Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans by 1-10 pts
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  Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans by 1-10 pts
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans by 1-10 pts  (Read 2624 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: December 02, 2015, 06:25:34 AM »

Quinnipiac national poll, conducted Nov. 23-30:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2307

Clinton 46%
Carson 43%

Clinton 47%
Trump 41%

Clinton 45%
Rubio 44%

Clinton 47%
Cruz 42%

Sanders 47%
Carson 41%

Sanders 49%
Trump 41%

Sanders 44%
Rubio 43%

Sanders 49%
Cruz 39%
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2015, 06:41:51 AM »

So does Quinnipiac think the Democrats are going to win California and New York by 40 points or what? Because their national polls and state polls don't make any sense other wise.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #2 on: December 02, 2015, 06:52:24 AM »

How is Sanders beating Clinton?

I mean, national polls a year out generally aren't too accurate, but still...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: December 02, 2015, 07:02:18 AM »

So does Quinnipiac think the Democrats are going to win California and New York by 40 points or what? Because their national polls and state polls don't make any sense other wise.


Its probably Clinton +3, like the PPP has it, obviously the CO POLL was off.
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Skye
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« Reply #4 on: December 02, 2015, 09:15:42 AM »

Rubio isn't half bad. As usual, Trump's numbers are abysmal.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: December 02, 2015, 09:58:12 AM »

Why'd they conduct a poll over Thanksgiving weekend?
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henster
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« Reply #6 on: December 02, 2015, 10:35:23 AM »

So, yes Sanders was right about him being more electable than Hillary, at least at this moment. His team should really publicize these polls.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #7 on: December 02, 2015, 10:46:41 AM »

Hillary's favorables still stink, Sanders' are okay now. Doesn't mean Hillary can't turn it around during the general/Sanders stinks it up if he wins the nom.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: December 02, 2015, 10:52:09 AM »

Her favs are tied to Obama, that's why Biden didnt run.

These numbers are too favorable towards Dems anyway. The PPP poll showing Clinton marginally ahead of Trump is a bit better.

Once Clinton steps put of Obama's shadow at convention, her polls will get better.
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Holmes
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« Reply #9 on: December 02, 2015, 11:45:18 AM »

Yeah, Sanders is so much more electable before Independents and Republicans know about his $1 trillion infrastructure spending plan, or how he'll pay for his universal health care. Does anyone remember what happened the last time the term "$1 trillion" came up when Obama proposed his stimulus plan? It didn't go well. Clinton's been dragged through the mud for the past year, Bernie's been hit with the kiddie gloves. Can we put this argument to rest?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #10 on: December 02, 2015, 11:51:53 AM »

Is this a joke?
Or does Quinnipiac really thinks that the Democrats lead nationally while losing Colorado and Florida by double digits?
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EliteLX
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« Reply #11 on: December 02, 2015, 03:28:33 PM »
« Edited: December 02, 2015, 03:30:59 PM by EliteLX »

Goodness, Quinnipiac can't make up their minds. It's either 1984 or 2008 and they can't quite decide.

newsflash: it won't be close to either.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: December 02, 2015, 03:44:55 PM »

This is a Registered poll, they tend to favor Dems. QU will be wind up where PPP is, eventually. Marginally close race, with Clinton slightly ahead.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #13 on: December 02, 2015, 04:20:22 PM »

This is a Registered poll, they tend to favor Dems. QU will be wind up where PPP is, eventually. Marginally close race, with Clinton slightly ahead.

As to the current state of the race, agreed. I would argue Clinton & Rubio race is about neck and neck though, there is most likely little official lead towards either candidate.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #14 on: December 02, 2015, 04:46:54 PM »

Why'd they conduct a poll over Thanksgiving weekend?

Good point - all the Republicans were probably out with family and/or supporting commercialism while Democrats hid inside all weekend long.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: December 02, 2015, 05:16:49 PM »

So according to Quinnipiac, Hillary is leading nationwide but trailing by eleventy bajillion points in every swing state. Roll Eyes
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Maxwell
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« Reply #16 on: December 02, 2015, 05:24:27 PM »

So according to Quinnipiac, Hillary is leading nationwide but trailing by eleventy bajillion points in every swing state. Roll Eyes

That's why trusting general election polls this early on makes no sense - eccentricities in certain states are exaggerated, only to make sense again when the general election rears its head.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #17 on: December 02, 2015, 05:55:40 PM »

So according to Quinnipiac, Hillary is leading nationwide but trailing by eleventy bajillion points in every swing state. Roll Eyes

It could be that the recent statewide polls are from a time when Democrats reeled in the polls, and the nationwide poll reflects a time in which Democrats have recovered.

