Don't pay attention to politics.
4. When you return, you can see Hillary stomping Bernie in New York with like 57%
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Lyin' Steve
SteveMcQueen
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« Reply #51 on: March 27, 2016, 01:41:59 AM »

When this is over Clinton should:
1)  Pour a nice glass of 24-year-old scotch
2)  Read the red book
3)  Call Russia and say "I'm back, cool your jets"
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Lyin' Steve
SteveMcQueen
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« Reply #52 on: March 27, 2016, 03:26:30 AM »

Bernie is going to win Wisconsin and Wyoming too.
Maybe just block Atlas until 4/19?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #53 on: March 27, 2016, 03:41:03 AM »

Beet, for the love of god, do not look at the Hawaii results! We care about your well-being, man.
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #54 on: March 27, 2016, 03:41:21 AM »

Many of you are too new to know this, but Beet goes through this roughly every four years.  It's quite entertaining, and of course is always completely wrong in the end.

Not quite the same thing, but my favorite Beetism was when I was posting news stories about possible 2012 GOP presidential candidates back in 2010, and Beet said that he was confused about why I was bothering, since it was obvious that Palin was going to be the nominee.


Mine was in 2010 when he said Christine O'Donnell was going to win the Delaware Senate race.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #55 on: March 27, 2016, 03:50:38 AM »

Many of you are too new to know this, but Beet goes through this roughly every four years.  It's quite entertaining, and of course is always completely wrong in the end.

Based on this, we should just project Hillary as presumptive nominee.
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Edu
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« Reply #56 on: March 27, 2016, 04:19:06 AM »













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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #57 on: March 27, 2016, 04:26:00 AM »

Fiddling with the sliders:

WI 52-34
WY 11-3
IN 67-16
WV 24-5
KY 44-11
OR 51-10
ND 14-4
SD 16-4
MT 15-6

With splits in NY, CT, MD, PA, RI, DE, CA, NJ and NM

Give Sanders the victory here. This is the balance point for those trying to calculate things out.
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BRTD
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« Reply #58 on: March 27, 2016, 10:09:21 AM »

Once the general election starts if Hillary has a double digit lead on Trump Beet will probably be raving about how Trump is going to win >350 EVs.
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tmcusa2
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« Reply #59 on: March 27, 2016, 10:36:42 AM »

I think Sanders needs to start convincing super delegates to commit to him or switch to him. Clinton probably needs at least 100-200 super delegates. That would mean more than 1/2 of those already committed to her would have to switch and all the uncommitteds as well, if Sanders closes the gaps and loses pledgeds by 200. In other words if he breaks even with future elected delegates, Clinton has the lead and would need much less than 1/2 of the supers.
He can still win the pledged delegates, I think he has a shot at states like Maryland and Delaware if rises a lot in the next month. I still wouldn't underestimate his strength.
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tmcusa2
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« Reply #60 on: March 27, 2016, 10:39:49 AM »

I think that it is safe to say that the POTUS in 2017 will be either Clinton or Sanders. Trump is too unpopular and unstable. Cruz is too unpopular and way too conservative. A 1964 election, while not necessarily likely, is more plausible than a GOP win this year.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #61 on: March 27, 2016, 10:41:14 AM »

A 1964 election, while not necessarily likely, is more plausible than a GOP win this year.

Haha, good one.
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tmcusa2
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« Reply #62 on: March 27, 2016, 10:42:46 AM »

A 1964 election, while not necessarily likely, is more plausible than a GOP win this year.

Haha, good one.
One word response: Utah.
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cxs018
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« Reply #63 on: March 27, 2016, 10:44:30 AM »

A 1964 election, while not necessarily likely, is more plausible than a GOP win this year.

Haha, good one.
One word response: Utah.

Two word response: Junk poll.
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dspNY
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« Reply #64 on: March 27, 2016, 11:00:24 AM »

Beet, I have two words for you that should calm you down: Closed primaries.

