Fox News National poll: Clinton 46 Trump 42
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Author Topic: Fox News National poll: Clinton 46 Trump 42  (Read 1438 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: September 23, 2015, 05:40:33 PM »
Clinton (D) : 46%
Trump (R): 42%

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/09/23/fox-news-poll-outsiders-rule-2016-gop-field-support-for-biden-nearly-doubles/
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2015, 06:01:42 PM »
Massive gender gap:

men:
Trump 49%
Clinton 39%

women:
Clinton 52%
Trump 35%
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2015, 06:17:25 PM »
Anyone know why they only tested Trump?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2015, 08:02:07 PM »
Consistent with other polling. Again just like in FL polls, Trump doesnt do well Latinos in addition to Muslims. He isnt a goof GE Candidate for that reason.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2015, 09:16:31 PM »

They don't want to show him as the most electable and can't manipulate it.  They just need to show him as trailing.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2015, 03:32:57 PM »
Every poll taken shows that Jeb is the most electable, Trump is a third party candidate in a GOP primary. It may not be enough.
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King
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2015, 03:51:02 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on September 23, 2015, 06:01:42 PM
Massive gender gap:

men:
Trump 49%
Clinton 39%

women:
Clinton 52%
Trump 35%


No way it would just be +4 with that gap. Women out vote men 53-47 generally.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2015, 03:56:18 PM »
Quote from: King on September 24, 2015, 03:51:02 PM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on September 23, 2015, 06:01:42 PM
Massive gender gap:

men:
Trump 49%
Clinton 39%

women:
Clinton 52%
Trump 35%


No way it would just be +4 with that gap. Women out vote men 53-47 generally.

Trump has a great relationship with the genderqueer. They absolutely love him! 75 point win there should make that up.
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Alcon
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« Reply #8 on: September 25, 2015, 02:35:02 PM »
Quote from: King on September 24, 2015, 03:51:02 PM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on September 23, 2015, 06:01:42 PM
Massive gender gap:

men:
Trump 49%
Clinton 39%

women:
Clinton 52%
Trump 35%


No way it would just be +4 with that gap. Women out vote men 53-47 generally.

(0.47*0.49)+(0.53*0.35) = 0.2303 + 0.1855 = 0.4158 for Trump

(0.47*0.39)+(0.53*0.52) = 0.1855 + 0.2756 = 0.4589 for Clinton

45.89% - 41.58% = Clinton +4.31% => Clinton +4

Tongue
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #9 on: October 03, 2015, 09:58:31 PM »
Quote from: OC on September 23, 2015, 08:02:07 PM
Consistent with other polling. Again just like in FL polls, Trump doesnt do well Latinos in addition to Muslims. He isnt a goof GE Candidate for that reason.
Wrong - he is very much a "goof" GE candidate. He is in fact quite goofy.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2015, 11:24:40 PM »
Quote from: Grad Students are the Worst on September 25, 2015, 02:35:02 PM
Quote from: King on September 24, 2015, 03:51:02 PM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on September 23, 2015, 06:01:42 PM
Massive gender gap:

men:
Trump 49%
Clinton 39%

women:
Clinton 52%
Trump 35%


No way it would just be +4 with that gap. Women out vote men 53-47 generally.

(0.47*0.49)+(0.53*0.35) = 0.2303 + 0.1855 = 0.4158 for Trump

(0.47*0.39)+(0.53*0.52) = 0.1855 + 0.2756 = 0.4589 for Clinton

45.89% - 41.58% = Clinton +4.31% => Clinton +4

Tongue

Yep.  Not sure how King is getting "No way it would just be +4 with that gap" from these #s.
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