If Bernie Sanders won only one county outside of Vermont...
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  If Bernie Sanders won only one county outside of Vermont...
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Author Topic: If Bernie Sanders won only one county outside of Vermont...  (Read 1930 times)
Mr. Illini
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« on: August 07, 2015, 02:20:18 PM »

...which one would it be? Assume that all contests are held on the same day (to avoid questions of momentum and potential drop outs).

I'd say it would be Tompkins, NY.

Followed by Albany, NY, Mendocino, CA, Humboldt, CA, Dane, WI, Boulder, CO.

I also think he will win a number of college-dominated counties such as Johnson, IA, Lane, OR, Douglas, KS, Champaign, IL, Johnson, IL, Monroe, IN, Washtenaw, MI.
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Famous Mortimer
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« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2015, 03:00:00 PM »

Hennepin, MN
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Crumpets
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« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2015, 03:17:11 PM »

Grafton County, NH, Franklin County, MA, Boulder County, CO or San Juan County, WA in that order. He'd probably have a really good shot at Humboldt County, CA, if it wasn't so late in the season.
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VPH
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« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2015, 05:27:43 PM »

Missoula, MT; San Miguel, CO; Boulder, CO; Athens, OH; Jefferson, IA; Berkshire, MA; Grafton, NH; Cumberland, ME; Lane, OR; Tompkins, NY; Dane, WI; Cook, MN; Knox, ME; Waldo, ME
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2015, 07:42:13 PM »

One of the liberal college town counties. Grafton, NH. Dane, WI. Washtenaw, MI. Athens, OH. Tompkins, NY. Monroe, IN. Boulder, CO. Montgomery, MD. Johnson, IA etc.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2015, 08:45:14 PM »

Strong chance of it being somewhere in Minnesota or Washington, since those are caucus states.

But I'm guessing you want us to assume that every state holds a primary instead?
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jfern
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« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2015, 08:52:13 PM »

Grafton, NH or Johnson, IA.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #7 on: August 10, 2015, 09:01:32 AM »


People on Atlas have a warped view of the MPLS area
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mds32
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« Reply #8 on: August 10, 2015, 09:11:04 AM »

Centre County is in play as well for the Sanders campaign
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Famous Mortimer
WillipsBrighton
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« Reply #9 on: August 10, 2015, 09:56:34 AM »


Why do you say that? They have a Black Muslim representative who is actually probably slightly to the left of Bernie. The local primary voters/convention delegates have a long history of picking candidates to the left of whoever the party establishment has picked (Rybak, Hodges, Franken, Dayton).
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Famous Mortimer
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« Reply #10 on: August 10, 2015, 10:07:05 AM »

Also, I would say he's almost a lock to win Jefferson, IA, ie the country where the Maharishi University of Management is. Dean won it in 2004 and Kucinich came in second. Paul also won it 2 times.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #11 on: August 10, 2015, 10:42:14 AM »

Grafton, New Hampshire, where Dean built up a progressive base, or Jefferson County in Iowa. Likely an early state, that is.
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captainkangaroo
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« Reply #12 on: August 10, 2015, 01:33:45 PM »

Black Muslims do not vote for Jewish socialists
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Famous Mortimer
WillipsBrighton
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« Reply #13 on: August 10, 2015, 03:35:22 PM »

Most people in Minneapolis are not Black Muslims. Most of them are White. They just voted for one and that shows how liberal they are.
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Figueira
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« Reply #14 on: August 10, 2015, 06:01:49 PM »


Why do you say that? They have a Black Muslim representative who is actually probably slightly to the left of Bernie. The local primary voters/convention delegates have a long history of picking candidates to the left of whoever the party establishment has picked (Rybak, Hodges, Franken, Dayton).
Black Muslims do not vote for Jewish socialists

Are you (and the people who emptyquoted you) implying that most residents of Minneapolis are black Muslims, and that all black Muslims are anti-Semitic?
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Figueira
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« Reply #15 on: August 10, 2015, 06:02:34 PM »

Anyway, aside from what's already been mentioned, there's Hampshire County, MA.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #16 on: August 10, 2015, 06:28:23 PM »

Cook, MN
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