LA: KPLC: Edwards crushing Vitter in runoff

[Miles]

Article.

Edwards - 32%
Vitter- 24%
Dardenne - 10%
Angelle - 10%

Likely voters:

Edwards - 52%
Vitter - 33%

Registered voters:

Edwards - 48%
Vitter - 32%

[/]

I expect a lot of Dardenne and Angelle voters who abstained from the runoff this time to probably just suck it up and vote for Vitter in the end, but great news nonetheless!

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The three main republicans compose <45% of the vote. Good sign for Edwards. I'll probably keep this as Lean R until at least after the jungle though, it just seems too good to be true.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

I expect a lot of Dardenne and Angelle voters who abstained from the runoff this time to probably just suck it up and vote for Vitter in the end, but great news nonetheless!

It takes a lot of effort for people to show up to the polls a second time in such a brief period. I'd bet on them not showing up. People tend not to care. Especially when it's a 2nd election with a foregone conclusion in an odd numbered year.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I expect a lot of Dardenne and Angelle voters who abstained from the runoff this time to probably just suck it up and vote for Vitter in the end, but great news nonetheless!

It takes a lot of effort for people to show up to the polls a second time in such a brief period. I'd bet on them not showing up. People tend not to care. Especially when it's a 2nd election with a foregone conclusion in an odd numbered year.

The runoff does not have a foregone conclusion. Edwards has a definite shot.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

I expect a lot of Dardenne and Angelle voters who abstained from the runoff this time to probably just suck it up and vote for Vitter in the end, but great news nonetheless!

It takes a lot of effort for people to show up to the polls a second time in such a brief period. I'd bet on them not showing up. People tend not to care. Especially when it's a 2nd election with a foregone conclusion in an odd numbered year.

People actually vote in Louisiana runoff elections for whatever reason.

[user12345]

This race is shaping up to be the most interesting this year.

[Ebsy]

Congratulations Governor Edwards!

[Xing]

This is really surprising, if it's accurate. Why is Vitter struggling so much?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

This is really surprising, if it's accurate. Why is Vitter struggling so much?

Um, shouldn't it be obvious?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

La was key in getting GOP back the Senate. The voters have buyers remorse now in giving GOP back control. This isnt the same party that won in 2014; disarray in La and House.

[Adam Griffin]

I still don't believe it.

[MT Treasurer]

Toss-up at this point. LA is one of the few pretty Democratic-friendly Southern states. Democrats can still win here with the right candidate.

I expect a lot of Dardenne and Angelle voters who abstained from the runoff this time to probably just suck it up and vote for Vitter in the end, but great news nonetheless!

It takes a lot of effort for people to show up to the polls a second time in such a brief period. I'd bet on them not showing up. People tend not to care. Especially when it's a 2nd election with a foregone conclusion in an odd numbered year.

Black turnout in the South has always been very high, even in runoff elections.

[Ebsy]

I still don't believe it.

You should.

[YaBoyNY]

Toss-up at this point. LA is one of the few pretty Democratic-friendly Southern states. Democrats can still win here with the right candidate.

I expect a lot of Dardenne and Angelle voters who abstained from the runoff this time to probably just suck it up and vote for Vitter in the end, but great news nonetheless!

It takes a lot of effort for people to show up to the polls a second time in such a brief period. I'd bet on them not showing up. People tend not to care. Especially when it's a 2nd election with a foregone conclusion in an odd numbered year.

Black turnout in the South has always been very high, even in runoff elections.

Hmmm... where does the traditional Dem falloff in runoffs come from, then?  Millennial urban liberals/college kids? 

Pretty much. Millennial urban liberals, college kids, and holdout old-school white dems (who do actually still exist, they just seldom if ever vote. Of course, Louisiana is different from Southeast Texas so I could be wrong.)

[ElectionsGuy]

Toss-up at this point. LA is one of the few pretty Democratic-friendly Southern states. Democrats can still win here with the right candidate.

I expect a lot of Dardenne and Angelle voters who abstained from the runoff this time to probably just suck it up and vote for Vitter in the end, but great news nonetheless!

