New Hampshire poll (WMUR)- Trump gets annihilated
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  New Hampshire poll (WMUR)- Trump gets annihilated
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Author Topic: New Hampshire poll (WMUR)- Trump gets annihilated  (Read 2172 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: March 01, 2016, 04:19:05 PM »
« edited: March 01, 2016, 04:36:03 PM by TN volunteer »

Or should I say New Vermont?

Sanders 55, Trump 34
Clinton 47, Trump 39

Sanders 54, Rubio 35
Clinton 45, Rubio 43

Sanders 60, Cruz 28 (LOL)
Clinton 46, Cruz 35

Sanders 48, Kasich 40
Kasich 47, Clinton 37

http://www.wmur.com/politics/wmur-poll-in-general-election-matchups-new-hampshire-still-feels-the-bern/38257714
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2016, 04:19:49 PM »

Junk Poll!
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I Will Not Be Wrong
outofbox6
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« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2016, 04:20:18 PM »

Numbers look right to me.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: March 01, 2016, 04:26:42 PM »

B-b-b-but muh elastic, libertarian, swingy, moderate NH!!!!111!!

#NHMoreLikelyToVoteGOPThanPA

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Uh, doesn't this kind of prove the elastic point?
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Skye
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« Reply #4 on: March 01, 2016, 04:27:40 PM »

B-b-b-but muh elastic, libertarian, swingy, moderate NH!!!!111!!

#NHMoreLikelyToVoteGOPThanPA
Isn't Kasich leading Hillary by 10? Anyway, Trump is unlikely to win here. There, I said it.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #5 on: March 01, 2016, 04:37:07 PM »

B-b-b-but muh elastic, libertarian, swingy, moderate NH!!!!111!!

#NHMoreLikelyToVoteGOPThanPA

I really like you as a poster and a contributor but you have a really compulsive and weird fetish with the whole NH gig. Not that I think NH is voting red come November or anything.. just curious what makes you so interested or convinced on this topic.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: March 01, 2016, 04:40:47 PM »

Likely D
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standwrand
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« Reply #7 on: March 01, 2016, 04:51:14 PM »

"But Trump is going to win NH because moderates!!"
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: March 01, 2016, 04:51:53 PM »

Clinton's numbers are not great.
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Skye
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« Reply #9 on: March 01, 2016, 04:52:15 PM »

B-b-b-but muh elastic, libertarian, swingy, moderate NH!!!!111!!

#NHMoreLikelyToVoteGOPThanPA

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Uh, doesn't this kind of prove the elastic point?

Not really. Romney was also "leading" Obama by double digits in NH in late 2011/early 2012. NH polls are always skewed toward Republicans. There is a certain group of fake Independents who always consider voting for a moderate Republican early in the race but in the end all the Democratic candidate needs to scream is "abortion!", "womens' rights!" and "Supreme Court!" and NH becomes solid D again. Kasich would get crushed in NH in the general, at least he'd lose it by the same margin as Romney. If the Republicans are so obsessed with trying to win a solid blue state, then why not compete in Illinois? It is much more likely to flip than NH and also has much more electoral votes.
There is nothing solid in winning with 52%. Plus, Scott Brown never really led in polls until very late in the campaign, and even then, the average always gave Shaheen the lead.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #10 on: March 01, 2016, 04:53:23 PM »

WMUR is trash until the day before the election and is prone to wild swings. Let's just wait and see, gents.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #11 on: March 01, 2016, 04:56:40 PM »

B-b-b-but muh elastic, libertarian, swingy, moderate NH!!!!111!!

#NHMoreLikelyToVoteGOPThanPA
Isn't Kasich leading Hillary by 10? Anyway, Trump is unlikely to win here. There, I said it.

Kasich is much less repugnant to most Democrats than are the Republican candidates for the Presidency still in it. This may be reflected in polling in which people respond in a way in which they emphatically say that Trump, Cruz, and Rubio are awful. Is he relevant? Maybe not.

Kasich is more like Republicans running for the Presidency in recent elections (Romney, McCain, Dubya, Dole, and the elder Bush) than like the current ones. But that may say much about the GOP in 2016. The stilettos are already out this year -- and I do not mean stiletto heels on women's shoes.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #12 on: March 01, 2016, 05:10:02 PM »

As usual, there's a yuge gender gap in NH:

Women 59-27 Clinton
Men: 53-35 Trump
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: March 01, 2016, 05:21:45 PM »

B-b-b-but muh elastic, libertarian, swingy, moderate NH!!!!111!!

#NHMoreLikelyToVoteGOPThanPA

Quote
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Uh, doesn't this kind of prove the elastic point?

Not really. Romney was also "leading" Obama by double digits in NH in late 2011/early 2012. NH polls are always skewed toward Republicans. There is a certain group of fake Independents who always consider voting for a moderate Republican early in the race but in the end all the Democratic candidate needs to scream is "abortion!", "womens' rights!" and "Supreme Court!" and NH becomes solid D again. Kasich would get crushed in NH in the general, at least he'd lose it by the same margin as Romney. If the Republicans are so obsessed with trying to win a solid blue state, then why not compete in Illinois? It is much more likely to flip than NH and also has much more electoral votes.

Okay, fine. Now explain why Hillary and Fiorina did terribly.
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jfern
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« Reply #14 on: March 01, 2016, 05:43:44 PM »

Sanders 60, Cruz 28 (LOL)
Clinton 46, Cruz 35

That 21 point difference is similar to the CNN national poll, which has an 18 point difference.
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