Portugal Legislative Elections, 10/04/2015
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Author Topic: Portugal Legislative Elections, 10/04/2015  (Read 17960 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« on: October 04, 2015, 02:49:31 PM »
« edited: October 16, 2015, 09:56:02 AM by Hash »
I can't find it on this board anymore... Huh

Missing thread (patched together, incomplete):


edit by Hash
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Hans-im-Glück
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« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2015, 02:50:21 PM »
I have the same problem Sad
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2015, 02:51:47 PM »
Whatever. We can use this thread. 13/230 seats elected. 10 for PSD+CDS, 3 for PS.
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Zanas
Zanas46
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« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2015, 02:51:48 PM »
I've been rude to our fellow Danish poster, which prompted her to delete it. I've since apologized via PM. Dunno if it can be restored.
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Zanas
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« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2015, 02:52:41 PM »
PPD/PSD.CDS-PP
Portugal à Frente
   
41,31%
599.275 votos
   
Mandatos
10

PS
Partido Socialista
   
31,60%
458.338 votos
   
Mandatos
3

B.E.
Bloco de Esquerda
   
8,18%
118.591 votos
   
PCP-PEV
CDU - Coligação Democrática Unitária
   
6,60%
95.740 votos
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Hydera
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« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2015, 02:55:01 PM »
Maybe OP of that thread got upset or something?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2015, 02:55:17 PM »
Quote from: Watermelon sin Jamón on October 04, 2015, 02:51:48 PM
I've been rude to our fellow Danish poster, which prompted her to delete it. I've since apologized via PM. Dunno if it can be restored.

As someone who likes Politicus... This was incredibly dumb and she should be the one apologizing.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2015, 02:56:27 PM »
Anyway, thread title changed.
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Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan
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« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2015, 02:56:44 PM »
Quote from: Hydera on October 04, 2015, 02:55:01 PM
Maybe OP of that thread got upset or something?

Upset with what? There is even less than 50% votes counted.
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Zanas
Zanas46
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« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2015, 02:57:00 PM »
Anyway, in order to be a bit more productive, no "small party" gets more than 1.3% in either Lisboa or Porto for now, making it improbable that anyone other than the "Big Four" will get in.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2015, 02:57:58 PM »
What are the typical "swing Districts" I could look at to see what the eventual vote tally is going to look like?
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Zanas
Zanas46
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« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2015, 03:00:44 PM »
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on October 04, 2015, 02:57:58 PM
What are the typical "swing Districts" I could look at to see what the eventual vote tally is going to look like?
From a quick look, Coimbra, Porto and Santarem were the bellwethers of last time.
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Hans-im-Glück
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« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2015, 03:01:37 PM »
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on October 04, 2015, 02:57:58 PM
What are the typical "swing Districts" I could look at to see what the eventual vote tally is going to look like?
Santarem or Porto
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2015, 03:03:30 PM »
Quote from: Watermelon sin Jamón on October 04, 2015, 03:00:44 PM
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on October 04, 2015, 02:57:58 PM
What are the typical "swing Districts" I could look at to see what the eventual vote tally is going to look like?
From a quick look, Coimbra, Porto and Santarem were the bellwethers of last time.

Right now Porto seems a lot more right-wing than the other two. If Coimbra and Santarem are to be trusted, PaF's margin should narrow significantly.
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2015, 03:05:21 PM »
23/230 seats elected. 16 for PSD+CDS, 7 for PS.
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Zanas
Zanas46
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« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2015, 03:05:54 PM »
Turnout seems to have been way overestimated by pollsters, and could well end below last time's. No idea why, but futebol may be to blame/thank.
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Hans-im-Glück
Franken
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« Reply #16 on: October 04, 2015, 03:06:40 PM »
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on October 04, 2015, 03:03:30 PM
Quote from: Watermelon sin Jamón on October 04, 2015, 03:00:44 PM
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on October 04, 2015, 02:57:58 PM
What are the typical "swing Districts" I could look at to see what the eventual vote tally is going to look like?
From a quick look, Coimbra, Porto and Santarem were the bellwethers of last time.

Right now Porto seems a lot more right-wing than the other two. If Coimbra and Santarem are to be trusted, PaF's margin should narrow significantly.

In the last elections it was: who wins Santarem, wins Portugal
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DavidB.
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« Reply #17 on: October 04, 2015, 03:07:56 PM »
Any exit polls?
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DavidB.
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« Reply #18 on: October 04, 2015, 03:08:48 PM »
Quote from: Watermelon sin Jamón on October 04, 2015, 03:05:54 PM
Turnout seems to have been way overestimated by pollsters, and could well end below last time's. No idea why, but futebol may be to blame/thank.
I suppose this benefits PaF? Or isn't it clear?
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Zanas
Zanas46
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« Reply #19 on: October 04, 2015, 03:11:44 PM »
In Lisboa, after the Big Four :
PAN (Pessoas-Animais-Natureza) (centre-left ecologist) 1,54%   
PCTP/MRPP 1,34%
PDR (Partido Democrático Republicano) (centrist) 1,07%
L/TDA (LIVRE/Tempo de Avançar) 0,74%
PNR (far-right) 0,63%
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Zanas
Zanas46
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« Reply #20 on: October 04, 2015, 03:13:12 PM »
Quote from: DavidB. on October 04, 2015, 03:08:48 PM
Quote from: Watermelon sin Jamón on October 04, 2015, 03:05:54 PM
Turnout seems to have been way overestimated by pollsters, and could well end below last time's. No idea why, but futebol may be to blame/thank.
I suppose this benefits PaF? Or isn't it clear?
Yeah, it could have prevented a bigger blow to the government, who is currently retaining a strong plurality, near absolute majority.
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Hans-im-Glück
Franken
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2015, 03:13:44 PM »
PàF 43-38%
PS 35-30%
BE 8-11%
CDU 7-9%

It seem the it gives no absolute majotity
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VPH
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« Reply #22 on: October 04, 2015, 03:14:25 PM »
Crazy to see projections of up to 23 seats for BE...
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #23 on: October 04, 2015, 03:15:17 PM »
PSD+CDS continuing to fall, about to go below 40%. CDU has regenerated to over 7%.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #24 on: October 04, 2015, 03:16:00 PM »
Yeah remember when we all thought BE was an irrelevance? Lol
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