SC-Free Times/Crantford Research: Trump far ahead
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Author Topic: SC-Free Times/Crantford Research: Trump far ahead  (Read 1668 times)
bigedlb
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« on: February 15, 2016, 08:00:50 PM »
« edited: February 16, 2016, 01:45:04 AM by Tender Branson »
Link

Trump 32
Cruz 16
Rubio 13
Bush 12
Kasich 9
Carson 4

416 RV MOE 4.8
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Matty
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« Reply #1 on: February 15, 2016, 08:01:22 PM »
It's NH 2.0
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: February 15, 2016, 08:07:12 PM »
Beautiful.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: February 15, 2016, 08:32:16 PM »
I see they also asked some very important questions about candidate attributes:

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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #4 on: February 15, 2016, 08:36:21 PM »
Kasich Supporter: Doesn't Want to be Stuck in Elevator/Doesn't Loan Cars
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #5 on: February 15, 2016, 09:34:06 PM »
Results by CD:

SC-01 (Charleston): Trump 41, Cruz 18, Rubio 14, Kasich 10, Bush 5, Carson 4
SC-02 (Columbia suburbs): Trump 30, Cruz 15, Bush 14, Kasich 12, Rubio 11, Carson 2
SC-03 (Northwest SC): Trump 26, Cruz 18, Bush 15, Rubio 8, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-04 (Greenville/Spartanburg): Trump 23, Rubio 20, Bush 19, Cruz 15, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-05 (Charlotte suburbs): Trump 28, Bush/Rubio 16, Cruz 12, Kasich 11, Carson 3
SC-06 (Black Belt): Trump 28, Cruz 27, Rubio 14, Kasich 13, Bush 4, Carson 3
SC-07 (Myrtle Beach): Trump 46, Rubio 13, Cruz 10, Kasich 8, Bush 5, Carson 3
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #6 on: February 15, 2016, 09:48:37 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 15, 2016, 09:34:06 PM
Results by CD:

SC-01 (Charleston): Trump 41, Cruz 18, Rubio 14, Kasich 10, Bush 5, Carson 4
SC-02 (Columbia suburbs): Trump 30, Cruz 15, Bush 14, Kasich 12, Rubio 11, Carson 2
SC-03 (Northwest SC): Trump 26, Cruz 18, Bush 15, Rubio 8, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-04 (Greenville/Spartanburg): Trump 23, Rubio 20, Bush 19, Cruz 15, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-05 (Charlotte suburbs): Trump 28, Bush/Rubio 16, Cruz 12, Kasich 11, Carson 3
SC-06 (Black Belt): Trump 28, Cruz 27, Rubio 14, Kasich 13, Bush 4, Carson 3
SC-07 (Myrtle Beach): Trump 46, Rubio 13, Cruz 10, Kasich 8, Bush 5, Carson 3

Huh. Trump winning SC-01 is very surprising.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: February 15, 2016, 09:55:44 PM »
Folks, the GOP is getting ready to bury the Bush Crime Family once and for all. It's definitely a positive development.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #8 on: February 15, 2016, 10:03:13 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 15, 2016, 09:34:06 PM
Results by CD:

SC-01 (Charleston): Trump 41, Cruz 18, Rubio 14, Kasich 10, Bush 5, Carson 4
SC-02 (Columbia suburbs): Trump 30, Cruz 15, Bush 14, Kasich 12, Rubio 11, Carson 2
SC-03 (Northwest SC): Trump 26, Cruz 18, Bush 15, Rubio 8, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-04 (Greenville/Spartanburg): Trump 23, Rubio 20, Bush 19, Cruz 15, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-05 (Charlotte suburbs): Trump 28, Bush/Rubio 16, Cruz 12, Kasich 11, Carson 3
SC-06 (Black Belt): Trump 28, Cruz 27, Rubio 14, Kasich 13, Bush 4, Carson 3
SC-07 (Myrtle Beach): Trump 46, Rubio 13, Cruz 10, Kasich 8, Bush 5, Carson 3

None of these numbers make any sense
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cinyc
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« Reply #9 on: February 15, 2016, 11:21:07 PM »
Quote from: VP Duke on February 15, 2016, 10:03:13 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 15, 2016, 09:34:06 PM
Results by CD:

