South Carolina primary bellwether counties
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Nym90
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« on: February 20, 2016, 11:26:56 AM »
These counties have voted for the winning Republican candidate in each primary since 1992 (feel free to extend this list further back):

Aiken
Allendale
Bamberg
Barnwell
Berkeley
Calhoun
Colleton
Dorchester
Fairfield
Kershaw
Lexington
McCormick
Newberry
Orangeburg
Saluda
Williamsburg
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2016, 01:32:25 PM »
Older SC Republican contests haven't been very competitive. Bush won every county in 1988. Going back to 1980 only eliminates Dorchester.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2016, 04:03:44 PM »
How much of a bellwether is Greenville County, seat of Bob Jones University?
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Figueira
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« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2016, 06:54:45 PM »
Quote from: mathstatman on February 20, 2016, 04:03:44 PM
How much of a bellwether is Greenville County, seat of Bob Jones University?

It went for Gingrich in 2012, Huckabee in 2008, and Bush in 2000. I can't find the 1996 map.
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Nym90
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« Reply #4 on: February 21, 2016, 12:35:56 PM »
Quote from: Figueira on February 20, 2016, 06:54:45 PM
Quote from: mathstatman on February 20, 2016, 04:03:44 PM
How much of a bellwether is Greenville County, seat of Bob Jones University?

It went for Gingrich in 2012, Huckabee in 2008, and Bush in 2000. I can't find the 1996 map.

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=45&f=1&year=1996&elect=2

It voted for Dole in 1996.
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Nym90
nym90
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« Reply #5 on: February 24, 2016, 12:17:28 PM »
No really competitive Dem primaries in South Carolina recently, so the list of counties to back each winner since 1992 is long.

Abbeville
Allendale
Anderson
Barnwell
Calhoun
Charleston
Cherokee
Chester
Chesterfield
Clarendon
Colleton
Darlington
Dillon
Dorchester
Edgefield
Fairfield
Florence
Georgetown
Greenville
Greenwood
Hampton
Jasper
Kershaw
Lancaster
Laurens
Lee
Lexington
Marion
Marlboro
Newberry
Orangeburg
Pickens
Richland
Saluda
Spartanburg
Union
Williamsburg
York
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #6 on: February 24, 2016, 12:37:04 PM »
Going back to 1988 crosses off Anderson, Pickens, Laurens, Union, and York. 1984 crosses off at least Charleston and Clarendon.
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