The Delegate Fight: 2016 (user search)
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  The Delegate Fight: 2016 (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Delegate Fight: 2016  (Read 98012 times)
Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 18,833
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Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« on: February 02, 2016, 12:23:08 PM »

Speaking of the GOP party leader delegates, will you be keeping track of their public endorsements (in states that don't bind them to the public vote) like you are for DNC superdelegates?

Per Wikipedia's endorsement page, Christie and Rubio have one each; Huckabee had one before dropping out
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Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« Reply #1 on: February 24, 2016, 01:56:34 PM »

I believe the official delegate count right now is:

Trump: 81
Rubio: 17
Cruz: 17
Kasich: 6
Carson: 4

I believe you have Rubios totals incorrect for NH and Nevada where you have him with 2 and 7, respectively. While he received 3 and 8 delegates in each state.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_delegate_count.html

Your link has not been updated to reflect this in NH:
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/gop-primaries/270310-trump-wins-additional-nh-delegate

Your link does correctly show Rubio with 7 delegates in NV, though
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Bacon King
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Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« Reply #2 on: March 04, 2016, 12:24:16 PM »

Erc your interpretation had not occurred to me, but after reading the GA GOP rules it does seem more correct than the other interpretation. The important part for me is that the subsection of the rules your above quote is in starts with:

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i.e. the RNC delegates are included as part of the proportional allocation (and therefore not just awarded to the winner)

However what really matters is how the state party itself interprets that rule, so the only way to really find out what's going to happen would be to contact them
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Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« Reply #3 on: March 16, 2016, 11:28:23 PM »

Erc can you start a blog and put all your posts in this topic on it? I keep wanting to link people to your stuff but I keep forgetting it's all just forum posts
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Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« Reply #4 on: March 31, 2016, 02:09:27 PM »

Erc how likely is this to lead to a Contests/Credentials dispute

http://time.com/4278295/donald-trump-loyalty-pledge-south-carolina-delegates/

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Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« Reply #5 on: March 31, 2016, 02:33:12 PM »

I don't know where else to post this

the GOP is preparing for an open convention with this educational site: https://gop.com/convention-facts/?mid=68749&rid=13491920&convention_type=how
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Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« Reply #6 on: March 31, 2016, 02:57:02 PM »

In the event that Trump is ruled ineligible in SC, his delegates would go to Cruz instead (assuming Rubio is not placed into nomination).  Of course, it's not incredibly clear Cruz is eligible, either, in which case the delegates would be unbound.

in the event they do become unbound, they would still be allowed to cast votes for Trump and Cruz if they wanted to right?
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Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« Reply #7 on: March 31, 2016, 03:15:37 PM »


Why doesn't every state keep delegates bound to a candidate, even after dropping out.  Re-allocating them can help someone to get to 1237 who doesn't deserve it.

Rubio's Louisiana delegates weren't re-allocated, they are free to vote for whoever they want
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Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« Reply #8 on: March 31, 2016, 03:39:53 PM »

The first four appointees to the Rules Committee all want to slash Rule 40

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/republican-convention-rules-trump-cruz-221355
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Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« Reply #9 on: April 01, 2016, 05:04:06 PM »

http://www.amazon.com/Chaos-Outsiders-Contested-Republican-Convention/dp/0692630163?ie=UTF8&keywords=contested%20chaos&qid=1459546792&ref_=sr_1_1&sr=8-1

I just bought John Yob's book Chaos: The Outsider's Guide to a Contested Republican National Convention.  Will let you guys know how it is.

Anyone else buy it yet?

Yes! It's next on my reading list
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Bacon King
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 18,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« Reply #10 on: April 07, 2016, 07:34:26 AM »

Erc I think you're wrong:
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If he gets 50%, he wins all the delegates. NY is a winner take most state.

A lot of NY delegation is awarded by CD

In disagreements between Erc and random non-official websites, I will side with Erc every time
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