Predict the South Carolina GOP results.
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Author Topic: Predict the South Carolina GOP results.  (Read 2401 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: February 14, 2016, 03:54:00 PM »
Trump 33%
Cruz 24%
Rubio 14%
Kasich 14%
Bush 13%
Carson 2%
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1 on: February 14, 2016, 03:55:55 PM »
Trump 32%
Cruz 21%
Rubio 20%
Bush 12%
Kasich 12%
Carson 3%
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jaichind
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« Reply #2 on: February 14, 2016, 04:24:14 PM »
Trump 33%
Rubio 23%
Cruz 17%
Bush 13%
Kasich 11%
Carson 3%
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pho
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« Reply #3 on: February 14, 2016, 04:40:11 PM »
Trump - 37%
Cruz - 24%
Bush - 13%
Rubio - 13%
Kasich - 9%
Carson - 3%
Other - 1%

I thought Cruz would pull this off, but that debate was not what he needed. Trump hurt himself, but I think he has this in the bag barring some huge reveal.
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RBH
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« Reply #4 on: February 14, 2016, 04:41:05 PM »
if evangelicals have any self-respect:

Trump 29, Cruz 27, Rubio 17, Kasich 10, Jeb 10, Carson 6, Others 1

if evangelicals don't have any self-respect:

Trump 37, Cruz 20, Rubio 16, Kasich 11, Jeb 9, Carson 6, Others 1.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5 on: February 14, 2016, 04:44:22 PM »
« Edited: February 14, 2016, 05:53:39 PM by Maxwell »
I'll correct before the 20th in case there's some major change, but barring that -

35% Trump
24% Cruz
13% Kasich (edges Rubio by hundreds of votes)
13% Rubio
11% Bush
3% Carson
1% Others

Bush drops out and endorses Kasich, Rubio still fights on hoping Nevada gives him a shot. Carson doesn't really matter, but I suppose he continues or drops out.
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sportydude
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« Reply #6 on: February 14, 2016, 06:18:06 PM »
Trump:  33%
Cruz:     22%
Bush:    15%
Rubio:   14%
Kasich: 10%
Carson:   5%
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Higgs
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« Reply #7 on: February 14, 2016, 06:37:34 PM »
Honestly I have no idea
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mencken
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« Reply #8 on: February 14, 2016, 07:18:39 PM »
« Edited: February 14, 2016, 07:40:49 PM by mencken »
EDIT 2: On third thought, it is a bit optimistic to assume that a 20-point deficit will be overturned in a week.
EDIT: Actually, I will be bold and give this to Cruz

Trump 26%
Cruz 23%
Rubio 17%
Bush 14%
Kasich 12%
Carson 7%
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Admiral Kizaru
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« Reply #9 on: February 14, 2016, 07:28:01 PM »
Trump - 35%
Cruz - 25%
Bush - 13%
Rubio - 13%
Kasich - 12%
Carson - 2%

I get the feeling that all the establishment candidates will be grouped very tightly to one another, thus not forcing any of them out - something that ends up benefiting Trump.
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NHI
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« Reply #10 on: February 14, 2016, 07:32:28 PM »
Trump: 30%
Cruz: 27%
Rubio: 15%
Kasich: 13%
Bush: 11%
Carson: 3%
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Nyvin
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« Reply #11 on: February 14, 2016, 07:33:11 PM »
Trump:  44%
Cruz:  21%
Rubio:  13%
Jeb:  9%
Carson: 9%
Kasich: 4%
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Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries
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« Reply #12 on: February 14, 2016, 07:45:32 PM »
Trump 27%
Cruz 24%
Rubio 19%
Jeb! 15%
Kasich 12%
Carson 3%

Only Carson drops out.
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Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries
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« Reply #13 on: February 14, 2016, 07:46:47 PM »
Quote from: Fuzzy Bear on February 14, 2016, 07:45:32 PM
Trump 27%
Cruz 24%
Jeb! 19%
Rubio 15%
Kasich 12%
Carson 3%

Only Carson drops out.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #14 on: February 14, 2016, 08:06:06 PM »
« Edited: February 14, 2016, 08:16:26 PM by Niemeyerite »
I may change it before the 20th.

Trump 39%
Cruz 22%
Rubio 13%
Bush 11%
Kasich 8%
Carson 6%
Others 1%

BONUS: Nevada Dem. Caucus:

Sanders 52.7%
Clinton 47%
Others 0.3%
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Beet
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« Reply #15 on: February 14, 2016, 08:18:53 PM »
« Edited: February 14, 2016, 08:20:39 PM by Beet »
Trump 27%
Cruz 21%
Rubio 18%
Bush 15%
Kasich 12%
Carson 5%
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Maxwell
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« Reply #16 on: February 14, 2016, 08:22:33 PM »
Quote from: Beet on February 14, 2016, 08:18:53 PM
Trump 27%
Cruz 21%
Rubio 18%
Bush 15%
Kasich 12%
Carson 5%

If Marco actually does that well he's gonna strut on stage. "Never in America has a victory been so big!!!"
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PeteB
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« Reply #17 on: February 14, 2016, 08:25:17 PM »
I will go out on a limb and predict a small upset:

Trump 37%
Kasich 19%
Cruz 17%
Rubio 15%
Bush 12%
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Nyvin
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« Reply #18 on: February 14, 2016, 08:41:38 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on February 14, 2016, 08:22:33 PM
Quote from: Beet on February 14, 2016, 08:18:53 PM
Trump 27%
Cruz 21%
Rubio 18%
Bush 15%
Kasich 12%
Carson 5%

If Marco actually does that well he's gonna strut on stage. "Never in America has a victory been so big!!!"

The media...especially Fox News...will make ANY result seem like a Rubio victory unless he completely bombs out like in NH.   It's kind of sickening. 
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #19 on: February 14, 2016, 10:40:32 PM »
Trump 30%
Cruz 24%
Rubio 16%
Bush 14%
Kasich 12 %
Carson 4%
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