Atlas Predicts NH 2016: Who did the best, who did the worst?
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  Atlas Predicts NH 2016: Who did the best, who did the worst?
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Author Topic: Atlas Predicts NH 2016: Who did the best, who did the worst?  (Read 2373 times)
Maxwell
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« on: February 10, 2016, 01:14:39 PM »

I am putting this together, I'm two pages in and so far:

Holmes is doing the best with 9% error, while cwt is doing the worst with 40% error on the Republican side.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2016, 01:17:38 PM »

I wanted to post in the other thread, but it was locked.

In the word of Shirley Cain: "Wrong"
That goes for all y'all.
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Holmes
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« Reply #2 on: February 10, 2016, 01:18:21 PM »

Yay.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #3 on: February 10, 2016, 02:56:47 PM »

Official ranking on the Republican side:

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Holmes would've won if he had not edited his post. Matter of fact, most people who edited did WORSE, not better, than they did the first time (probably the false rumors of an epic KASICHSURGE).

Average was 20.5%, Median was 20%.

Now for the Democrats!
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The Free North
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« Reply #4 on: February 10, 2016, 02:58:26 PM »

Lol I was putting together the results right now, looks like someone beat me to it!
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Slow Learner
Battenberg
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« Reply #5 on: February 10, 2016, 03:00:51 PM »

You forgot me!
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The Free North
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« Reply #6 on: February 10, 2016, 03:01:11 PM »


32   Battenburg   18%
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Slow Learner
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« Reply #7 on: February 10, 2016, 03:01:54 PM »


It's Battenberg. Wink

I think my error might be due to my inaccurate #Jebmentum prediction. I got Trump's percentage quite close tho.
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The Free North
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« Reply #8 on: February 10, 2016, 03:03:38 PM »

Maxwell if you have it, can you send me the data in csv format?
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #9 on: February 10, 2016, 03:07:13 PM »

Pleased that I got Trump-Kasich-Cruz right.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #10 on: February 10, 2016, 03:12:53 PM »
« Edited: February 10, 2016, 03:14:46 PM by Adam T »

Don't leave out the predictions made on this thread:
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=228539.msg4898233#msg4898233

This was my prediction (and actual results):
1.Donald Trump 30% (35%)
2.John Kasich 15% (16%)
3.Ted Cruz  14%  (12%)
4.Jeb Bush 13% (11%)
5.Marco Rubio 12% (11%)
6.Chris Christie 8% (7%)
7.Carly Fiorina 4% (4%)
8.Ben Carson 3% (2%)
9.Jim Gilmore 1% (0%)

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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: February 10, 2016, 03:35:59 PM »

Top 10! Makes up for my epic fail in Iowa.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #12 on: February 10, 2016, 03:42:44 PM »

Democratic Predictions

Beef got sooooooo close to the real result.

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For the record I will not count things that were not posted in the locked thread.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #13 on: February 10, 2016, 03:46:59 PM »

Ouch! Pretty crappy for me... But very awesome that you did this. Thanks!
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Slow Learner
Battenberg
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« Reply #14 on: February 10, 2016, 03:49:22 PM »

Weird that I got closer on the Democratic side than the Republican side.
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Figueira
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« Reply #15 on: February 10, 2016, 03:50:23 PM »

I didn't do very well. Also my name is spelled Figueira. Thanks for doing this, though.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #16 on: February 10, 2016, 03:51:30 PM »

Overall Predictions

One clear winner - JulioMadrid got 2nd in the Democrats and 4th in the Republicans, enough to get a solid 1st place overall (with Cris, Morgrieb, and Beef narrowly behind)

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Also I ed up a lot of names but I kind of just wanted to get this done.
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Slow Learner
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« Reply #17 on: February 10, 2016, 03:53:19 PM »

Ah well. At least I went from 'THE WRONGIEST' to 'eh, sort of wrong but not too far off'.
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The Free North
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« Reply #18 on: February 10, 2016, 03:53:28 PM »

Thanks for doing this Maxwell! Big help to me Smiley
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The Free North
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« Reply #19 on: February 10, 2016, 03:53:51 PM »

Ill update the overall rankings later tonight.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #20 on: February 10, 2016, 04:12:34 PM »

LOL I'm pretty terrible at this
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #21 on: February 10, 2016, 04:55:32 PM »

Wow! I did pretty good at #15.
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Vern
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« Reply #22 on: February 10, 2016, 05:11:48 PM »

Number 4 one the NH democratic side! I let my like for Rubio mess me up in these republicans one
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indysaff
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« Reply #23 on: February 10, 2016, 05:15:23 PM »

I'll take it!
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #24 on: February 10, 2016, 05:16:05 PM »

Number 5!
If only if I had stuck to my old Atlas prediction map where I had NH at >60% Bernie.
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