2016 Congressional Primaries
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Author Topic: 2016 Congressional Primaries  (Read 73421 times)
Heisenberg
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« Reply #1150 on: September 13, 2016, 08:32:25 PM »

With 32.1% in, Lawrence is up 38.2% against Flanagan (29.4%), up by 875 votes. I hope Flanagan wins, but it won't even matter in the end.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1151 on: September 13, 2016, 08:35:16 PM »

Some winners:

DE-GOV R: Bonini
DE-AL D: Rochester
RI-1 D: Cicilline
RI-2 D: Langevin
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1152 on: September 13, 2016, 08:37:21 PM »

NH-01 has tightened. Ashooh now down by only 38 votes!
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1153 on: September 13, 2016, 08:40:12 PM »

Sununu back in the lead!
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Xing
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« Reply #1154 on: September 13, 2016, 08:46:36 PM »

And now Edelblut is in the lead again. This is much closer than I would have imagined.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1155 on: September 13, 2016, 08:54:10 PM »


Heisenberg, how would you rate a Sununu vs. Van Ostern and an Edelblut vs. Van Ostern race?
Edelblut vs. Van Ostern is Safe D. Edelblut is too extreme, and if he wins, it would be due to Sununu and Gatsas splitting the establishment vote (with Sununu representing the "Kasich" wing and Gatsas being the "Rubio" wing, for lack of better comparison). Sununu vs. Van Ostern is Likely D. Yes, New Hampshire is very Democratic, but the Sununu name might be an asset. Most New Hampshire voters already know who Sununu is, and he is to the left of his father and brother. However, he faces the massive headwinds of having both Climbing Maggie and Hillary Clinton on the ballot, as well as Carol Shea Porter or Annie Kuster (depending on the district). If he somehow pulls it off, he'll probably be the last Republican governor of New Hampshire for a LONG time, maybe even forever.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1156 on: September 13, 2016, 08:55:21 PM »

Yuck, Lawrence has surged even further past Flanagan in NH-02, and at this point, I think he'll get the green checkmark any minute now. Oh well, it's not like Republicans even had a chance here.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1157 on: September 13, 2016, 08:56:49 PM »

Looking at the county results, it seems to me that Edelblut is now favored, especially with 58% of the vote in Hillsborough County (where Edelblut is leading Sununu by 7 points right now) still outstanding. Ugh, RIP NH GOP.
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« Reply #1158 on: September 13, 2016, 09:02:11 PM »

I still can't believe that Sununu is (potentially) blowing this. I thought he would run away with this race.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #1159 on: September 13, 2016, 09:05:35 PM »

Interesting their was a from late May that had Chris Sununu at 44% and Frank Edelblut at literally 0%.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #1160 on: September 13, 2016, 09:07:00 PM »

Sununu back on top 17542-17483
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #1161 on: September 13, 2016, 09:08:48 PM »

Is "New Hampshire is the new Vermont" the successor to the angry nh women meme?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1162 on: September 13, 2016, 09:10:44 PM »

I hope Guinta goes down. Hopefully, damn both that race and the Republican governor primary are super close. Sununu no longer a household name in New Hampshire politics?
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1163 on: September 13, 2016, 09:12:31 PM »

I hope Guinta goes down. Hopefully, damn both that race and the Republican governor primary are super close. Sununu no longer a household name in New Hampshire politics?
There are other candidates, each with their bases. Comparing it to a presidential primary, I think:
Sununu = Kasich
Gatsas = Rubio
Edelblut = Paul
Forrester = Cruz
Is that a valid comparison?
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #1164 on: September 13, 2016, 09:12:39 PM »

I hope Guinta goes down. Hopefully, damn both that race and the Republican governor primary are super close. Sununu no longer a household name in New Hampshire politics?
It still is, probably the only reason someone who restored funding for planned parenthood is even competitive in a republican primary
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1165 on: September 13, 2016, 09:22:26 PM »

Guinta up by 450 votes.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1166 on: September 13, 2016, 09:23:37 PM »

In NY AD133, Republicans are about to nominate Bill Nojay. He died last week.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1167 on: September 13, 2016, 09:28:07 PM »
« Edited: September 13, 2016, 09:29:42 PM by AKCreative »

Politico and AP called the NH-2 GOP race for Lawrence.

Sununu is starting to pull away in Gov race.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1168 on: September 13, 2016, 09:30:00 PM »

Sununu now up by 1087 votes.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1169 on: September 13, 2016, 09:31:52 PM »

Sununu lead over 1k votes now. Close to 70% in. However, we still have half of Hillsborough out, where Sununu is in 3rd place.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1170 on: September 13, 2016, 09:32:12 PM »

Guinta ahead by over 600 votes now with 73% in,  it'll be tough to catch him now.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1171 on: September 13, 2016, 09:33:41 PM »

Guinta ahead by over 600 votes now with 73% in,  it'll be tough to catch him now.
D+1.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #1172 on: September 13, 2016, 09:33:53 PM »

Sununu lead over 1k votes now. Close to 70% in. However, we still have half of Hillsborough out, where Sununu is in 3rd place.
But all of Manchester is in, so most of the remaining votes will be between Sununu and Edelblut
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1173 on: September 13, 2016, 09:35:10 PM »

Guinta 700 vote lead,  75.2% in
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #1174 on: September 13, 2016, 09:36:09 PM »

It means little more than engagement and enthusiasm but I'm sure Heisenberg and TnVolunteer will be delighted to know the GOP is crushing the dems in turnout
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