Sabato projection and 538 benchmarks are further reason why I don't think this is a 30-40 point Clinton race.
Very true, but I don't think that Michigan and Illinois are as similar as say, Michigan and Ohio. Chicago is far more vital for Illinois, and the machine in that city is totally behind Hillary. Also, Illinois has never been as dependent on manufacturing for it's economy, and the suburbs around Chicago tend to be richer than the ones around Detroit and Cleveland. Hillary grew up there as well.
Not expecting a blow out, but 15 points wouldn't be surprising either.
