CNN/ORC poll: Trump 39% Cruz 18% Carson/Rubio 10% Christie 5%

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Poll numbers (change from last month)

Trump 39% (+3)
Cruz 18% (+2)
Carson 10% (-4)
Rubio 10% (-2)
Christie 5% (+1)
Paul 4% (+3)
Bush 3% (nc)

Huckabee 2% (nc)
Kasich 2% (nc)
Fiorina 1% (-2)

Pataki/Santorum/Gilmore 0%

Best job at debate

Trump 33%
Cruz 28%
Rubio 13%
Christie 6%
Fiorina 4%
Carson 2%
Paul 2%

Bush/Huckabee/Kasich/Graham 1%

Pataki/Santorum 0%

Favorables (All Adults)

(favorable/unfavorable)


Rubio 46/34 (+12)
Cruz 45/39 (+6)
Carson 43/40 (+3)
Trump 39/57 (-18)
Christie 37/46 (-9)
Bush 34/57 (-23)
Kasich 22/31 (-9)


Who leads amongst the groups?

Men: Trump
Women: Trump
50-64: Trump
65+: Trump
Under 55: Trump
Income under 50K: Trump
Income above 50k: Trump
College Grad: Trump
Non College Grad: Trump (46%!)
Independents: TRUMP
Moderate: TRUMP (41%)
Conservative: TRUMP (38%)
Southerners: Trump
Sub-urban: TRUMP
Supports Tea Party: Trump
Neutral to Tea Party: Trump
Evangelical: Trump (45%)



http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/12/22/cnnpoll.pdf

[weixiaobao]

Look like Rand may survive into the main debate afterall if this keep up.

Rand may overtake Bush in Iowa also.  But Bush's NH #s meant he will survive. 

So the chance is Bush will make it to the debate.  Rand has a glimpse of hope of getting into the main debate.  So the main debate will have 6 or 7 people, or if Kasich get lucky and Bush fell of the map in New Hampshire. 

Then boy oh boy, Bush won't even make it into the main debate. 

[Sir Mohamed]

LOL, the Donald tops everyone but is still the most disliked guy.

[weixiaobao]

LOL, the Donald tops everyone but is still the most disliked guy.

It doesn't even make sense.  39% will vote for him now (not to mentioned his 2nd choice if there is any) but only 30% held him favorably. 

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

LOL, the Donald tops everyone but is still the most disliked guy.

It doesn't even make sense.  39% will vote for him now (not to mentioned his 2nd choice if there is any) but only 30% held him favorably. 

Maybe they're masochists?

[Mr. Morden]

LOL, the Donald tops everyone but is still the most disliked guy.

It doesn't even make sense.  39% will vote for him now (not to mentioned his 2nd choice if there is any) but only 30% held him favorably. 

There's a typo in the OP.  39% have a favorable opinion of him, not 30%.  But that's 39% of all Americans.  If you narrow it down to Republican registered voters, then 72% of that group have a favorable opinion of Trump.  And that's the group that's being polled in the primary matchup, not all Americans.

[weixiaobao]

LOL, the Donald tops everyone but is still the most disliked guy.

It doesn't even make sense.  39% will vote for him now (not to mentioned his 2nd choice if there is any) but only 30% held him favorably. 

There's a typo in the OP.  39% have a favorable opinion of him, not 30%.  But that's 39% of all Americans.  If you narrow it down to Republican registered voters, then 72% of that group have a favorable opinion of Trump.  And that's the group that's being polled in the primary matchup, not all Americans.

okay, Trump has became an unstoppable Monster.  O____O

Thank..

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

LOL, the Donald tops everyone but is still the most disliked guy.

It doesn't even make sense.  39% will vote for him now (not to mentioned his 2nd choice if there is any) but only 30% held him favorably. 

There's a typo in the OP.  39% have a favorable opinion of him, not 30%.  But that's 39% of all Americans.  If you narrow it down to Republican registered voters, then 72% of that group have a favorable opinion of Trump.  And that's the group that's being polled in the primary matchup, not all Americans.

Noted. Fixed

[weixiaobao]

Compare Trump's December # with older polls in either November or October.  And compare to his last highest ceiling in September/post Alabama rally.

Monmouth (+13 since Oct) (+11 Aug/Sep peak)
CNN/ORC (+12 since Oct) (+7 Aug/Sep peak)
Fox (+11 since Nov)
NBC/WSJ (+4 since Oct)
Rasmussen (+2 since Nov)
Quinnipiac (+4 since Nov) (+0 Aug/Sep peak)
CBS/NYT (+13 since Oct) (+8 Aug/Sep peak)
Emerson (+4 since Oct) (+2.4 since Aug/Sep peak)
PPP (+8 since Nov) (+5 Aug/Sep peak)
ABC/WaPo (+6 since Nov) (+5 Aug/Sep peak)
IBD/TIPP (-1 since Oct)
PRRI (+1 since Nov)

Internet polls are a tad weird.
But phone polls basically follow a trend except for the outliers that are highlight.
Trump ceiling had move up since his last ceiling in September.

[Mr. Morden]

LOL, the Donald tops everyone but is still the most disliked guy.

It doesn't even make sense.  39% will vote for him now (not to mentioned his 2nd choice if there is any) but only 30% held him favorably. 

There's a typo in the OP.  39% have a favorable opinion of him, not 30%.  But that's 39% of all Americans.  If you narrow it down to Republican registered voters, then 72% of that group have a favorable opinion of Trump.  And that's the group that's being polled in the primary matchup, not all Americans.

okay, Trump has became an unstoppable Monster.  O____O

Well, we'll see. 

His national #s are ~10 points higher than his #s in Iowa and New Hampshire, so we'll see what happens in those two states, and then what develops from there.

[weixiaobao]

His national #s are ~10 points higher than his #s in Iowa and New Hampshire, so we'll see what happens in those two states, and then what develops from there.

All I am seeing is that Christie's rise is poisonous for Bush if this trend continue (that his #s are dropping even further and not stabilize).  It would be embarrassing f he have to be in the undercard either for the next debate or the one after that.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Great news!

[Oakvale]

TRUMP.

[The Other Castro]

Trump is now above 35% on RCP average for the first time, and will most likely continue to grow as the older polls with him at lower numbers drop off the average.

[Lief 🗽]

Great poll! I told you guys not to pay any attention to Quinnipiac's garbage from yesterday.

[Beezer]

Merry Christmas America.

[The Other Castro]

Based on past trends, a CNN Dem poll may be coming out later today.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

So in other words...If we get a couple more polls like this, Rand will still be in the primetime debate

[Likely Voter]

So in other words...If we get a couple more polls like this, Rand will still be in the primetime debate

Well a couple wouldn't do it, Paul would need four more polls where he is outpolling or tying Bush to get in. And that assumes there will be four more polls.

This may be the last major national poll of the year, unclear if there will be four new national polls before the 11th of Jan.

[OkThen]

Also interesting that Trump is now up to 71/28 favorability among Republicans. Don't think I've seen it that high yet?

[Comrade Funk]

I admit it. He's gonna win.

[Oak Hills]

TRUMP.

Yes, what about him?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Jeb leading from behind in 7th place!

[Mr. Illini]

This man cannot be taken down

[Crumpets]

Dang, Fiorina.