ARG-NH: TRUMP surging since December poll!
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  ARG-NH: TRUMP surging since December poll!
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Author Topic: ARG-NH: TRUMP surging since December poll!  (Read 3030 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« on: January 11, 2016, 10:39:56 AM »
« edited: January 17, 2016, 06:27:39 AM by Tender Branson »

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html

Trump: 25 (+4)
Kasich 14 (+1)
Rubio 14 (-1)
Christie 10 (-2)
Cruz 9 (-1)
Bush 8 (+1)
Paul 4 (nc)
Fiorina 3 (-2)
Carson 2 (-4)
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #1 on: January 11, 2016, 10:43:18 AM »

Please stop acting like a troll. And please stop writing Trump in caps. You are so irritating.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #2 on: January 11, 2016, 10:44:01 AM »

Cruz is at 9%.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: January 11, 2016, 10:45:35 AM »

NOTE: I will not be including Cruz's numbers in any poll reports until his constitutional eligibility has been sorted out. We just don't know!

Reported for sillyness.

Anyway, don't be such a dick Lief.

I'm the moderator and I tell you that you WILL in fact enter Cruz's numbers or you are not posting any incomplete polls in the future.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #4 on: January 11, 2016, 10:51:03 AM »

I thought if you troll you can be banned or am I wrong.
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cxs018
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« Reply #5 on: January 11, 2016, 10:53:45 AM »

Kasich at 14? Time we put this poll in the traaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaysh.
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Skye
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« Reply #6 on: January 11, 2016, 10:55:09 AM »

Your trolling is getting annoying fast, Lief.

Anyway, it's weird seeing Kasich on second place.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: January 11, 2016, 10:59:42 AM »

Please stop acting like a troll. And please stop writing Trump in caps. You are so irritating.

I will write TRUMP's name however I see fit, thank you.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8 on: January 11, 2016, 11:01:48 AM »

Please stop acting like a troll. And please stop writing Trump in caps. You are so irritating.

I will write TRUMP's name however I see fit, thank you.

You can write Trump however you want, but not posting the numbers of a top candidate is against the rules.
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Torie
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« Reply #9 on: January 11, 2016, 11:04:54 AM »

Please stop acting like a troll. And please stop writing Trump in caps. You are so irritating.

That might incite Lief to just increase the size of his font. Tongue

If I had put up this poll, my trolling veneer would be that "Establishment Pub quartet crushing the twin Democratic useful tools Trump/Cruz in NH by 11%!"  Two can play this game. Smiley
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Torie
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« Reply #10 on: January 11, 2016, 11:07:46 AM »
« Edited: January 11, 2016, 11:10:42 AM by Torie »

Please stop acting like a troll. And please stop writing Trump in caps. You are so irritating.

I will write TRUMP's name however I see fit, thank you.

You can write Trump however you want, but not posting the numbers of a top candidate is against the rules.

Are these rules in print somewhere? If not, they should be, and in a readily accessible place, such as in a stickied thread at the top of this board. It's not really fair to chastise posters about rules as to which no adequate notice has been given.  I in my ignorance was unaware of such rules FWIW.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #11 on: January 11, 2016, 11:18:41 AM »

Please stop acting like a troll. And please stop writing Trump in caps. You are so irritating.

I will write TRUMP's name however I see fit, thank you.

You can write Trump however you want, but not posting the numbers of a top candidate is against the rules.

Are these rules in print somewhere? If not, they should be, and in a readily accessible place, such as in a stickied thread at the top of this board. It's not really fair to chastise posters about rules as to which no adequate notice has been given.  I in my ignorance was unaware of such rules FWIW.

They can be found here, from 2011.

They are not here, because everytime a new election board is created, DAVE does not copy the rules into the new board.

Of course, the rule ("not leaving out numbers of top-contenders") is not in there, because until now (= Lief) nobody has ever left out numbers of a top contender.
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Slow Learner
Battenberg
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« Reply #12 on: January 11, 2016, 11:20:32 AM »

Kasich at 14? ARG?

Nope.
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Torie
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« Reply #13 on: January 11, 2016, 11:21:20 AM »
« Edited: January 11, 2016, 11:24:10 AM by Torie »

Please stop acting like a troll. And please stop writing Trump in caps. You are so irritating.

I will write TRUMP's name however I see fit, thank you.

You can write Trump however you want, but not posting the numbers of a top candidate is against the rules.

Are these rules in print somewhere? If not, they should be, and in a readily accessible place, such as in a stickied thread at the top of this board. It's not really fair to chastise posters about rules as to which no adequate notice has been given.  I in my ignorance was unaware of such rules FWIW.

They can be found here, from 2011.

They are not here, because everytime a new election board is created, DAVE does not copy the rules into the new board.

Of course, the rule ("not leaving out numbers of top-contenders") is not in there, because until now (= Lief) nobody has ever left out numbers of a top contender.