Hillary wins registered Democrats by wide margins almost everywhere in primaries

She won FL by 32
She won registered Dems in Ohio by 29
She won registered Dems in Michigan by 16
She won AZ by 17

Pennsylvania looks a lot like OH and NY looks a lot like FL
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Xing
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« Reply #65 on: March 27, 2016, 11:01:28 AM »

A 1964 election, while not necessarily likely, is more plausible than a GOP win this year.

Haha, good one.
One word response: Utah.

Six word response: Early general election polls are useless.

Does that apply to early polls showing Republicans winning PA? Wink
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Ebsy
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« Reply #66 on: March 27, 2016, 12:17:19 PM »

Fiddling with the sliders:

WI 52-34
WY 11-3
IN 67-16
WV 24-5
KY 44-11
OR 51-10
ND 14-4
SD 16-4
MT 15-6

With splits in NY, CT, MD, PA, RI, DE, CA, NJ and NM

Give Sanders the victory here. This is the balance point for those trying to calculate things out.
These sort of victories seem extremely unlikely in primaries.
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #67 on: March 27, 2016, 12:27:06 PM »

1. Give a speech thanking her supporters, and say something vague like she hopes we can continue to build on President Obama's achievements in the November election, but do not endorse Senator Sanders. Do not get too emotional during this speech.

2. Tell her supporters, friends and allies not to insult Senator Sanders.

3. Say that she's not closing her campaign until the Convention, and that she will insist that her delegates vote for her on the first ballot.

4. After this, retire from public life. If you speak at the convention, make your remarks very brief and focus on history and women's rights. Do not campaign for Senator Sanders like you did for Obama.

Have you sent your thoughts to Hillary's personal email account yet?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #68 on: March 27, 2016, 12:27:38 PM »

WOMEN HAVE FINALLY BROKE GLASS CEILING, but she should save that for convention, when Pelosi will be there and giving her remarks.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #69 on: March 27, 2016, 12:52:20 PM »


Okay, fair enough, thanks for posting it. But these are quite silly predictions. Sanders winning NY? Winning NJ by 12? Winning WI/PA/IN/CA by nearly 20 points? Winning Puerto Rico by nearly 30 points?!

And even if this extremely pessimistic and ludicrous prediction came to pass, he'd win by a scant 37 delegates. How exactly is that worth a full scale meltdown about how she might as well drop out now because she has no chance?

What about the superdelegates?
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cxs018
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« Reply #70 on: March 27, 2016, 01:36:56 PM »

WOMEN HAVE FINALLY BROKE GLASS CEILING, but she should save that for convention, when Pelosi will be there and giving her remarks.

I... what?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #71 on: March 27, 2016, 02:37:02 PM »

Fiddling with the sliders:

WI 52-34
WY 11-3
IN 67-16
WV 24-5
KY 44-11
OR 51-10
ND 14-4
SD 16-4
MT 15-6

With splits in NY, CT, MD, PA, RI, DE, CA, NJ and NM

Give Sanders the victory here. This is the balance point for those trying to calculate things out.

Yeah, winning Indiana by 60 points will be no problem for Bernie. LOL. This is even worse than Beet's predictions.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #72 on: March 27, 2016, 03:16:18 PM »

WOMEN HAVE FINALLY BROKE GLASS CEILING, but she should save that for convention, when Pelosi will be there and giving her remarks.

At last some sanity in this thread.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #73 on: March 27, 2016, 06:43:32 PM »


Dunno if you're serious or not, but I have seen this stated by others, and it's not true.  Dan Jones is actually the gold standard of Utah polling.  They are very reliable, solid methodology and great track record.  Anyone who doesn't take them seriously does so at their own peril.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #74 on: March 27, 2016, 06:45:17 PM »


Dunno if you're serious or not, but I have seen this stated by others, and it's not true.  Dan Jones is actually the gold standard of Utah polling.  They are very reliable, solid methodology and great track record.  Anyone who doesn't take them seriously does so at their own peril.

They had Sanders winning the caucus by 8 and Cruz by 23. lol
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