Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 44260 times)
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cxs018
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« Reply #550 on: March 01, 2016, 11:29:56 PM »

Thank you Massholes! No way this can be spun as anything other than an amazing night for Hillary now.

Bernie got 4 wins, and should shut Hillary out of delegates in Vermont.

Pledged yes, supers no.

Ah, yes. The Superdelegate Defense. Basically implying that if Clinton doesn't win the nomination democratically, she'll win it undemocratically.

Dude, she's gonna be up ~250 pledged after tonight. That's basically insurmountable in a proportional system. Might need to update those talking points.

I'd argue that anybody who still talks about superdelegates needs to update their own talking points first.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #551 on: March 01, 2016, 11:30:07 PM »

NBC also calls MN for Sanders
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #552 on: March 01, 2016, 11:30:13 PM »

CNN - BERNIE WINS MINNESOTA
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tmcusa2
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« Reply #553 on: March 01, 2016, 11:30:36 PM »

Fox News projects Sanders wins Minnesota.
MSNBC also. FOUR STATES FOR SANDERS THE GREAT! Great!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #554 on: March 01, 2016, 11:30:45 PM »

Also, it looks like the theory that Sanders does much better in caucuses has finally come to pass. I wonder what made IA and NV so different.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #555 on: March 01, 2016, 11:31:13 PM »

I believe that only leaves three uncalled contests - Massachusetts (D), Vermont (R), and Alaska (R). MA is pretty obvious and I doubt Vermont will go for Kasich, but Alaska is (obviously) still unknown.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #556 on: March 01, 2016, 11:31:18 PM »

For Wolf Blitzer, every state projection is a "major projection".  I like how he also says "we're looking at this state closely."  Like there's never a contest that they're not looking at "closely".
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jfern
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« Reply #557 on: March 01, 2016, 11:32:01 PM »


It's weird how dramatically different Oklahoma is from Texas and Arkansas.  And even the neighboring Colorado county is for Hillary.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #558 on: March 01, 2016, 11:32:55 PM »


True, true. It's probably an identity thing.
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Blue3
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« Reply #559 on: March 01, 2016, 11:33:06 PM »

I believe that only leaves three uncalled contests - Massachusetts (D), Vermont (R), and Alaska (R). MA is pretty obvious and I doubt Vermont will go for Kasich, but Alaska is (obviously) still unknown.
Massachusetts was called for Hillary a while ago.

There's also American Samoa and Democrats abroad, but that's whatever.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #560 on: March 01, 2016, 11:33:27 PM »

Clinton has been consistently above 20k votes ahead of Sanders in MA.

American Samoa apparently went for Clinton, but we have no idea by how much.
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Alcon
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« Reply #561 on: March 01, 2016, 11:33:42 PM »

For Wolf Blitzer, every state projection is a "major projection".  I like how he also says "we're looking at this state closely."  Like there's never a contest that they're not looking at "closely".

It's the little things that make Wolf Blitzer so punchable.
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Frodo
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« Reply #562 on: March 01, 2016, 11:33:48 PM »

Thank you Massholes! No way this can be spun as anything other than an amazing night for Hillary now.

Bernie got 4 wins, and should shut Hillary out of delegates in Vermont.

Pledged yes, supers no.

Ah, yes. The Superdelegate Defense. Basically implying that if Clinton doesn't win the nomination democratically, she'll win it undemocratically.

How many states on the GOP side are winner-take-all?  
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Blue3
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« Reply #563 on: March 01, 2016, 11:33:56 PM »


 
Trump won:
1. Massachusetts
2. Virginia
3. Tennessee
4. Arkansas
5. Georgia
6. Alabama
 
Cruz won:
1. Texas
2. Oklahoma
 
Rubio won:
1. Minnesota
 
Undecided as of now:
1. Vermont (Trump/Kasich)
2. Alaska (early)
 
*Colorado GOP voters don't have a primary this year... sucks to be a Colorado Republican.
 
 
 
 
 
 
Hillary won:
1. Virginia
2. Arkansas
3. Texas
4. Georgia
5. Alabama
6. Tennessee
7. Massachusetts
 
Bernie won:
1. Vermont
2. Oklahoma
3. Colorado
4. Minnesota
 
Undecided as of now:
1. American Samoa (early)
2. Democrats Abroad (early?)
 
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Shadows
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« Reply #564 on: March 01, 2016, 11:34:09 PM »

Thank you Massholes! No way this can be spun as anything other than an amazing night for Hillary now.

