2016: Jay Nixon vs. Marco Rubio

[Suburbia]

Moderate Democratic governor Jay Nixon of Missouri wins the Democratic nomination, beating insurgent candidates Keith Ellison and Elizabeth Warren, faces off against Florida Senator Marco Rubio who unites the G.O.P. Who would win this match-up?

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

After Ferguson, there's no way Nixon gets the support of young, liberal Democrats, especially considering his association with the Blue Dog wing of the party. In all likelihood, these voters either stay home or support a third party, with the result that Rubio trounces Nixon in the fall.

Sen. Marco Rubio / Gov. John Kasich (REP) 297 EV, 50% pv
Gov. Jay Nixon / Gov. Martin O'Malley (DEM) 241 EV, 42% pv
Dr. Jill Stein / Dr. Kent Mesplay (GREEN) 0 EV, 6% pv

[Prince of Salem]

After Ferguson, there's no way Nixon gets the support of young, liberal Democrats, especially considering his association with the Blue Dog wing of the party. In all likelihood, these voters either stay home or support a third party, with the result that Rubio trounces Nixon in the fall.

Sen. Marco Rubio / Gov. John Kasich (REP) 297 EV, 50% pv
Gov. Jay Nixon / Gov. Martin O'Malley (DEM) 241 EV, 42% pv
Dr. Jill Stein / Dr. Kent Mesplay (GREEN) 0 EV, 6% pv

I wonder how MN, NH, and PA would go Democratic in this situation.

[Sir Mohamed]

Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/Governor John Kasich (R-OH): 291 EV. (50.8%)
Governor Jay Nixon (D-MO)/Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): 247 EV. (47.1%)

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

I wonder how MN, NH, and PA would go Democratic in this situation.

I was torn about those three: on second thought, Rubio would probably carry all three in the event that there was a major defection by young liberals from the Nixon ticket.

So, the electoral map would look like this:

Sen. Marco Rubio / Gov. John Kasich (REP) 331 EV, 50% pv
Gov. Jay Nixon / Gov. Martin O'Malley (DEM) 207 EV, 42% pv
Dr. Jill Stein / Dr. Kent Mesplay (GREEN) 0 EV, 6% pv

[Kingpoleon]

332: Sen. Marco Rubio(R-FL)/Gov. Christopher Christie(R-NJ) - 52.8%
206: Gov. Jay Nixon(D-MO)/Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom(D-CA) - 45.6%