Nevada Democratic Caucus Result

[Beet]

Most working class voters are voting for Trump, so I'd imagine whatever rump group leftover is more liberal than in 2008.

As of today, that literally is not true. Sanders got more working class white votes than Trump in the sum of the two states that voted so far.

How are you teasing that out of the exit polls? It's not like all whites who make before a certain threshold are "working class". In Iowa, at least, Trump's support was highly correlated with rates of typical working class employment.

He got half the vote in Iowa. Trump got a quarter. Even with higher GOP turnout, he'd have had to have won overwhelmingly among Iowa's poor white Republicans to come close to Sanders' number.

[danny]

Why not? Mountain West white Dems are really, really liberal.

Nevada whites were Clinton enough in 2008 for her to win, and this was with the African American vote going against her.  Sanders has a nonzero chance of winning but a lot of the posters here seem to just be drinking Kool-Aid.

I'm not sure what the relevance of Obama is. We have already seen that this race has different dynamics than 2008 (Clinton also won whites in New Hampshire in 2008), so there is no use in using it as a guide this election.

[Asian Nazi]

I'm not sure what the relevance of Obama is. We have already seen that this race has different dynamics than 2008 (Clinton also won whites in New Hampshire in 2008), so there is no use in using it as a guide this election.

Angry woman turnout just wasn't high enough in NH this time.

[Figueira]

Clinton with at least 58% of the vote. If Sanders can't even win IA and just narrowly wins Democrats in NH, there's no way he is winning in NV.

The types of independents that voted for Sanders in NH are most likely registered Democrats in NV.

However, I agree that Clinton is favored. Voted 55-59%.