The Mideast Record-Courier: LIVE Coverage of the October Election (GRIFFIN WINS)
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  The Mideast Record-Courier: LIVE Coverage of the October Election (GRIFFIN WINS)
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Author Topic: The Mideast Record-Courier: LIVE Coverage of the October Election (GRIFFIN WINS)  (Read 5678 times)
Barnes
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« Reply #25 on: October 25, 2015, 03:09:02 PM »

As has always been the case, elections have very little to do with any shared sense of ideology. The rather meager turnout figures are also rather dissapointing and I think rather reinforce the earlier point.
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Clyde1998
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« Reply #26 on: October 25, 2015, 03:11:24 PM »

Turnout figures thus far (as of Leinad):

16.67% ANUS      
41.86% Fed   
42.86% Ind
46.15% TPP
47.50% Total   
47.50% Lab      
62.50% Other   
70.00% CR
75.00% NNP   
83.33% D-R

Just dispelling some talking points here. Even though the nominal voter turnout is lower, the composition of the electorate really isn't any different than what we usually see in elections from each party (smallest parties with the highest turnout, Labor on average or slightly above game total turnout, Federalist somewhat below average on turnout). The only stark difference in this election compared to past ones is TPP's lack of turnout.
For the Northeast election results - I'm only counting voters who are eligible to vote in the turnout figures (although this would take much longer to work out for a Federal election). There may be a lot of TPP members who can't vote - due to not reaching the posting requirements.

Maybe people who haven't voted in two Federal elections should be removed from the electoral register - rather than three - in the future.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #27 on: October 25, 2015, 06:04:25 PM »

30% of center-right votes for Griffin?

I swear to the gods, the right deserves what's coming to it...

This is absurd.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #28 on: October 25, 2015, 07:02:24 PM »
« Edited: October 25, 2015, 07:04:28 PM by Trumpenproletariat »

30% of center-right votes for Griffin?

I swear to the gods, the right deserves what's coming to it...

This is absurd.

If it's any consolation, it's certainly lower now that all of those zombies have graced us with their presence!

EDIT: 24%
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Simfan34
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« Reply #29 on: October 25, 2015, 09:28:59 PM »

30% of center-right votes for Griffin?

I swear to the gods, the right deserves what's coming to it...

This is absurd.

If it's any consolation, it's certainly lower now that all of those zombies have graced us with their presence!

EDIT: 24%

I will cut you...
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #30 on: October 25, 2015, 09:45:33 PM »

30% of center-right votes for Griffin?

I swear to the gods, the right deserves what's coming to it...

This is absurd.

If it's any consolation, it's certainly lower now that all of those zombies have graced us with their presence!

EDIT: 24%

I will cut you...

What a low turnout election. Totally embarrassing.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #31 on: October 25, 2015, 10:30:38 PM »


I DID IT! YOUR MAPS ARE OFFICIALLY ILLEGAL!!!

:devil:
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #32 on: October 25, 2015, 10:34:00 PM »


Hate to break it to you, but that bill means nothing in the confines of the existing A-CCM legislation that says people can vote while living abroad. My maps are a reflection of those voters' sentiments in their respective regions.
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #33 on: October 25, 2015, 10:40:10 PM »

With less than two hours before the polls close, Registrar General Griffin is still in the lead, with both of his opponents far behind as of the most recent count. Current projections show the Labor candidate just a few votes below an absolute majority in the first round, nearly 12 points ahead of his nearest opponent, Senator Cris. Barring a late surge, NNP candidate SWE would be eliminated in the first round, with enough of his votes transferring to Mr. Griffin to give him a majority over Mr. Cris.

