IA/NH/SC-NBC/WSJ: Trump Leads Everywhere; Close D Race (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 11:52:30 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  IA/NH/SC-NBC/WSJ: Trump Leads Everywhere; Close D Race (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: IA/NH/SC-NBC/WSJ: Trump Leads Everywhere; Close D Race  (Read 4157 times)
Bacon King
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49
« on: January 28, 2016, 09:26:02 AM »
Quote from: HillOfANight on January 28, 2016, 08:12:35 AM
https://twitter.com/forecasterenten/status/692691283773657088

Among those with whom you can match to a registered voter list in the Marist poll in Iowa, Clinton is up 25. Down 18 among those you can't.

They typically can't match ~60% of respondents, for what it's worth. Even if you don't take into account that you can register to vote at your caucus location (and therefore the candidate doing better among first time voters will underperform on this measurement), there are plenty of reasons why they wouldn't be able to accurately match all respondents to a voter list, even if they are registered
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 13 queries.