FL-Mason Dixon: Hillary close to 70%

[Tender Branson]

68% Hillary
23% Bernie

http://www.theledger.com/article/20160310/POLITICS/160319958

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Never have I seen a junker poll than this

[Holmes]

Never have I seen a junker poll than this

A 40% margin would not be crazy. It's a closed primary, Florida is Southern in the panhandle, and Sanders didn't take back praise of Fidel Castro so that'll hurt in South Florida, not that he was going to do well there to begin with.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I'm refusing to believe any positive polling for Hillary - just so I can hopefully be happy on Tuesday lol

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hopefully it's as bad as their January Minnesota poll that had Hillary up 34 points. Bernie's margin was a mere 57 points better than that.

[Tender Branson]

Hopefully it's as bad as their January Minnesota poll that had Hillary up 34 points. Bernie's margin was a mere 57 points better than that.

Yeah, but MN and FL are two pair of shoes.

There's nothing to suggest that Bernie will outperform the polls in FL ... It has a closed primary and is full of minorities and old, senile women who remember the 90s and who think Bill is sitting next to them and holding their hand/has his hand under their skirts. And FL also has no young people (except the ones from others states on spring break).

Bottom line: FL is no country for Bernie.

[Holmes]

Wasn't that Minnesota poll just adults? Either way, Mason-Dixon does suck, yeah. I remember when it was Chuck Todd's favorite pollster back in the day.

And don't talk about putting hands up old women's skirts Tender, you gross pervert.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Caucus polls also showed TRUMP winning in Kansas, so comparing them to primary polls is intellectually disingenuous.
But then again it's jfern we are talking about.

[MaxQue]

Wasn't that Minnesota poll just adults? Either way, Mason-Dixon does suck, yeah. I remember when it was Chuck Todd's favorite pollster back in the day.

And don't talk about putting hands up old women's skirts Tender, you gross pervert.

Well, it WAS excellent in the past, THE pollster of Florida and a few Southern states. They messed up 2008 due to a too tight likely voter screen and since then, it's a disaster.

Given they stopped polling Virginia in 2012 because "Romney had it in the bag", I suspect the issues aren't methodological, but ideological.

[Eraserhead]

Bernie is gonna need some more miracles.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I think Tuesday will be an important step to see if MI was a fluke or a trend.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Mason-Dixon 2012; Election's IN THE BAG! for Mittens! 

JUNK POLL!

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Mason-Dixon 2012; Election's IN THE BAG! for Mittens! 

JUNK POLL!

I thought that was Suffolk...

[Phony Moderate]

About a 53-47 win for Hillary then.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Mason-Dixon 2012; Election's IN THE BAG! for Mittens! 

JUNK POLL!

I thought that was Suffolk...

Former good pollster M-D had Mittens up everywhere.  VA, FL, OH I think.  Total junk pollster.  

[Wiz in Wis]

Hopefully it's as bad as their January Minnesota poll that had Hillary up 34 points. Bernie's margin was a mere 57 points better than that.

Yeah, but MN and FL are two pair of shoes.

There's nothing to suggest that Bernie will outperform the polls in FL ... It has a closed primary and is full of minorities and old, senile women who remember the 90s and who think Bill is sitting next to them and holding their hand/has his hand under their skirts. And FL also has no young people (except the ones from others states on spring break).

Bottom line: FL is no country for Bernie.

I think you meant to say "fewer naive suckers"

[DrScholl]

Clinton is going to win in a rout here. Sanders does not perform well with self-identified Democrats which means he's going to perform terrible in a closed primary. He doesn't have independents to rescue him.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

While it's possible, I don't think it's exactly a great comparison to expect the same sort of blowout here as in the rest of the non-Oklahoma south. This is the first time that Sanders is actually, truly campaigning in a southern state aside from Oklahoma (I don't count SC since his very public concession days before the primary undid any previous efforts to do well). That, coupled with his great debate performance, might push Hillary under 60.