CA: Field Harris and Sanchez in top 2
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Author Topic: CA: Field Harris and Sanchez in top 2  (Read 1329 times)
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jfern
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« on: October 11, 2015, 04:58:13 PM »
October Field poll. Sample 1002.

Kamala Harris (D) 30
Loretta Sanchez (D) 17
Rocky Chavez (R) 9
Tom Del Beccaro (R) 6
Duf Sundheim (R) 3

http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2515.pdf
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Brewer
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« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2015, 05:02:17 PM »
It would be a shame if Harris ends up losing this seat because the Republicans are too pathetic to field a candidate that can reach the top two. Sad
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jfern
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« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2015, 05:09:14 PM »
Quote from: Brewer on October 11, 2015, 05:02:17 PM
It would be a shame if Harris ends up losing this seat because the Republicans are too pathetic to field a candidate that can reach the top two. Sad

Harris has better favorables than Sanchez, even slightly better among Republicans.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2015, 05:12:12 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on October 11, 2015, 05:02:31 PM
This is pathetic. If Harris and Sanchez are in the top 2 (which I still doubt, but who knows), how shall we enter the general election polls into the database?

Probably use green or yellow or something to indicate a Sanchez lead.
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mencken
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« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2015, 05:24:46 PM »
« Edited: October 11, 2015, 05:27:25 PM by mencken »
Republicans will end up getting more than a combined 18% of the vote. In 2012, polling for the open primary showed Republicans getting 23% of the vote; they received 39% on primary day. Whomever is the leading Republican candidate going into the primary (almost certainly Rocky Chavez) will receive at least a plurality of that, meaning Sanchez has to be safely in the mid 20s to be assured of a runoff spot.
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Brewer
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« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2015, 05:30:02 PM »
« Edited: October 11, 2015, 05:31:33 PM by Brewer »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on October 11, 2015, 05:09:14 PM
Quote from: Brewer on October 11, 2015, 05:02:17 PM
It would be a shame if Harris ends up losing this seat because the Republicans are too pathetic to field a candidate that can reach the top two. Sad

Harris has better favorables than Sanchez, even slightly better among Republicans.

Oh, really? Any idea why that is?
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madelka
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« Reply #6 on: October 11, 2015, 05:36:08 PM »
CA will never vote for a Republican again. If Trump is the nominee, Democrats will win 64-66% of the vote.
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Holmes
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« Reply #7 on: October 11, 2015, 05:59:58 PM »
Sanchez has been brutal and sometimes racist against her past Republican opponents. Republicans don't like her.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2015, 10:07:24 PM »
Atlas Red with the knowledge that whoever wins will be a Democrat. 90% saturation!

...or use the primary result.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2015, 10:21:30 PM »
Clearly, there are a lot of undecideds on the Republican side. They will get more than 18% of the total vote, and likely a top two position (Chaves, probably).
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Vega
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2015, 10:34:35 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on October 11, 2015, 05:12:12 PM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on October 11, 2015, 05:02:31 PM
This is pathetic. If Harris and Sanchez are in the top 2 (which I still doubt, but who knows), how shall we enter the general election polls into the database?

Probably use green or yellow or something to indicate a Sanchez lead.

I don't think we'll have to worry about that. Wink

Shame Chiang isn't running.
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