Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)
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  Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)  (Read 45915 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1050 on: February 21, 2016, 11:12:48 PM »

How is this not completed yet?
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1051 on: February 21, 2016, 11:24:30 PM »

Could Clinton still win Carson City with the 4% of precincts remaining?

There's only one Carson City precinct outstanding. It would have to break 6-1 for Clinton to overtake Sanders in the county.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #1052 on: February 21, 2016, 11:41:52 PM »

Could Clinton still win Carson City with the 4% of precincts remaining?

There's only one Carson City precinct outstanding. It would have to break 6-1 for Clinton to overtake Sanders in the county.

So, assuming Carson City stays the way it is, this is the final county map:



The ones in the database need to be updated; it appears that they still have Storey County tied.

Does anyone have an idea how this translates into CDs?
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cxs018
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« Reply #1053 on: February 21, 2016, 11:46:22 PM »

2 is fairly obviously Sanders. 4 is Clinton, as well as likely 1 and 3.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1054 on: February 21, 2016, 11:50:50 PM »

I haven't seen a precinct breakdown or anything, but based on demographics the 3rd might be pretty close.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #1055 on: February 21, 2016, 11:56:21 PM »
« Edited: February 21, 2016, 11:57:59 PM by realisticidealist »

I haven't seen a precinct breakdown or anything, but based on demographics the 3rd might be pretty close.

Clinton cleaned up in the southern suburbs of Las Vegas (Henderson and further). Sanders probably won a higher percentage of precincts in NV-02 than anywhere else, but I'd need to calculate out the actual numbers to know for sure.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1056 on: February 21, 2016, 11:57:42 PM »

I haven't seen a precinct breakdown or anything, but based on demographics the 3rd might be pretty close.

Clinton cleaned up in the southern suburbs of Las Vegas (Henderson and further).

Interesting... what was Sanders' best areas of Clark?
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #1057 on: February 21, 2016, 11:59:36 PM »

I haven't seen a precinct breakdown or anything, but based on demographics the 3rd might be pretty close.

Clinton cleaned up in the southern suburbs of Las Vegas (Henderson and further).

Interesting... what was Sanders' best areas of Clark?

I haven't calculated it out yet (hopefully tomorrow), but it looks like Sanders won a large number of precincts in Paradise and the western side of the county (Spring Valley area).
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Zanas
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« Reply #1058 on: February 22, 2016, 09:23:31 AM »

Bernie Sanders seems to be going along with the "we won the Latino vote" narrative. Ignorance or dishonesty?
Frankly, there's a reasonable chance he did. It's likelier that it was Clinton, but not impossible it was Sanders. Anyway, with only an exit poll to refer to, it's fair game for him to say this. Clinton would do the same, as would any other sane (or insane) politician.
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« Reply #1059 on: February 22, 2016, 09:44:37 AM »

Bernie Sanders seems to be going along with the "we won the Latino vote" narrative. Ignorance or dishonesty?
Frankly, there's a reasonable chance he did. It's likelier that it was Clinton, but not impossible it was Sanders. Anyway, with only an exit poll to refer to, it's fair game for him to say this. Clinton would do the same, as would any other sane (or insane) politician.

If Clinton won all the majority Hispanic precincts, then she certainly won the Latino vote. Also, there was no exit poll, just an entrance poll, which are worthless.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1060 on: February 22, 2016, 10:08:44 AM »


Because caucus' need to die in a fire.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1061 on: February 22, 2016, 10:12:45 AM »

Also it's amazing that the margin is only about 0.25% away from what it was in 2008.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #1062 on: February 22, 2016, 10:27:54 AM »

Carson City finished. Last precinct went 4-3 Clinton, meaning Sanders held the county. Just waiting on Washoe (one precinct) and Clark (14) to finish now.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #1063 on: February 22, 2016, 12:18:45 PM »

Results aren't final yet, but my CD tabulation is

NV-01: Clinton 53.0/47.0
NV-02: Sanders 54.3/45.6
NV-03: Clinton 52.7/47.2
NV-04: Clinton 58.9/41.3

Las Vegas: Clinton 53.2/46.8
North Las Vegas: Clinton 60.5/39.4
Henderson: Clinton 55.6/44.4
Mesquite: Clinton 66.0/34.0
Boulder City: Tie 50.0/50.0
Goodsprings: Sanders 62.5/37.5
Laughlin: Clinton 69.6/30.4
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #1064 on: February 22, 2016, 01:50:52 PM »

Washoe's finally done. Just waiting on 11 more Clark County precincts.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #1065 on: February 22, 2016, 08:28:28 PM »

Nevada's finally done. Final count: Clinton 6440 (52.64%), Sanders 5785 (47.29%), Uncommitted 8 (0.07%)
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1066 on: February 22, 2016, 08:31:36 PM »

Nevada's finally done. Final count: Clinton 6440 (52.64%), Sanders 5785 (47.29%), Uncommitted 8 (0.07%)

Where did you get the results from?

And who are the dummies that go through all that trouble just to vote "uncommitted?" I'd imagine they're the worst kind of person.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #1067 on: February 22, 2016, 08:35:35 PM »

I should have a statewide precinct map up tomorrow.

Nevada's finally done. Final count: Clinton 6440 (52.64%), Sanders 5785 (47.29%), Uncommitted 8 (0.07%)

Where did you get the results from?

https://nvcaucuses.com
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #1068 on: February 23, 2016, 10:49:15 PM »

Hi - anyone checked out which congressional districts these locations were in:

Caesars
Harrahs
New York New York
Paris
Rio
Wynn

Not lined up with precinct number.

Thanks,
Dave
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #1069 on: February 23, 2016, 10:55:32 PM »

Nevada's finally done. Final count: Clinton 6440 (52.64%), Sanders 5785 (47.29%), Uncommitted 8 (0.07%)

Where did you get the results from?

And who are the dummies that go through all that trouble just to vote "uncommitted?" I'd imagine they're the worst kind of person.
I voted Uncommitted in the 1992 MI Dem Presidential primary.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #1070 on: February 23, 2016, 11:19:37 PM »

Hi - anyone checked out which congressional districts these locations were in:

Caesars
Harrahs
New York New York
Paris
Rio
Wynn

Not lined up with precinct number.

Thanks,
Dave

They are all physically located in the 1st district.
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