538 publishes first 50-state primary prediction (based solely on demographics) (user search)
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  538 publishes first 50-state primary prediction (based solely on demographics) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 publishes first 50-state primary prediction (based solely on demographics)  (Read 2962 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,732
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« on: March 15, 2016, 01:16:24 PM »
« edited: March 15, 2016, 01:27:02 PM by Thinking Crumpets Crumpet »

From this article: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-bernie-sanders-pull-off-an-upset-in-ohio/?ex_cid=538fb

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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,732
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2016, 01:27:25 PM »


Changed Smiley
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,732
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2016, 02:31:26 PM »

Their Missouri prediction is pretty narrow, something like 51-49. If Sanders wins by a point there, I don't think it would be reason to throw this completely out the window if the other numbers are reasonably consistent.
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