It takes a lot of effort for people to show up to the polls a second time in such a brief period. I'd bet on them not showing up. People tend not to care. Especially when it's a 2nd election with a foregone conclusion in an odd numbered year.

Black turnout in the South has always been very high, even in runoff elections.

What logic comes out of this? The Democrats have nothing there and haven't gotten close to anything since pre-2010 times.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The tutnout was depressed in 2014, due to foregone conclusion of the Senate already being decided. Now, that the presidential contest is in full swing; & La & KY are battleground states in 2016, Dems can vote for their winning gubernatorial candidate to come out on top; in addition to blk support.

[Skye]

The tutnout was depressed in 2014, due to foregone conclusion of the Senate already being decided. Now, that the presidential contest is in full swing; & La & KY are battleground states in 2016, Dems can vote for their winning gubernatorial candidate to come out on top; in addition to blk support.

What

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

aren't  battleground states

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

People seriously misinterpreted my comment. I know Southern blacks vote in extraordinary numbers. I am saying Edwards over Vitter would be a "foregone conclusion" so the anti-Vitter GOP wouldn't bother to show up between those two choices. And those quotes are not meant literally. Of course Vitter still has a shot - it's LA. But he's be in a Landrieu-type situation where it'd be a big shock.

[Joe Republic]

I expect a lot of Dardenne and Angelle voters who abstained from the runoff this time to probably just suck it up and vote for Vitter in the end, but great news nonetheless!

It takes a lot of effort for people to show up to the polls a second time in such a brief period. I'd bet on them not showing up. People tend not to care. Especially when it's a 2nd election with a foregone conclusion in an odd numbered year.

People actually vote in Louisiana runoff elections for whatever reason.

^^

1.5 million people turned out in November 2014, and that only dropped to 1.3 million in December.

[DrScholl]

Vitter is not well-liked by the electorate and Jindal's unpopularity isn't helping Vitter any.

[Xing]

This is really surprising, if it's accurate. Why is Vitter struggling so much?

Um, shouldn't it be obvious?

I didn't realize that Vitter was so disliked, and I didn't think that this would be enough to make him actually lose. I guess Jindal fatigue is very real.

[MT Treasurer]

Toss-up at this point. LA is one of the few pretty Democratic-friendly Southern states. Democrats can still win here with the right candidate.

I expect a lot of Dardenne and Angelle voters who abstained from the runoff this time to probably just suck it up and vote for Vitter in the end, but great news nonetheless!

It takes a lot of effort for people to show up to the polls a second time in such a brief period. I'd bet on them not showing up. People tend not to care. Especially when it's a 2nd election with a foregone conclusion in an odd numbered year.

Black turnout in the South has always been very high, even in runoff elections.

What logic comes out of this? The Democrats have nothing there and haven't gotten close to anything since pre-2010 times.

Well, when was the last time they ran a conservative or moderate Democrat like Edwards?
Just so that y'all know: Edwards is pro-gun and pro-life. His candidacy is certainly good news for Louisiana Democrats, but not necessarily for those hoping for a truly progressive agenda in the state.

[YaBoyNY]

Toss-up at this point. LA is one of the few pretty Democratic-friendly Southern states. Democrats can still win here with the right candidate.

I expect a lot of Dardenne and Angelle voters who abstained from the runoff this time to probably just suck it up and vote for Vitter in the end, but great news nonetheless!

It takes a lot of effort for people to show up to the polls a second time in such a brief period. I'd bet on them not showing up. People tend not to care. Especially when it's a 2nd election with a foregone conclusion in an odd numbered year.

Black turnout in the South has always been very high, even in runoff elections.

What logic comes out of this? The Democrats have nothing there and haven't gotten close to anything since pre-2010 times.

Well, when was the last time they ran a conservative or moderate Democrat like Edwards?
Just so that y'all know: Edwards is pro-gun and pro-life. His candidacy is certainly good news for Louisiana Democrats, but not necessarily for those hoping for a truly progressive agenda in the state.

His candidacy is good news for everybody who realizes Vitter is a total dork, tbh.