SC-01 (Charleston): Trump 41, Cruz 18, Rubio 14, Kasich 10, Bush 5, Carson 4
SC-02 (Columbia suburbs): Trump 30, Cruz 15, Bush 14, Kasich 12, Rubio 11, Carson 2
SC-03 (Northwest SC): Trump 26, Cruz 18, Bush 15, Rubio 8, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-04 (Greenville/Spartanburg): Trump 23, Rubio 20, Bush 19, Cruz 15, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-05 (Charlotte suburbs): Trump 28, Bush/Rubio 16, Cruz 12, Kasich 11, Carson 3
SC-06 (Black Belt): Trump 28, Cruz 27, Rubio 14, Kasich 13, Bush 4, Carson 3
SC-07 (Myrtle Beach): Trump 46, Rubio 13, Cruz 10, Kasich 8, Bush 5, Carson 3

None of these numbers make any sense

416 voters divided by 7 CDs= 59 voters per CD polled.  The MoE on a poll of 59 is almost +/- 13 points.
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Torie
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« Reply #10 on: February 16, 2016, 08:47:40 AM »
Quote from: VP Duke on February 15, 2016, 10:03:13 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 15, 2016, 09:34:06 PM
Results by CD:

SC-01 (Charleston): Trump 41, Cruz 18, Rubio 14, Kasich 10, Bush 5, Carson 4
SC-02 (Columbia suburbs): Trump 30, Cruz 15, Bush 14, Kasich 12, Rubio 11, Carson 2
SC-03 (Northwest SC): Trump 26, Cruz 18, Bush 15, Rubio 8, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-04 (Greenville/Spartanburg): Trump 23, Rubio 20, Bush 19, Cruz 15, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-05 (Charlotte suburbs): Trump 28, Bush/Rubio 16, Cruz 12, Kasich 11, Carson 3
SC-06 (Black Belt): Trump 28, Cruz 27, Rubio 14, Kasich 13, Bush 4, Carson 3
SC-07 (Myrtle Beach): Trump 46, Rubio 13, Cruz 10, Kasich 8, Bush 5, Carson 3

None of these numbers make any sense

Trump runs better among non evangelical voters, while Rubio and Cruz run better with evangelicals?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #11 on: February 16, 2016, 10:34:12 AM »
Quote from: Torie on February 16, 2016, 08:47:40 AM
Quote from: VP Duke on February 15, 2016, 10:03:13 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 15, 2016, 09:34:06 PM
Results by CD:

SC-01 (Charleston): Trump 41, Cruz 18, Rubio 14, Kasich 10, Bush 5, Carson 4
SC-02 (Columbia suburbs): Trump 30, Cruz 15, Bush 14, Kasich 12, Rubio 11, Carson 2
SC-03 (Northwest SC): Trump 26, Cruz 18, Bush 15, Rubio 8, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-04 (Greenville/Spartanburg): Trump 23, Rubio 20, Bush 19, Cruz 15, Kasich 6, Carson 5
SC-05 (Charlotte suburbs): Trump 28, Bush/Rubio 16, Cruz 12, Kasich 11, Carson 3
SC-06 (Black Belt): Trump 28, Cruz 27, Rubio 14, Kasich 13, Bush 4, Carson 3
SC-07 (Myrtle Beach): Trump 46, Rubio 13, Cruz 10, Kasich 8, Bush 5, Carson 3

None of these numbers make any sense

Trump runs better among non evangelical voters, while Rubio and Cruz run better with evangelicals?

If we're to believe this, we're to believe that Cruz runs best on the urban, pro military, wealthy coastal areas of SC (2nd in Charleston) and the worst in the evangelical, super conservative areas (4th in Greenville/Spartanburg).

I also don't buy that Jeb! is doing that well in the northwest and Greenville areas full of evangelicals while he does worse in the charleston and other coastal areas, which should be where his small base of support lies.
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emailking
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« Reply #12 on: February 16, 2016, 11:04:28 AM »
I'd probably want to be stuck in an elevator with Carson too. Seems like an easy guy to talk to. As for loaning my car out, I'd probably pick Trump. I'd be most likely to get full compensation if something happened.
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