Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread
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Author Topic: Kentucky 2015 - Predictions and Results Thread  (Read 52715 times)
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« on: November 01, 2015, 03:26:10 AM »
The General Election in Kentucky will take place on November 3. Elections are as follows:

Agriculture Commissioner:

Ryan Quarles (R)
Jean-Marie Lawson Spann (D)

Attorney General:

Whitney Westerfield (R)
Andy Beshear (D)

Auditor:

Adam Edelen (D, inc.)
Mike Harmon (R)

Governor:

Matt Bevin (R)
Jack Conway (D)
Drew Curtis (I)

Secretary of State:

Alison Lundergan Grimes (D, inc.)
Stephen Knipper (R)

Supreme Court District 7:

Sam Wright (I)
Janet Stumbo (I)

Treasurer:

Allison Ball (R)
Rick Nelson (D)

My Predictions

Conway wins 49-46

Ball and Quarles win, but Democrats sweep all other statewide offices
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2015, 06:18:55 AM »
49.2% Conway
45.7% Bevin
  5.1% Curtis
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windjammer
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2015, 07:25:14 AM »
Bevin wins,
Lundergan, Beshear and Edelen survive.
The 2 other races: republicans.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2015, 07:35:57 AM »
Conway - 49%
Bevin - 47%
Curtis - 4%

Quarles, Beshear, Edelen, Grimes, Wright, and Ball win.
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Skye
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2015, 10:09:32 AM »
Bevin wins, under 40%.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2015, 10:40:49 AM »
Conway - 49%
Bevin - 43%
Curtis - 8%
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2015, 10:51:26 AM »
Conway 49-47
Grimes, Beshar, Edelen win and the other 2 races go Republican.
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2015, 11:33:14 AM »
Conway-47.9%
Bevin-46.2%
Curtis-4.6%
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2015, 11:40:29 AM »
Conway +5 just like every poll says.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2015, 11:43:09 AM »
Bevin wins by 2 points. His campaign is really having momentum right now.

Bevin (R): 48.5%
Conway (D): 46.5%
Curtis (I): 5.0%

Grimes (D), Beshear (D), Harmon (R), Ball (R) and Quarles (R) win as well. Not sure about the first three, though, these races could go either way.
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Torie
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2015, 11:45:52 AM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on November 01, 2015, 11:43:09 AM
Bevin wins by 2 points. His campaign is really having momentum right now.

Bevin (R): 48.5%
Conway (D): 46.5%
Curtis (I): 5.0%

Grimes (D), Beshear (D), Harmon (R), Ball (R) and Quarles (R) win as well. Not sure about the first three, though, these races could go either way.

What is the basis for your discerning such momentum?
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2015, 11:49:10 AM »
Bevin- 50%
Conway- 46%
Curtis- 4%

Republicans sweep all statewide offices.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2015, 11:52:07 AM »

Did you see the poll that had Grimes +13?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2015, 11:55:09 AM »
Quote from: Torie on November 01, 2015, 11:45:52 AM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on November 01, 2015, 11:43:09 AM
Bevin wins by 2 points. His campaign is really having momentum right now.

Bevin (R): 48.5%
Conway (D): 46.5%
Curtis (I): 5.0%

Grimes (D), Beshear (D), Harmon (R), Ball (R) and Quarles (R) win as well. Not sure about the first three, though, these races could go either way.

What is the basis for your discerning such momentum?

It's more than wishful thinking, really. Most Republicans are coming home and even his Republican rivals have publicly endorsed Bevin this week. The question is whether it will be enough - that remains to be seen. Smiley This could go either way and who knows - maybe KY polls are actually right this time and Conway wins by 5 or 6. My guess is still Bevin by 2 or so.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2015, 12:07:42 PM »
Conway (D) - 49%
Bevin (R) - 48%
Curtis (I) - 3%
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PPT Spiral
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2015, 12:45:29 PM »
Conway - 51%
Bevin - 45%
Curtis - 4%
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2015, 12:50:04 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2015, 05:30:37 PM by Khristie Kreme Donuts »
Conway 49.9%
Bevin 46.1%
Curtis 4.0%
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2015, 01:50:13 PM »

102% total?Huh
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Hydera
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« Reply #18 on: November 01, 2015, 01:57:58 PM »

Can't be worse than that guy on the other thread who put "51% Conway 49% Bevin"
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #19 on: November 01, 2015, 02:35:25 PM »
Correct prediction 50-45-5, with Conway  barely getting to halfway mark
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JMT
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« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2015, 04:44:39 PM »
Governor:
Bevin (R): 48.4%
Conway (D): 46.9%
Curtis (I): 4.7%

Winners of other races:
AG Commissioner: Quarles (R)
Attorney General: Beshear (D)
Auditor: Edelen (D)
Secretary of State: Grimes (D)
Treasurer: Ball (R)

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International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2015, 05:30:01 PM »
Sorry, made a math error, please don't hurt me Tongue
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2015, 07:41:25 PM »
Conway wins 49-45-4.
Grimes and Beshear win. Not so sure about Edelen.
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morgieb
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« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2015, 07:55:55 PM »
Clearly you never met Talleyrand. He thinks that the Democrats should just fold because they'll lose every election imaginable to the Republicans.
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JMT
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« Reply #24 on: November 01, 2015, 09:00:43 PM »
I'm hoping Edelen wins reelection as auditor and runs against Rand Paul for his Senate seat in 2016.
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