White Birth Rate Rising, Hispanic Declining

[Young Conservative]

How will the decline of Hispanic Birthrate corresponding with an increase in white birth rate relate to future presidential cycles? Will this trend continue or is it temporary and which states will be most affected in presidential cycles?

Here are two articles

http://dailycaller.com/2015/03/19/no-hispanic-surge-on-the-horizon/

http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-birthrate-hits-turning-point-1434513662

[Nyvin]

The articles talk about a decline in Hispanic TFR from 2.35 to 2.15, and an increase in white TFR from 1.85 to 1.86.

Fertility rates changing "now" won't affect elections for generations to come, until the early 2030's at the earliest.   By that time an entire political realignment could easily happen.   

Also the changes are very minor,   the changes in white TFR could be summed up as statistical noise.    The Hispanic changes are just a continuation of a long term trend.

[muon2]

The data in the article suggests that Latinos, like immigrants from Europe 100 years ago, are assimilating to match US averages. That's consistent with the large Latino population in my neighborhood. As the generations pass, birth rates look more and more like the rest of the community.