Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)

[RI]

are we getting a county map from minnesota?

We will eventually

[cinyc]

Any ideas what will happen in Alaska?

Trump probably wins.  I think Trump will clean up in the Mat-Su Valley (exurban Anchorage), the Republican heart of Alaska and home to Sarah Palin.  Rubio will run best in the state capital, Juneau.  Anchorage will vote more or less in line with the state.

But who knows, really?  Cruz could upset there if all the stars are aligned correctly.

[Young Conservative]

Alaska i think will be Cruz. He's always done well there and its a caucus. And to caucus in Alaska you have to be DEDICATED

[Blue3]

 
Trump won:
1. Massachusetts
2. Virginia
3. Tennessee
4. Arkansas
5. Georgia
6. Alabama
 
Cruz won:
1. Texas
2. Oklahoma
 
Rubio won:
1. Minnesota
 
Undecided as of now:
1. Vermont (Trump/Kasich)
2. Alaska (early)
 
*Colorado GOP voters don't have a primary this year... sucks to be a Colorado Republican.
 
 
 
 
 
 
Hillary won:
1. Virginia
2. Arkansas
3. Texas
4. Georgia
5. Alabama
6. Tennessee
7. Massachusetts
 
Bernie won:
1. Vermont
2. Oklahoma
3. Colorado
4. Minnesota
 
Undecided as of now:
1. American Samoa (early)
2. Democrats Abroad (early?)
 

[/]

Complete counties:



Still working on TX, AL, and AR. Can't find county date from MA and VT.

[Mr. Morden]

From Nate Cohn on Twitter, Rubio does better in counties with more white college graduates:

[cinyc]

 
Trump won:
1. Massachusetts
2. Virginia
3. Tennessee
4. Arkansas
5. Georgia
6. Alabama
 
Cruz won:
1. Texas
2. Oklahoma
 
Rubio won:
1. Minnesota
 
Undecided as of now:
1. Vermont (Trump/Kasich)
2. Alaska (early)
 
*Colorado GOP voters don't have a primary this year... sucks to be a Colorado Republican.
 
 
 
 
 
 
Hillary won:
1. Virginia
2. Arkansas
3. Texas
4. Georgia
5. Alabama
6. Tennessee
7. Massachusetts
 
Bernie won:
1. Vermont
2. Oklahoma
3. Colorado
4. Minnesota
 
Undecided as of now:
1. American Samoa (early)
2. Democrats Abroad (early?)
 

Clinton won American Samoa, taking 4 delegates to 2.  Democrats Abroad are still voting until next week.

[The Other Castro]

Any guesses as to when we'll have a good idea who won Alaska?

[Mr. Morden]

Trump won big in counties that have a large share of whites without a high school degree:

[Skye]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/704889016789954560

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[Mr. Morden]

Any guesses as to when we'll have a good idea who won Alaska?

I just checked the Super Tuesday results thread from four years ago, and back then Alaska didn't start posting any results until about 1:15am.

[/]

Any guesses as to when we'll have a good idea who won Alaska?

I just checked the Super Tuesday results thread from four years ago, and back then Alaska didn't start posting any results until about 1:15am.

Oy vey.

[The Other Castro]

Any guesses as to when we'll have a good idea who won Alaska?

I just checked the Super Tuesday results thread from four years ago, and back then Alaska didn't start posting any results until about 1:15am.

EST?

[cinyc]

Alaska Dispatch News has a story about the nuts and bolts of the Alaska caucus, focusing mainly on the Anchorage area.  But they note that the caucus is being held in a dentist's office in Craig, a small community in the southeast:

http://www.adn.com/article/20160301/alaska-republicans-head-polls-including-dentists-office-super-tuesday

[/]

Cruz leading in Travis County, TX now. Rubio might not win anything.

On that note, does anyone know where Rubio has/hasn't met the threshold?

[Antonio the Sixth]

Media should call Vermont already. There's no way Kasich can win.

[Mr. Morden]

Any guesses as to when we'll have a good idea who won Alaska?

I just checked the Super Tuesday results thread from four years ago, and back then Alaska didn't start posting any results until about 1:15am.

EST?

Yes, EST.

[Mr. Morden]

On that note, does anyone know where Rubio has/hasn't met the threshold?

At the moment, he's below the threshold in Alabama and Texas, and above it everywhere else.

[RR1997]

Bold prediction: Cruz will beat TRUMP by a large margin in Alaska.

[jimrtex]

Cruz did extremely well on election day in Texas.

Early voting:

Cruz 40.4%
Trump 28.4%
Rubio 18.2%
Kasich 4.3%
Carson 3.7%
Bush 2.2%

Election Day (reported so far):

Cruz 49.5% (+9.1%)
Trump 27.1% (-1.3%)
Rubio 12.1% (-6.1%)
Carson 5.1% (+1.4%)
Kasich 2.9% (-1.4%)
Bush 0.5% (-1.7%)

Cruz appears to have taken all 36 CDs, and is closing in on 50% in several. So far he is over 50% in only one, TX-10 which runs from Houston to Austin.

Note the above is based on the SOS website which doesn't have anything from Harris County yet, though Harris County has results reported.

[cinyc]

Fox News projects Trump wins Vermont.

[/]

Alaska should be closing now. Not sure when the results will come in, though.

[GLPman]

FOX calls Vermont for Trump

[Mr. Morden]

Caucuses are finished in Alaska, but if it goes like it did four years ago, it may be over an hour before they report anything.  No entrance poll there, as the networks didn't do entrance polls in any of tonight's caucuses.

[yankeesfan]

Cruz did extremely well on election day in Texas.

Early voting:

Cruz 40.4%
Trump 28.4%
Rubio 18.2%
Kasich 4.3%
Carson 3.7%
Bush 2.2%

Election Day (reported so far):

Cruz 49.5% (+9.1%)
Trump 27.1% (-1.3%)
Rubio 12.1% (-6.1%)
Carson 5.1% (+1.4%)
Kasich 2.9% (-1.4%)
Bush 0.5% (-1.7%)

Cruz appears to have taken all 36 CDs, and is closing in on 50% in several. So far he is over 50% in only one, TX-10 which runs from Houston to Austin.

Note the above is based on the SOS website which doesn't have anything from Harris County yet, though Harris County has results reported.

Hugely impressive win for Cruz in Texas.  Why do I get the feeling that Rubio won't see the same warm welcome in Florida?