Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)

[IceSpear]

Can we all agree to ignore entrance polls from now on? They had Sanders ahead here and Hillary comfortably ahead in Iowa.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Even with Hillary winning, I'm thoroughly impressed with Sanders performance among hispanics.

Sanders didn't win Hispanics. Hillary is winning by healthy margins all the Hispanic plurality districts.

[Oakvale]

[Asian Nazi]

Sanders did not win Hispanics when you look at the vote totals in Clark and other urban areas. That is a big fat error.

Yeah but that won't stop the Berniebros from claiming otherwise in the upcoming weeks.

[ProudModerate2]

NYT is projecting Hillary as winner .....

Hillary Clinton   3,839 52.2%
 9 delegates

Bernie Sanders    3,515 47.8%
 9 delegates

7,360 votes,  65% reporting (1,112 of 1,714 precincts)

[DavidB.]

52.2-47.7 now @ CNN

[/]

CNN seems to be the only major network that hasn't called it for Clinton yet. It's basically over.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

It's over. Hillary is going to win by 6-7. What a load.

"Dance! Nothing else that you can do but dance!"

Come on. I wasn't being such a dick when we won NH.

Oh relax, I'm happy. Commiserations to Sanders supporters.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Sanders did not win Hispanics when you look at the vote totals in Clark and other urban areas. That is a big fat error.

That error is perhaps what threw off all those entrance polls.

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

Can we all agree to ignore entrance polls from now on? They had Sanders ahead here and Hillary comfortably ahead in Iowa.

[Zanas]

Just so things are clear. The entrance poll had a 943 sample. 20% of that sample was Latino, so 189 people. The MoE among this subsample is 7.1. So the scores among Latino actually mean :
Sanders between 46.9 and 61.1
Clinton between 35.9 and 50.1

So, in this poll, it's probable that Sanders was ahead of Clinton, but not actually certain. A fortiori, among the entire electorate, we're not sure about anything. But as things are going, I'd still say Bernie has at least tied Clinton among Latino, and a good chance that he actually beat her, a thing all Clinton fans guaranteed us couldn't happen a few weeks ago.

[Marokai Backbeat]

As expected. Oh well.

[/]

Can we all agree to ignore entrance polls from now on? They had Sanders ahead here and Hillary comfortably ahead in Iowa.

Well, we have to analyze something in the hours leading up to the poll closings...

[/]

Esmeralda finishes with 68% for Sanders.

[Landslide Lyndon]

@LOLGOP

BREAKING: MARCO RUBIO DECLARES A THIRD-PLACE VICTORY IN THE NEVADA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS

[politicallefty]

This is an important victory. If she has momentum going into SC and wins convincingly and overwhelmingly, I think Hillary will build a juggernaut through Super Tuesday.

[Catholics vs. Convicts]

Illiniwek, please check your PMs

Voted!

[YPestis25]

Congrats to Clinton supporters for the win.

Congrats to Sanders to probably winning the media spin.

[Why]

Clark County margin is not moving so this is all over.

[Asian Nazi]

But as things are going, I'd still say Bernie has at least tied Clinton among Latino, and a good chance that he actually beat her

Based on what?  That junk entrance poll?  The numbers so far are pretty much consistent with what we'd expect, considering the black turnout collapse.

[IceSpear]

Can we all agree to ignore entrance polls from now on? They had Sanders ahead here and Hillary comfortably ahead in Iowa.

Well, we have to analyze something in the hours leading up to the poll closings...

Fine, I guess it's better than "omg, young people in line! Bernie has this! HOLY sh**t I SAW A BLACK PERSON IN LINE, HILLARY IS INEVITABLE!"

But still, let's remember to take them with a pillar of salt from now on.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

G-d, the forum Shillaries are going to be even more insufferable in the coming days.

I think whichever side won would be insufferable.

[Holmes]

[ProudModerate2]

This is an important victory. If she has momentum going into SC and wins convincingly and overwhelmingly, I think Hillary will build a juggernaut through Super Tuesday.

Agree.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Can we all agree to ignore entrance polls from now on? They had Sanders ahead here and Hillary comfortably ahead in Iowa.

Yes.