Bernie got 4 wins, and should shut Hillary out of delegates in Vermont.

Pledged yes, supers no.

Ah, yes. The Superdelegate Defense. Basically implying that if Clinton doesn't win the nomination democratically, she'll win it undemocratically.

Dude, she's gonna be up ~250 pledged after tonight. That's basically insurmountable in a proportional system. Might need to update those talking points.

Probably less than 200 with MN & CO. Gettable as California alone has round 500, NY & PA has huge delegates. He will sweep states after March 15th.

Ofcourse it is tough for him to win CA, PA or NY, this thing wouldn't be easy & he is a big under-dog.

But after loosing MA, this is a good result, I was not sure about Co, OK or MN - He won all 3 & got above 85% in VT, which is okay.

This stretch was going to be disaster.
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cxs018
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« Reply #565 on: March 01, 2016, 11:34:38 PM »

Thank you Massholes! No way this can be spun as anything other than an amazing night for Hillary now.

Bernie got 4 wins, and should shut Hillary out of delegates in Vermont.

Pledged yes, supers no.

Ah, yes. The Superdelegate Defense. Basically implying that if Clinton doesn't win the nomination democratically, she'll win it undemocratically.

How many states on the GOP side are winner-take-all?  

Don't change the subject. I never praised the GOP system once, so instead of changing the subject to something completely irrelevant, let's talk about superdelegates, shall we?
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Skye
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« Reply #566 on: March 01, 2016, 11:34:41 PM »

Hillary wins Cambridge, MA, with 53.3%
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #567 on: March 01, 2016, 11:34:54 PM »

CNN - CLINTON WINS MASSACHUSETTS

Finally.
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Panhandle Progressive
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« Reply #568 on: March 01, 2016, 11:35:35 PM »

Steve Kornacki just said on MSNBC that Hillary will have a total delegate count of roughly 1066 after the full count tonight of the 2383 she needs to capture the nomination. SWEET!
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cinyc
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« Reply #569 on: March 01, 2016, 11:35:46 PM »

Clinton has been consistently above 20k votes ahead of Sanders in MA.

American Samoa apparently went for Clinton, but we have no idea by how much.

We have known exactly by exactly how much since around 7:55PM when the AS Dems posted the results to their Facebook page:

Final Results:

Hillary: 73% - 4 Delegates
Sanders: 27% - 2 Delegates

Raw Vote:

Hillary - 162 (68.35%)
Bernie - 61 (25.74%)
Rocky - 14 (5.91%)

https://www.facebook.com/asdems
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #570 on: March 01, 2016, 11:36:05 PM »

Great night for the presumptive nominees!
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Clarko95 📚💰📈
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« Reply #571 on: March 01, 2016, 11:36:07 PM »

Thank you Massholes! No way this can be spun as anything other than an amazing night for Hillary now.

Bernie got 4 wins, and should shut Hillary out of delegates in Vermont.

Pledged yes, supers no.

Ah, yes. The Superdelegate Defense. Basically implying that if Clinton doesn't win the nomination democratically, she'll win it undemocratically.

Dude, she's gonna be up ~250 pledged after tonight. That's basically insurmountable in a proportional system. Might need to update those talking points.

I'd argue that anybody who still talks about superdelegates needs to update their own talking points first.

Uh, in the 2008 primaries Hillary won over 300,000 more votes than Obama, but he still won because of superdelegates.

I agree that they are unnecessary, but they do matter and it's not some kind of anti-Sanders/pro-Hillary "anti-democracy" conspiracy.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #572 on: March 01, 2016, 11:36:10 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2016, 11:40:32 PM by Nichlemn »

Sanders' nomination odds on PredictWise have been at 4% all day. This makes me suspect that the actual votes don't matter very much at this point, his chance of beating Clinton in a regular contest is basically zero. Almost all of his nomination probability is tied up in the chance something happens to Clinton (most likely an indictment, but there other outside events, like if she suddenly dies).
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Skye
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« Reply #573 on: March 01, 2016, 11:36:17 PM »

Weird, the NYT is showing a Sanders win in MA.
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Shadows
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« Reply #574 on: March 01, 2016, 11:36:22 PM »

It's official IMO MA is Hillary.

Amherst went to Bernie 2/1, gap is now 2.4%, But Hillary still ahead by around 25K. Bosten & Newtown alone can gave 28K odd to Hillary. Really strong strategy
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