FOR PRESIDENT (62% Turnout)
Griffin (LAB): 46 (47.9%)
Cris (CR): 35 (36.5%)
SWE (NNP): 15 (15.6%)


On the electoral map, Mr. Griffin has majorities in four of the five Regions in the final round, including the Pacific and the Northeast, which favored Mr. Cris early in the balloting. While both the Pacific and the South remain quite close, in three Regions Mr. Griffin's lead is sufficient sizable for us to predict that he will carry them comfortably. In light of this, the Mideast Record-Courier will now issue the following projections:



✓ GRIFFIN (LAB)
has carried the Northeast


✓ GRIFFIN (LAB)
has carried the Mideast


✓ GRIFFIN (LAB)
has carried the Midwest



Both the Pacific, where Mr. Griffin has a one-vote final round lead, and the South, where he is tied with Senator Cris, remain too close to call.

While the numbers are liable to shift in the final count, it is unlikely that any candidate will have a majority in the first round by the time the polls close, meaning that the second-preferences of the least-popular candidate - currently Senator SWE - will decide the election. Current projections show most of SWE's votes either exhausting themselves or transferring to Mr. Griffin, giving him a respectable majority in the second and final round:

FOR PRESIDENT - FINAL ROUND
✓ Griffin (LAB): 52 (57.8%)
Cris (CR): 38 (42.2%)


Given the size of this lead - nearly 16 percentage points and a total of fourteen ballots - it is highly unlikely that Senator Cris will be able to stage an upset at this point. The Mideast Record-Courier therefore has the following projection to make:



✓GRIFFIN (LAB)
has been elected President


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Barnes
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« Reply #34 on: October 25, 2015, 10:43:45 PM »

I do believe that the polls will be closing in about 17 minutes at 12:00 am EST.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #35 on: October 25, 2015, 10:48:18 PM »

FYI you're supposed to use either Haley Barbour or Andy Griffith for my photo!



I do believe that the polls will be closing in about 17 minutes at 12:00 am EST.

During Daylight Saving they're actually open until 1 AM ET. It was something that has actually been the case for years but wasn't discovered until a year or two ago.
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Barnes
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« Reply #36 on: October 25, 2015, 10:51:18 PM »

FYI you're supposed to use either Haley Barbour or Andy Griffith for my photo!



I do believe that the polls will be closing in about 17 minutes at 12:00 am EST.

During Daylight Saving they're actually open until 1 AM ET. It was something that has actually been the case for years but wasn't discovered until a year or two ago.

Hmm, time is always odd around here! Wink


RG Griffin listening to the election returns.
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #37 on: October 25, 2015, 10:55:50 PM »

In addition, the Mideast Record-Courier has the following projections to make in regards to the Senate:



✓OAKVALE (NNP)
has been elected Northeast Senator


✓BARNES (IND)
has been elected Mideast Senator


✓PiT (FED)
has been elected Southern Senator


✓LUMINE (CR)
has been elected Pacific Senator



As of the most recent counts, all of these candidates hold sizable leads over their respective opponents, and we can predict with confidence that they will be joining the Senate come November. The race in the Midwest, where Senator Maxwell is currently neck-and-neck with write-in candidate RFayette, is currently too close to call.

Full results for each race are as follows:

FOR NE SENATE (56% Turnout)
✓Oakvale (NNP): 15 (62.5%)
Rpryor (CR): 9 (31.5%)


FOR ME SENATE (58% Turnout)
✓Barnes (IND): 14 (60.9%)
JCL (FED): 9 (39.1%)


FOR SO SENATE (46% Turnout)
✓PiT (FED): 11 (84.6%)
Others: 2 (15.4%)


FOR MW SENATE (77% Turnout)
Maxwell (MAGA): 9 (47.4%)
RFayette (TPP): 9 (47.4%)

Others: 1 (5.3%)


FOR NE SENATE (57% Turnout)
✓Lumine Von Reuental (CR): 8 (72.7%)
Nagas (LAB): 3 (27.3%)

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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #38 on: October 25, 2015, 11:08:29 PM »

Technically, Maxwell is ahead by 1 with Tmth's preference in the second round, which is where it would go since neither candidate has a majority in the first round.
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #39 on: October 25, 2015, 11:15:59 PM »

Finally, we have two very important projections to make concerning the Northeast Regional election:



