"Rubio could win MA, VT..."

[politicallpd]

Or not. Just released Emerson College poll of Massachusetts Republicans...

TRUMP -- 50%
Rubio -- 16%
Kasich -- 13%
Cruz -- 10%
Carson -- 2%

[Alcon]

I don't know this area of the country incredibly well, but I figure Trump's performance in Rockingham County (especially around Pelham) was somewhat portentous re: Massachusetts, no?

Although that area does seem to be less educated than MA, so perhaps not.

[politicallpd]

Rockingham County, NH consists of the same types of voters who will make up Trump's base in Massachusetts. Watch for him to run up big numbers in cities like Lowell, Lawrence, Springfield, and down through the Blackstone River Valley. That's my hunch having followed state politics for years.

Kasich/Rubio will probably perform well in the solidly middle-class suburban areas between Boston and Worcester, and Cruz will probably perform well in the conservative communities on the Cape and in the Plymouth area (but could easily be overshadowed here.)

Blue-collar towns + rural poor = big win for Trump