Who will win on Super Tuesday? (D)

[Ebsy]

Sanders actually has a better chance to win all the states than Clinton, since Vermont will be the biggest win in terms of %. Sanders will do better in Vermont than Clinton does in Arkansas.

They actually have equal probability of winning all the states: 0.

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Sanders wins Colorado, Minnesota, and Vermont. I have serious doubts about Massachusetts, but it is possible. Oklahoma is tossup leaning Clinton.

[°Leprechaun]

If it's 6-5 Clinton Sanders, this could still be very good for Clinton overall. The six states will likely be double digit wins and many or most of them 60-40 or better. Except for VT the other Sanders states, if he wins them, will be close. This could make it unlikely that he will get the nomination. I think he not only has to beat expectations but beat them more than is likely. After that the only thing that could turn it around for him is to win 3 or 4 of the next big states, MI,FL,OH&IL. So, it isn't looking good for Sanders, and based on expectations I can understand the optimism of Clinton supporters here. There haven't been a lot of polls, however, but the current ones could spell doom for Sanders. He would easily beat Trump, so this is all really bad news. A 60-40 in Texas is the most critical. Texas alone is much more critical, assuming this will be the result, than SC was. SC only was seen as a turning point because of the calendar. In the end, it didn't matter that much.

[JMT]

Sanders Victories: Vermont, Massachusetts, Minnesota
Clinton Victories: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia.

[The Other Castro]

I'm pretty pessimistic about Sanders after SC, so I'll say he wins VT, MN, and CO. I'm not even too confident about CO now, and the lack of MN polling is worrying as well. He should just drop out if he only wins 2 states.

[SunSt0rm]

Sanders: Vermont, Minnesota
Clinton: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado (early registration kill Sanders win), Georgia, Massachusetts (Can go any way, but give slight advantage to Hillary), Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia.

[Ogre Mage]

Sanders:  Vermont, Minnesota, Colorado

Clinton:  Texas, Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee and Virginia will be huge blowout wins for Clinton.  Oklahoma and Massachusetts are the toughest calls, I say she wins them narrowly.

[Holmes]

I'm pretty pessimistic about Sanders after SC, so I'll say he wins VT, MN, and CO. I'm not even too confident about CO now, and the lack of MN polling is worrying as well. He should just drop out if he only wins 2 states.

For a state that has pretty liberal voting laws, the Colorado caucuses are pretty restrictive. That said, Democrats only and no voter registration at the door. You have to have been registered as a Democrat by January 4th, 2016, and 17 year olds that will be 18 on election day are not allowed to participate. I think all those restrictions lead to a victory for the candidate that has consistently won Democrats in exit polls.

[ElectionsGuy]

Last Calls?

[The Other Castro]

Sanders: Vermont, Minnesota, Oklahoma, and a close loss in Colorado.

[Xing]

Well, I've revised my prediction now. I think Clinton narrowly wins MA, and Sanders narrowly wins CO and OK.

[°Leprechaun]

Well, I've revised my prediction now. I think Clinton narrowly wins MA, and Sanders narrowly wins CO and OK.

Polls look close in MA, but Clinton seems to have the edge.

[°Leprechaun]

Oklahoma seems to be very close. I don't know Clinton is doing so much better (on Atlas) in that state.

[ElectionsGuy]

Locking.

[ElectionsGuy]

Alabama: 100% Clinton
Arkansas: 99% Clinton, 1% Sanders
Colorado: 71% Sanders, 29% Clinton
Georgia: 100% Clinton
Massachusetts: 56% Sanders, 44% Clinton
Minnesota: 79% Sanders, 21% Clinton
Oklahoma: 69% Clinton, 31% Sanders
Tennessee: 96% Clinton, 4% Sanders
Texas: 98% Clinton, 2% Sanders
Vermont: 96% Sanders, 4% Clinton
Virginia: 95% Clinton, 5% Sanders