✓ BLAIR (LAB)
has been elected Northeast Governor


X NAY
The Northeast Independence Referendum has failed




With the voting period set to expire in less than an hour, we are confident in projecting both Mr. Blair's election and the success of the NO vote, both of which are leading by large margins in current counts. Full results of these contests are as follows:

FOR NORTHEAST GOVERNOR (52% Turnout)
✓Blair (LAB): 15 (65.2%)
Clyde (NNP): 8 (34.8%)


NORTHEAST INDEPENDENCE REFERENDUM
✓NO: 14 (66.7%)
YES: 7 (33.3%)
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #40 on: October 25, 2015, 11:17:06 PM »

Technically, Maxwell is ahead by 1 with Tmth's preference in the second round, which is where it would go since neither candidate has a majority in the first round.

True, but the vote is still very close, and conceivably someone could vote in the next 45 minutes and turn the race on its head.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #41 on: October 26, 2015, 12:18:24 AM »

TURNOUT FIGURES

TOTAL TURNOUT: 61.6%

TURNOUT BY PARTY:

16.7% ANUS
51.2% Federalist
60.0% Labor
61.5% TPP
66.7% Independent
70.0% C-R
83.3% D-R
87.5% Other
100.00% NNP

TURNOUT BY IDEOLOGY:

59.2% Right
63.2% Left
73.3% Center
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #42 on: October 26, 2015, 01:01:27 AM »

SUPPORT FIGURES

GRIFFIN/CRIS

SUPPORT BY IDEOLOGY:

LEFT: 86/7
CENTER: 55/27
RIGHT: 23/70

SUPPORT BY REGION:

ME: 54/42
MW: 50/40
NE: 59/33
PA: 57/43
SO: 43/50

SUPPORT BY PARTY:

ANUS: 100/0
CR: 29/71
D-R: 40/60
FED: 5/95
IND: 29/64
LAB: 100/0
NNP: 75/0
OTH: 64/14
TPP: 88/12
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #43 on: October 26, 2015, 01:04:47 AM »

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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #44 on: October 26, 2015, 01:54:29 AM »

South just won't forget in them old cottonfields back home.
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #45 on: October 26, 2015, 12:01:26 PM »

With the polls now closed, the Mideast Record-Courier has the following projections to make:



✓ GRIFFIN (LAB)
has carried the Pacific


✓ CRIS (LAB)
has carried the South


✓ MAXWELL (MAGA)
has been elected Midwest Senator



While initial projections showed Mr. Griffin leading in the South and Mr. Cris far ahead in the Pacific, later returns reversed both of these early leads, giving Griffin a two-vote final round majority in the Pacific and Cris a one-vote lead in the South.

Likewise, incumbent Senator Maxwell of the Midwest - who was initially the only candidate contesting his seat, only to see a surprisingly strong write-in campaign for former Rep. RFayette emerge late in the balloting - can now be projected to have won reelection by a single vote, giving the self-proclaimed "radical" faction a total of three seats in the Senate.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #46 on: October 26, 2015, 12:05:18 PM »

Rfayette won the voting for the last two days by 3-1, he just couldn't overcome the seven votes Maxy baby baked into the pie on Friday when there was no competition.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #47 on: October 26, 2015, 12:10:56 PM »

Rfayette won the voting for the last two days by 3-1, he just couldn't overcome the seven votes Maxy baby baked into the pie on Friday when there was no competition.

Time to start the hashtag #endYankeescareer
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #48 on: October 26, 2015, 12:13:56 PM »

Rfayette won the voting for the last two days by 3-1, he just couldn't overcome the seven votes Maxy baby baked into the pie on Friday when there was no competition.

Time to start the hashtag #endYankeescareer

Because that worked out so well for you and your friends last time. Tongue
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Maxwell
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« Reply #49 on: October 26, 2015, 12:14:42 PM »

Rfayette won the voting for the last two days by 3-1, he just couldn't overcome the seven votes Maxy baby baked into the pie on Friday when there was no competition.

Time to start the hashtag #endYankeescareer

Because that worked out so well for you and your friends last time. Tongue

That's right, because you'll just oust your own cronies in desperation for a spot in the Senate again.
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