That happens on occasion. There will be blips.
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jfern
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« Reply #18 on: December 02, 2015, 11:31:34 PM »

As usual, Bernie is stronger in the general. Difference is

Carson: Bernie +3
Trump: Bernie +2
Cruz: Bernie +5
Rubio: Same

Hillary and Bernie both have a 44% favorable rating. But her disfavorable rating is 20 points worse, 51% vs 31%. I suspect the undecideds will break very heavily against Hillary in the general election.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #19 on: December 02, 2015, 11:43:25 PM »

As usual, Bernie is stronger in the general. Difference is

Carson: Bernie +3
Trump: Bernie +2
Cruz: Bernie +5
Rubio: Same

Hillary and Bernie both have a 44% favorable rating. But her disfavorable rating is 20 points worse, 51% vs 31%. I suspect the undecideds will break very heavily against Hillary in the general election.

Sanders has received about 1% of the Republican/media attacks that Hillary has. Of course he's going to poll better. It's the Biden effect.
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Holmes
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« Reply #20 on: December 03, 2015, 12:21:38 AM »

As usual, Bernie is stronger in the general. Difference is

Carson: Bernie +3
Trump: Bernie +2
Cruz: Bernie +5
Rubio: Same

Hillary and Bernie both have a 44% favorable rating. But her disfavorable rating is 20 points worse, 51% vs 31%. I suspect the undecideds will break very heavily against Hillary in the general election.

Sanders has received about 1% of the Republican/media attacks that Hillary has. Of course he's going to poll better. It's the Biden effect.

This. I'm actually surprised he's not doing much better than he is. It's a testament to how strong Hillary really is.
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jfern
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« Reply #21 on: December 03, 2015, 12:30:55 AM »

As usual, Bernie is stronger in the general. Difference is

Carson: Bernie +3
Trump: Bernie +2
Cruz: Bernie +5
Rubio: Same

Hillary and Bernie both have a 44% favorable rating. But her disfavorable rating is 20 points worse, 51% vs 31%. I suspect the undecideds will break very heavily against Hillary in the general election.

Sanders has received about 1% of the Republican/media attacks that Hillary has. Of course he's going to poll better. It's the Biden effect.

This. I'm actually surprised he's not doing much better than he is. It's a testament to how strong Hillary really is.

LOL, the fact that Hillary has gotten somewhat more attacks can in no way explain why she's got 20% more who are disfavorable to her. Bernie has a lot of room to grow with his 44% favorable rating. Hillary is stuck in the mid 40s.
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Holmes
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« Reply #22 on: December 03, 2015, 12:41:48 AM »

As usual, Bernie is stronger in the general. Difference is

Carson: Bernie +3
Trump: Bernie +2
Cruz: Bernie +5
Rubio: Same

Hillary and Bernie both have a 44% favorable rating. But her disfavorable rating is 20 points worse, 51% vs 31%. I suspect the undecideds will break very heavily against Hillary in the general election.

Sanders has received about 1% of the Republican/media attacks that Hillary has. Of course he's going to poll better. It's the Biden effect.

This. I'm actually surprised he's not doing much better than he is. It's a testament to how strong Hillary really is.

LOL, the fact that Hillary has gotten somewhat more attacks can in no way explain why she's got 20% more who are disfavorable to her. Bernie has a lot of room to grow with his 44% favorable rating. Hillary is stuck in the mid 40s.

So Clinton has a higher unfavorable rating than Bernie, and yet performs similarly to him in general election matchups and leads everyone? Beast.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #23 on: December 03, 2015, 01:00:52 AM »

It's because Bernie isn't going to win the nomination and no one is going to waste time, energy or money on going after him properly. If they thought he was a chance? Watch those numbers collapse.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #24 on: December 03, 2015, 01:31:20 AM »

I'm sceptical of this poll, because it was done during Thanksgiving.

Over the TG holidays, even Obama's approval went up from 44% to about 50% in the tracking polls, which could mean this sample here is more Democratic than usual.

With the holidays over and the donkeys of the nation (=Democrats) back at work and not picking up the phones anymore, the polls are now back to normal. This poll is probably about 5% too Dem-friendly.
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