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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  TX-U. of TX/Texas Tribune: D: Clinton 54% Sanders 44%; R: Cruz 37% Trump 29% Rubio 15%
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Author Topic: TX-U. of TX/Texas Tribune: D: Clinton 54% Sanders 44%; R: Cruz 37% Trump 29% Rubio 15%  (Read 2330 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: February 23, 2016, 05:44:43 AM »
« edited: February 23, 2016, 05:53:09 AM by Mr. Morden »

U. of TX / Texas Tribune poll of Texas, conducted Feb. 12-19:

http://www.texastribune.org/2016/02/23/uttt-poll-clinton-still-leads-texas-margin-has-nar/
http://www.texastribune.org/2016/02/23/uttt-poll-cruz-leads-trump-texas-rubio-lags-behind/
http://static.texastribune.org/media/documents/ut-tt-201602-summary-1.pdf

Dems:



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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: February 23, 2016, 05:48:11 AM »




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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #2 on: February 23, 2016, 05:49:13 AM »

TRUMP within 8 points? Bad news to Ted.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: February 23, 2016, 05:54:25 AM »




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Flake
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« Reply #4 on: February 23, 2016, 06:10:57 AM »

New Poll: Texas President by University of Texas on 2016-02-19

Summary:
Clinton:
54%
Sanders:
44%
Other:
2%
Undecided:
0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Flake
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« Reply #5 on: February 23, 2016, 06:16:34 AM »

New Poll: Texas President by University of Texas on 2016-02-19

Summary:
Cruz:
37%
Trump:
29%
Rubio:
15%
Bush:
6%
Other:
9%
Undecided:
4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #6 on: February 23, 2016, 06:25:00 AM »

Wonderful news for Sanders! Also Cruz should start worrying.
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« Reply #7 on: February 23, 2016, 06:31:11 AM »

Bernie not doing too bad in Texas is great news. He doesn't need to win it.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: February 23, 2016, 06:36:33 AM »

Bernie not doing too bad in Texas is great news. He doesn't need to win it.

If he's really only down 10% (I'm a bit skeptical), he needs to make a run at it. If he wins the second biggest state in the union, that's a game changer.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: February 23, 2016, 06:50:39 AM »

Bernie not doing too bad in Texas is great news. He doesn't need to win it.

If he's really only down 10% (I'm a bit skeptical), he needs to make a run at it. If he wins the second biggest state in the union, that's a game changer.

The only problem of course is that his campaign is almost broke and Texas ain't a cheap state.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10 on: February 23, 2016, 06:53:39 AM »

Kind of interesting that Democrats like that Bernie is talking about inequality, yet seemingly overwhelmingly support Clinton on the economy.

FTR - I don't think TX will be a blow-out. This is about how things will pan out, I think. It was 49% white in 2008.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11 on: February 23, 2016, 07:01:46 AM »


The Trumpster won't win TX. He likely ends up a distant second with a strong Marco in third place.
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mds32
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« Reply #12 on: February 23, 2016, 07:07:18 AM »

Of course Rubio is going to "lag" behind here, this is Cruz's home state. Just as I expect in Florida it is mainly going to be a Rubio vs. Trump affair.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #13 on: February 23, 2016, 07:12:45 AM »

Damn, with these numbers Rubio could come out of Texas with zero delegates.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #14 on: February 23, 2016, 07:20:22 AM »

Damn, with these numbers Rubio could come out of Texas with zero delegates.

Zero?  That seems rather unlikely.  Texas has enough congressional districts that there's sure to be one where Rubio is in second place.  As long as you finish in second place in a congressional district, and the first place guy is held under 50%, you win at least 1 delegate.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #15 on: February 23, 2016, 07:29:03 AM »

Bernie not doing too bad in Texas is great news. He doesn't need to win it.

If he's really only down 10% (I'm a bit skeptical), he needs to make a run at it. If he wins the second biggest state in the union, that's a game changer.

The only problem of course is that his campaign is almost broke and Texas ain't a cheap state.

Um...Bernie is almost broke??
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #16 on: February 23, 2016, 08:04:59 AM »

We didn't hear about any fundraising records in Nevada. Broke is an exaggeration, but it's uncertain how often people will donate to a losing campaign.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/02/20/bernie-sanders-is-burning-through-cash/
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: February 23, 2016, 08:50:43 AM »

That white vote number could be a good sign for Sanders in Oklahoma.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #18 on: February 23, 2016, 09:00:35 AM »

I doubt Sanders is leading among those who consider terrorism and america's standing in the world as well as immigration reform important. It also appears from this survey that Clinton's worst age group besides 18-29 is 65+ which seems implausible.

The AA and Hispanic numbers look OK but what we've seen besides NH is that the white vote tends to be split 50/50...just the non-white vote alone, which will make up more than 50% of the electorate on 3/1 will doom Sanders in Texas...the question is, how big of a loss is it?
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #19 on: February 23, 2016, 09:15:47 AM »

That white vote number could be a good sign for Sanders in Oklahoma.

I could see him getting a lot of 2008 Clinton voters in that state.
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Holmes
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« Reply #20 on: February 23, 2016, 10:45:05 AM »

Texas will look like South Carolina on the Democratic side.
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Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #21 on: February 23, 2016, 11:03:00 AM »

Bernie not doing too bad in Texas is great news. He doesn't need to win it.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #22 on: February 23, 2016, 12:41:17 PM »

The crosstabs are a bit weird.
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Bismarck
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« Reply #23 on: February 23, 2016, 01:12:29 PM »

Rubio should just try to win a few specific congressional districts to gather delagates.
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Holmes
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« Reply #24 on: February 23, 2016, 01:17:13 PM »


It's a University poll.
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