Ky. Governor's race: Who will win?

[SWE]

Bevin, but a Conway victory wouldn't shock me.

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Bevin and he'll be a good governor.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The Kim Davis flap may have ruined Bevin's chances.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The Kim Davis flap may have ruined Bevin's chances.

If anything, it will help him with the base.

As if they weren't already going to vote for him?

There have actually been a few posts on Bevin's Facebook page from people who say he lost their vote.

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#readyforconway

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

If the election were held today, I'd say Bevin narrowly, but by November I'd put my money on Conway. Bevin isn't running the campaign he needs to be (refusing to fundraise or self-fund or spend much money at all really) and has left himself wide open to very hard-hitting and damaging ads (see Conway's "Liar" ad that was just released). Conway has a big money advantage, and it's looking like Bevin's on the path to prying defeat from the jaws of victory.

[Oak Hills]

I'll go out on a limb and say Bevin has about a 75% chance of victory.  We need to learn our lessons from what happened to Grimes.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I'll go out on a limb and say Bevin has about a 75% chance of victory.  We need to learn our lessons from what happened to Grimes.

Has Conway repeated any of Grimes's mistakes?

[Oak Hills]

I'll go out on a limb and say Bevin has about a 75% chance of victory.  We need to learn our lessons from what happened to Grimes.

Has Conway repeated any of Grimes's mistakes?

I don't know, but I don't think he'll be able to overcome Kentucky's Republican trend.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I'll go out on a limb and say Bevin has about a 75% chance of victory.  We need to learn our lessons from what happened to Grimes.

Has Conway repeated any of Grimes's mistakes?

Conway has actually run a really good campaign so far.

[Horsemask]

Bevin by a very narrow margin. Could see it going either way

[Kingpoleon]

Voted Curtis sheerly because I predict him winning five to eight percent of the vote by people who are moderate Republicans, despise both candidates, and a fair amount of independents.

[Brewer]

Voted Curtis sheerly because I predict him winning five to eight percent of the vote by people who are moderate Republicans, despise both candidates, and a fair amount of independents.

That doesn't exactly explain why you believe he'd win.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wouldn't rule out nor would I be surprised by a Conway win, however, I just think that the Republican trend finally catches-up to statewide elections in KY this year. 
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Usually all three races go the same way. But KY sends dems to statewide offices. Conway will win.

[Leinad]

Curtis isn't a Libertarian Party candidate, he's an independent. But this Libertarian likes him and might would vote for him, if I was a Kentuckian, although Bevin isn't that bad, either.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Where do people get the idea Bevin is for "limited government" after he supported Kim Davis and "right-to-work"?

[Vega]

Bevin seems like pretty clear HP.

[KingSweden]

Conway, very narrowly, this year, and then some Republican other than Matt Bevin will comfortably beat him in 2019. That is my prediction.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Bevin Conway by a very narrow margin. Could see it going either way

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Voted Curtis sheerly because I predict him winning five to eight percent of the vote by people who are moderate Republicans, despise both candidates, and a fair amount of independents.

I understand a lot of moderate Republicans and mainstream conservatives aren't thrilled with Bevin (myself included).  Conway even has a long list of "Republicans for Conway" on his website.  I could see Curtis siphoning off a lot of those voters, but I could also see Conway picking up a lot of those same Republicans who see him as an acceptable alternative to Bevin.  With that in mind, I predict that Conway will win narrowly.

Any chance that some moderate/conservative Democrats will vote for Bevin or Curtis?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Conway, very narrowly, this year, and then some Republican other than Matt Bevin will comfortably beat him in 2019. That is my prediction.

Will there even still be a Republican Party in 2019?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Any chance that some moderate/conservative Democrats will vote for Bevin or Curtis?

Curtis but not Bevin. Almost everyone who might vote for Bevin stopped calling themselves a Democrat a long time ago.

[Cryptic]

Conway will win. Curtis will cut into Bevin more than Conway. The Pubs made a mistake not selecting Comer.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Conway will win. Curtis will cut into Bevin more than Conway. The Pubs made a mistake not selecting Comer.

With Comer being enveloped by a domestic violence scandal, they might have done worse with Comer.

[ElectionsGuy]

Conway will win. Curtis will cut into Bevin more than Conway. The Pubs made a mistake not selecting Comer.

lol. This is the most delusional thing I've heard about this race all year.