MO- Fort Hayes University: TRUMP and Clinton with small leads

[Landslide Lyndon]

http://www.columbiatribune.com/news/politics/elections/clinton-trump-hold-narrow-leads-in-missouri-primary-poll/article_d2fbeb1d-f075-500b-800b-0578c70cc32a.html

Clinton            47
Sanders          40


Trump             36
Cruz                29
Rubio               9
Kasich              8


Beware of YUUUUGE MoE. It's 7-8%.

[RI]

Ah yes, the school that had Trump and Clinton ahead in Kansas.

[IceSpear]

Ah yes, the school that had Trump and Clinton ahead in Kansas.

Wow, I didn't realize it was the same. And I was just about to take this poll seriously too. Dodged a bullet there.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Why do people think Sanders will win MO? It's Southern enough that Clinton will win it quite handily. I expect her to win the Black vote by the same margin as in NC.

Missouri is far less black than your average southern state, and the white vote could go either way. I don't entirely understand why, but I've always felt good about Bernie's chances in the state.

[RJEvans]

Why do people think Sanders will win MO? It's Southern enough that Clinton will win it quite handily. I expect her to win the Black vote by the same margin as in NC.

Missouri is far less black than your average southern state, and the white vote could go either way. I don't entirely understand why, but I've always felt good about Bernie's chances in the state.

She did lose the state in 2008 by 2 points. Wouldn't be surprised if she loses by 5 or wins by 5.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Half of this poll was taken before Bernie's dominating Michigan Miracle and the fine whuppin he laid at the debate.

GREAT NEWS!

[Xing]

MO is a cross-section of the Plains, the South, and the Midwest. It's winnable for Sanders because it has a relatively small black population, a decent number of white working class voters, and, most importantly, he's actually trying to win there. He did better in Northern Arkansas than the rest of the state, and he really didn't try to win AR.

[Crumpets]

Half of this poll was taken before Bernie's dominating Michigan Miracle and the fine whuppin he laid at the debate.

GREAT NEWS!

What makes you so convinced that the Michigan result will have such a profound impact elsewhere? Most polls have shown the vast majority of voters deciding at least a few weeks before election day, and it's not like the remaining undecided were up all night on Tuesday pinning their vote on whoever won Michigan while completely ignoring the rest of the election. Not to mention the analysis that says that Sanders was helped in Michigan specifically because people were starting to see this as a non-competitive election as a whole. I don't know if Clinton will win Missouri, although I think she has a better than 50/50 shot, but Michigan will not have been the determining factor either way.

[Likely Voter]

I've always thought MO is Sanders best chance for a win followed by OH. But in both cases the delegates will be close to even. I think closing the gaps in IL, NC and FL is more important. Sanders can't let Clinton get anymore lopsided delegate hauls in medium and big states.   

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Half of this poll was taken before Bernie's dominating Michigan Miracle and the fine whuppin he laid at the debate.

GREAT NEWS!

What makes you so convinced that the Michigan result will have such a profound impact elsewhere? Most polls have shown the vast majority of voters deciding at least a few weeks before election day, and it's not like the remaining undecided were up all night on Tuesday pinning their vote on whoever won Michigan while completely ignoring the rest of the election. Not to mention the analysis that says that Sanders was helped in Michigan specifically because people were starting to see this as a non-competitive election as a whole. I don't know if Clinton will win Missouri, although I think she has a better than 50/50 shot, but Michigan will not have been the determining factor either way.

In MO... it's all about the MO!  Woot!

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Based on their Kansas polling.... this must mean Sanders and Cruz are ahead.

[mds32]

From this it looks like Cruz and Sanders have Missouri then lol

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Based on their Kansas polling.... this must mean Sanders and Cruz are ahead.

[Ebsy]

This poll was paid for by the newspapers of the state, so I hope they didn't waste their money on junk.

[DrScholl]

Sanders has a lot of angry white voters who hate Obama on lock, so he could win.

[Xing]

Based on their Kansas polling.... this must mean Sanders and Cruz are ahead.

If we base this off of the Kansas polling, Sanders will win by 38, lol.