Let's play a game. Who do you believe will be the last 4-5 standing candidates?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 09, 2024, 03:57:55 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Let's play a game. Who do you believe will be the last 4-5 standing candidates?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Let's play a game. Who do you believe will be the last 4-5 standing candidates?  (Read 1916 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 08, 2015, 09:13:23 PM »

If you could play political pundit/analyst and are a betting person, who do you personally believe has the best chance to be in the "final 4-5"?

I'll start
Jeb Bush
Scott Walker
Ted Cruz
Rand Paul
Donald Trump
Logged
Bigby
Mod_Libertarian_GOPer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,164
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: 3.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 08, 2015, 09:14:28 PM »

Kasich, Rubio, Walker, Fiorina, and Bush.
Logged
Donald Trump 2016 !
captainkangaroo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 835


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 08, 2015, 09:15:10 PM »

Bush, Rubio, Walker, Kasich, Cruz
Logged
Abraham Reagan
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 2.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 08, 2015, 09:15:16 PM »

Kasich, Rubio, Walker, Fiorina, and Bush.

Spot on sir, spot on.
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,173


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 08, 2015, 09:16:44 PM »

Wild guess: Bush, Trump, Rubio, Huckabee, and Paul. But it's impossible to tell at this point. I don't think anyone in August 2011 would have said Romney, Paul, Gingrich, and Santorum.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 08, 2015, 09:19:31 PM »

Rubio, Cruz, Kasich, Walker, Paul
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 08, 2015, 09:21:24 PM »


Oh no Bush? Why not?
Logged
Donald Trump 2016 !
captainkangaroo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 835


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 08, 2015, 09:23:02 PM »


Bush fatigue among Republican voters maybe?
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 08, 2015, 09:25:53 PM »
« Edited: August 08, 2015, 09:27:57 PM by Castro »


I feel like he's going to continue to appear lackluster in the debates, gradually slip in the polls, and reach the point where there is an "establishment reevaluation" in which Rubio and/or Kasich starts feeling more of the love. TOD: The day after the New Hampshire primary.
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 08, 2015, 09:29:29 PM »

Another note, we had a county GOP meet up and we held a straw poll and thought it was interesting:

Mike Huckabee 27.2%
Ted Cruz 17.2%
Carly Fiorina 10.8%
Ben Carson 10.3%
Donald Trump 8.4%
Jeb Bush 7.4%
Marco Rubio 6.4%
Scott Walker 5.4%
Rand Paul 4.4%
John Kasich 3.9%
Rick Perry 1%
Bobby Jindal 0.5%
Chris Christie 0.5%
No one else had any votes

Being in Florida and having both Floridian candidates only get 13.8% makes me smile inside lol.
Logged
dudeabides
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
Tuvalu
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 08, 2015, 09:33:24 PM »

Bush, Walker, Paul, Huckabee, and Trump.

As I put in my 2016 "what will happen" timeline, I see Trump ending his bid after Super Tuesday. Walker ends his bid before Wisconsin (what I neglected to put in was Walker virtually tied with Bush in his home state in polls) and Paul ends his bid in late March. Huckabee stays in until early April. I believe Carly will stay in through Super Tuesday.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 08, 2015, 09:39:54 PM »
« Edited: August 08, 2015, 09:42:22 PM by maxheem »

Rubio, Walker, Huckabee (?, the evangelical candidate will probably win a few primaries), Bush, Paul (only because he would probably stay in a while, and I suspect he could come back)

I could also see Fiorina or Kasich replacing one of the ones up there.
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 08, 2015, 09:44:27 PM »


See, I used to think Rubio would be up there too, but he hasn't had a great campaign and his numbers have plummeted. I mean he can still rise back up, but I don't think he's top tier any more.
Logged
Bigby
Mod_Libertarian_GOPer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,164
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: 3.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 08, 2015, 09:45:49 PM »


See, I used to think Rubio would be up there too, but he hasn't had a great campaign and his numbers have plummeted. I mean he can still rise back up, but I don't think he's top tier any more.

Did you watch the GOP debate? I've seen countless people say he either won outright or he at the very least improved his standing.
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 08, 2015, 09:47:16 PM »


See, I used to think Rubio would be up there too, but he hasn't had a great campaign and his numbers have plummeted. I mean he can still rise back up, but I don't think he's top tier any more.

Did you watch the GOP debate? I've seen countless people say he either won outright or he at the very least improved his standing.

Yes I did, and I don't think he did that great IMO, I thought Kasich did the best. but that's beside the point. I am talking about pre-debate here.
Logged
Higgs
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,581


Political Matrix
E: 6.14, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 08, 2015, 10:03:18 PM »


I feel like he's going to continue to appear lackluster in the debates, gradually slip in the polls, and reach the point where there is an "establishment reevaluation" in which Rubio and/or Kasich starts feeling more of the love. TOD: The day after the New Hampshire primary.

I agree that Bush will probably have more lackluster debate performances but I think he's got too big a machine behind him to not be in the final four/five.

I see it being Bush, Kasich, Walker, Paul, Cruz
Logged
GLPman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,160
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 08, 2015, 10:14:12 PM »

Kasich, Rubio, Walker, Fiorina, and Bush.

Hopefully this. Although my guess for now is: Bush, Trump, Walker, Huckabee, and Cruz.
Logged
Angel of Death
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,417
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 08, 2015, 10:33:34 PM »
« Edited: August 08, 2015, 10:37:05 PM by Angel of Death »

Kasich, Rubio, Walker, Fiorina, and Bush.

This is a ludicrous selection. These are pretty much all establishment-friendly candidates, who would invariably rally around one person to mop up against the ideologues that are motivated to stay in for the long haul. I don't see someone like, say, Ted Cruz dropping out quickly, especially if there are multiple more moderate candidates out there splitting the vote.
Logged
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,794


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 08, 2015, 11:18:18 PM »

Bush, Rubio, and Walker are the three obvious ones, and from three different wings of the party.  Then, you expect that an anti-establishment- either Cruz, Paul, or Trump- will stick around.  The fifth spot is probably a tossup between Kasich and Fiorina.
Logged
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 08, 2015, 11:51:35 PM »

Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and John Kasich.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,869
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 09, 2015, 01:39:41 AM »

Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, John Kasich, and Donald Trump (not because he deserves it, but he'll stay in until the bitter end)
Logged
Penelope
Scifiguy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 09, 2015, 03:27:45 AM »

Jeb Bush, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and Scott Walker.

Trump, Huckabee, and Santorum all drop out before Iowa. Everyone other than the five candidates listed above, give or take Marco Rubio, drop out before Super Tuesday.
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,412


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 09, 2015, 04:08:57 AM »

Walker
Kasich
Bush
Trump
Cruz
Logged
Adriano Chiká
AdrianoChika
Rookie
**
Posts: 117
Brazil


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 09, 2015, 09:22:03 AM »

Trump
Kasich
Paul
Huckabee
Bush, maybe Walker
Logged
Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,214
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 09, 2015, 11:58:06 AM »

Trump, Bush, Carson, Paul
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.055 seconds with 12 queries.