OK, I suggest you put them up. You have every right to create your own rules provided they are reasonable for boards that you moderate (I have a couple for the Individual Politics board), and these are certainly reasonable (and if Dave's rules, it does not matter whether or not they are reasonable), including your codicil about giving the poll numbers for all those included in the poll.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #14 on: January 11, 2016, 11:36:07 AM »

Please stop acting like a troll. And please stop writing Trump in caps. You are so irritating.

I will write TRUMP's name however I see fit, thank you.
Looks like is time to put this low energy irritating troll on IGNORE.
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mds32
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« Reply #15 on: January 11, 2016, 11:41:15 AM »

Please stop acting like a troll. And please stop writing Trump in caps. You are so irritating.

It is getting on my nerves as well.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #16 on: January 11, 2016, 11:54:19 AM »

Can't wait until Kasich finishes second to Trump. Cheesy
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mds32
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« Reply #17 on: January 11, 2016, 12:06:56 PM »

Please stop acting like a troll. And please stop writing Trump in caps. You are so irritating.

I will write TRUMP's name however I see fit, thank you.

Well you are becoming more than just irritating now.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #18 on: January 11, 2016, 12:14:21 PM »

The party registration gap is interesting in this:

Primary Voters — Republicans (57%), Undeclared (43%)
TRUMP 19% 34%
Rubio 14% 14%
Kasich 13% 15%
Christie 13% 7%
Cruz 10% 8%
Bush   12%   3%
Paul 2% 6%
Fiorina 3% 4%
Carson 3% 1%
Huckabee 1% 0%
Santourm 1% 0%
Other 1% 1%
Undecided 8% 7%

Edit: I fixed TRUMP's name for Lief.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #19 on: January 11, 2016, 12:21:11 PM »

Thank you! Mr. TRUMP prefers that his name be written in all caps, to properly convey the energy and strength with which he says it.
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Wells
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« Reply #20 on: January 11, 2016, 01:00:47 PM »

As much as I would like to see Kasich that high, this is an ARG poll.
But Monmouth did have Kasich at the same number.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #21 on: January 11, 2016, 01:10:40 PM »

Now the moderators are going to enforce rules not even on the books? Typical leftists. We have no choice but to enforce the law of the forum until we can figure out what's going on.
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Zanas
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« Reply #22 on: January 11, 2016, 01:27:14 PM »

The party registration gap is interesting in this:

Primary Voters — Republicans (57%), Undeclared (43%)
Trump 19% 34%
Rubio 14% 14%
Kasich 13% 15%
Christie 13% 7%
Cruz 10% 8%
Bush   12%   3%
Paul 2% 6%
Fiorina 3% 4%
Carson 3% 1%
Huckabee 1% 0%
Santourm 1% 0%
Other 1% 1%
Undecided 8% 7%

These figures really ask the question whether Trump's undeclared and nonpartisan supporters will actually show up to indeed vote for him, and I would answer that by a mild negative.
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Torie
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« Reply #23 on: January 11, 2016, 01:41:18 PM »

Now the moderators are going to enforce rules not even on the books? Typical leftists. We have no choice but to enforce the law of the forum until we can figure out what's going on.

Is the "law of the forum" the same as "natural law?" Or is it more the Lord of the Flies law, or the law of the jungle, or what? Inquiring minds want to know.

cc: Justice TJ
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #24 on: January 11, 2016, 01:43:27 PM »

The party registration gap is interesting in this:

Primary Voters — Republicans (57%), Undeclared (43%)
Trump 19% 34%
Rubio 14% 14%
Kasich 13% 15%
Christie 13% 7%
Cruz 10% 8%
Bush   12%   3%
Paul 2% 6%
Fiorina 3% 4%
Carson 3% 1%
Huckabee 1% 0%
Santourm 1% 0%
Other 1% 1%
Undecided 8% 7%

These figures really ask the question whether Trump's undeclared and nonpartisan supporters will actually show up to indeed vote for him, and I would answer that by a mild negative.

They actually asked the question "Preference by likely to vote:" Of the people they polled 85% said they were likely to vote against only 15% who said they were unlikely.
Candidate — Percentage likely to vote (percentage unlikely to vote)
Trump — 23% (33%)
Rubio — 16% (11%)
Kasich — 15% (8%)
Christie — 11% (7%)
Cruz — 9% (7%)
Bush   — 9% (5%)
Fiorina — 3% (5%)
Paul — 2% (9%)
Carson — 2% (3%)
Huckabee — 1% (0%)
Santorum — 1% (0%)
Other — 1% (3%)
Undecided — 7% (9%)

Well, it still shows a Trump lead, just by a slightly narrower margin.

Also, not to be critical, but the PDF is there as well. You can also access the document and post the results in a specific aspect if you find them interesting.
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