Which Republicans will get a piece of SC's 50 delegates?
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  Which Republicans will get a piece of SC's 50 delegates?
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Question: -skip-
#1
Donald Trump
 
#2
Marco Rubio
 
#3
Ted Cruz
 
#4
Jeb Bush
 
#5
John Kasich
 
#6
Ben Carson
 
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Total Voters: 46

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Author Topic: Which Republicans will get a piece of SC's 50 delegates?  (Read 844 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: February 16, 2016, 03:15:56 AM »

The allocation method for South Carolina's delegates are "winner-take-most" or "winner-take-all" based on CD's. 26 delegates are awarded at-large for winning the state, 21 are awarded for winners of the  7 CD's (3 per each district) and the remaining 3 are RNC delegates.

So, at the level Trump is polling, he conceivably could win all 47/50 to all of the delegates, and shut out the remaining candidates.

Personally I think Trump and Cruz will walk out with delegates from SC.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1 on: February 16, 2016, 03:26:23 AM »

I agree that Trump and Cruz will walk away with delegates, but you don't think Rubio will at least take SC-01?
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sportydude
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« Reply #2 on: February 16, 2016, 04:28:22 AM »

Trump: 44 delegates
Bush: 3 delegates

BTW, the RNC delegates are bound to the winner of the SC primary, so Trump will basically receive 47 delegates.
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PeteB
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« Reply #3 on: February 16, 2016, 10:13:10 AM »

Trump for sure, Cruz likely and Rubio and Kasich possibly in 1st, 6th and 7th CD.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: February 16, 2016, 10:17:22 AM »

Trump gets them all. CD-1 is close, but Trump ends up winning it.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #5 on: February 16, 2016, 10:30:21 AM »
« Edited: February 16, 2016, 10:43:26 AM by ExtremeRepublican »

Rubio wins CD1, Cruz wins 6 and 7, Trump wins 3, 4, and 5.  2 will be very close between all three  (I wonder how much a Joe Wilson endorsement would matter there).

EDIT: My CD numbers were off.  I was giving it to Cruz in the two Upstate districts (actually 3 and 4, I think)
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Vosem
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« Reply #6 on: February 16, 2016, 12:23:30 PM »

Trump certainly, Cruz probably, Rubio possibly. Bush, Kasich, and Carson will not. Considering Cruz has a logical geographical base upstate whereas Rubio does not (CD-1 is more moderate and Northeastern in its voting patterns, true; I think lots of polling for months has demonstrated that this is a favorable description for Trump), I can imagine Cruz winning delegates but Rubio being shut out even in the scenario where Cruz places third.
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« Reply #7 on: February 16, 2016, 01:59:26 PM »

Trump ,Kasich, Cruz, Rubio
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #8 on: February 16, 2016, 06:01:19 PM »

There's still too many establishment candidates splitting the vote for any of them to win delegates here,  Rubio, Bush and Kasich are battling over third place in hopes of coming out of here as the one true establishment candidate for SEC Tuesday.  If only one of the three had made it out of New Hampshire, he'd win SC-1 and maybe SC-2 or SC-7.  TRUMP would have been a lock for SC-6 under any circumstances and as it is, he'll clearly win SC-1, -2, and -7.  Delegate wise the battle is between TRUMP and Cruz for SC-3, -4, and -5.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #9 on: February 16, 2016, 06:05:39 PM »

Only Trump.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #10 on: February 16, 2016, 06:17:15 PM »

I genuinely thought this was going to be a 3-way split, but it looks increasingly likely that TRUMP will win at least 43 with Cruz struggling so much. I'll make a gutsy call and say the establishment remains too divided, so he gets 47, but I wouldn't be shocked if Rubio won 2 or 4.
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Vega
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« Reply #11 on: February 16, 2016, 06:28:23 PM »

I think, assuredly, not Carson.
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