If Kasich is the GOP's nominee ...
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  If Kasich is the GOP's nominee ...		 « previous next »
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Question: ... what polling status will Ohio have?
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safe R
#2
likely R
#3
lean R
#4
tossup
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Author Topic: If Kasich is the GOP's nominee ...  (Read 3407 times)
sportydude
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« on: February 16, 2016, 01:44:12 PM »
?
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Ljube
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« Reply #1 on: February 16, 2016, 01:45:45 PM »
Safe or likely R.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #2 on: February 16, 2016, 01:50:46 PM »
I voted lean R, but some might say lean D, which isn't an option.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #3 on: February 16, 2016, 01:52:21 PM »
He'll be behind Hillary nationally, so lean D.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #4 on: February 16, 2016, 01:54:35 PM »
The big four Ohio, Virginia, Florida and Colorado are all likely tossups if the election is close.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #5 on: February 16, 2016, 01:56:26 PM »
Against Hillary

likely R

He also makes Wisconsin, and Michigan into tossups and Iowa into lean R

Versus Sanders

Ohio Safe R
Iowa- Likely R
Wisconsin and Michigan - Lean R
Minnesota - Tossup
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #6 on: February 16, 2016, 01:58:17 PM »
Safe D as Kasich is unelectable
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Maxwell
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« Reply #7 on: February 16, 2016, 02:22:59 PM »
Toss-up.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #8 on: February 16, 2016, 02:26:01 PM »
Tossup. I don't think it will be safely in either candidate's column.
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pho
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« Reply #9 on: February 16, 2016, 02:32:38 PM »
Quote from: xingkerui on February 16, 2016, 02:21:40 PM
Lean R. The home state effect is often exaggerated. He'd get a small boost in Ohio, but not enough to make it safe for him.
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PeteB
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« Reply #10 on: February 16, 2016, 02:47:41 PM »
Likely R.  I would say Safe R but am careful as OH is a well known swing state and this election has shown that all conventional wisdom is overrated.

Kasich is extremely popular in OH (62% approval in Oct. 2015), and the media there is covering his campaign in minute detail.  Even though a lot of people (i.e. OH Democrats) have issue with his brash behavior, there is a general perception in Columbus that he is a reasonable person with whom you can get things done across the aisle.  There seems also a good deal of state pride in the opportunity of having another President from OH. 
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President Johnson
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« Reply #11 on: February 16, 2016, 03:02:28 PM »
Likely Republican. He's popular there and was reelected in a landslide. Even if he's just the running mate of TRUMP he'll likely deliver his home state.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #12 on: February 16, 2016, 04:08:21 PM »
Likely R. I know die hard Ohio Democrats who would consider crossing over to vote for Kasich if he is the nominee.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: February 16, 2016, 05:23:50 PM »
Quote from: pho on February 16, 2016, 02:32:38 PM
Quote from: xingkerui on February 16, 2016, 02:21:40 PM
Lean R. The home state effect is often exaggerated. He'd get a small boost in Ohio, but not enough to make it safe for him.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #14 on: February 16, 2016, 07:09:19 PM »
Kasich, if nominated, would carry Ohio.  I'm just not convinced he'd carry Florida and Virginia (although he certainly could).
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Adam the Gr8
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« Reply #15 on: February 16, 2016, 07:50:04 PM »
Lean R vs Hillary, Safe R vs Bernie.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #16 on: February 16, 2016, 09:11:59 PM »
Likely R against Hillary. Lean R against Bernie.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: February 17, 2016, 12:40:17 AM »
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #18 on: February 17, 2016, 12:41:14 AM »
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Vosem
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« Reply #19 on: February 17, 2016, 12:42:53 AM »
As someone from Ohio, Kasich would receive a fairly large home-town boost, especially in the Columbus area that he is originally from, where he is still very popular. He would only lose Ohio in a 2008-style landslide defeat.
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #20 on: February 17, 2016, 03:08:22 AM »
The home-state advantage is usually not particularly substantial because the home-state politician is often subject to divided opinion at home.  Kasich, however, has approval ratings in the 60s and won his re-election in a landslide.  So I think it would be more substantial in this election.
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Figueira
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« Reply #21 on: February 17, 2016, 04:28:24 AM »
Voted "Lean R" but that's just a guess. I don't see it being more Republican than that.
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Sasquatch
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« Reply #22 on: February 17, 2016, 04:30:08 AM »
Lean R

Kasich - 51%
Clinton - 48%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: February 17, 2016, 04:37:44 AM »
Clinton may very well have beaten Kasich, hes signing anti abortion legislation,  but Trump is nominee, its a lean D state now. I voted tossup.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #24 on: February 17, 2016, 05:10:43 AM »
« Edited: February 17, 2016, 05:12:42 AM by Da-Jon »
No. KASICH isnt even gonna be nominee, irrelevant.
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