Massachusetts primary bellwether counties
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Author Topic: Massachusetts primary bellwether counties  (Read 502 times)
Nym90
nym90
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E: -5.55, S: -2.96

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« on: March 01, 2016, 11:42:10 AM »
Dems--

Barnstable
Berkshire
Bristol
Essex
Hampden
Middlesex
Norfolk
Plymouth
Worcester

GOP--

Barnstable
Bristol
Dukes
Essex
Hampden
Middlesex
Nantucket
Norfolk
Plymouth
Worcester
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2016, 12:13:49 PM »
Two-thirds of the counties in a state cannot all be bellwethers.
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Nym90
nym90
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Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

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« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2016, 04:14:50 PM »
Quote from: Bow all your heads to our adored Mary Katherine. on March 01, 2016, 12:13:49 PM
Two-thirds of the counties in a state cannot all be bellwethers.

Agreed. We only have data on the Atlas since 1992, so I'm going off of that in compiling these lists. If anyone has older data, please extend these lists backwards.
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RI
realisticidealist
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E: 0.39, S: 2.61

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« Reply #3 on: March 01, 2016, 04:47:13 PM »
Extending back to 1972:

Dems: Bristol, Essex, Hampden, Plymouth, Norfolk, Worcester

GOP: Barnstable, Essex, Hampden, Nantucket, Norfolk
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sportydude
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« Reply #4 on: March 01, 2016, 05:18:02 PM »
What do all these bellwether counties refer to?
To the state's winner or to the presidential nominee?
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Nym90
nym90
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Posts: 16,260
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Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

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« Reply #5 on: March 01, 2016, 05:22:38 PM »
Quote from: sportydude on March 01, 2016, 05:18:02 PM
What do all these bellwether counties refer to?
To the state's winner or to the presidential nominee?

State's winner.
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