IA/NH/SC-NBC/WSJ: Trump Leads Everywhere; Close D Race

[Mr. Morden]

Does anyone want to bet on a surprise Rubio win in Iowa ?

The quotas on William Hill are good:

1:21

I doubt he'll win, but it would be funny if he snuck into the top two at the last minute, after all this talk of it being a Cruz-Trump race.  I wonder if that would be enough to give him big mo' in New Hampshire, a la Buchanan '96.

[Mr. Morden]

In Iowa, on the Dem. side, who leads in…?

Eastern Cities: Clinton +12
East Central: Sanders +3
Des Moines area: Clinton +8
Central: Sanders +6
West: Sanders +6

In Iowa, on the GOP side, who leads among…?

moderates: Rubio
conservatives: Trump
Tea Party supporters: Cruz
Des Moines area: Cruz
all other regions of the state: Trump
college graduate: Cruz
not college graduate: Trump

college graduate:
Cruz 26%
Rubio 24%
Trump 20%

not college graduate:
Trump 42%
Cruz 24%
Rubio 12%

[Mr. Morden]

In Iowa, on the Dem. side, who leads in…?

Eastern Cities: Clinton +12
East Central: Sanders +3
Des Moines area: Clinton +8
Central: Sanders +6
West: Sanders +6

Do you have a link to where this info came from? I'm not finding it in the press link and I am interested to see how they define the geography of the state. That is not how I expected the map would look, but who knows.

At the bottom of this page, there are links to all the crosstabs:

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/128-trump-leads-in-ia-nh-and-sc-clinton-and-sanders-competitive-in-ia-sanders-up-in-nh-clinton-leads-in-sc/

Click on the "likely Democratic caucus-goers" link for Iowa.

[Mr. Morden]

In South Carolina, Democratic race by race:

whites:
Clinton 52%
Sanders 41%

blacks:
Clinton 74%
Sanders 17%