Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.

[Sir Mohamed]

Did anyone notice too that Trump and Sanders perform much better with online polls than telephone polls ?

Probably because they skew young. But those are usually not the people who are turning out later to vote.

Probably because some of their supportters don't wanna admit their admiration for These candidates in public/on the phone.

[Mr. Morden]

Did anyone notice too that Trump and Sanders perform much better with online polls than telephone polls ?

Probably because they skew young. But those are usually not the people who are turning out later to vote.

Probably because some of their supportters don't wanna admit their admiration for These candidates in public/on the phone.

I strongly suspect it's more to do with the different methodologies having different levels of success in producing a random sample of voters.

[Badger]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 1:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151127-20151201/type/day

Dems

Clinton 50%
Sanders 36%
O’Malley 4%

GOP

Trump 36%
Carson 17%
Bush 11%
Cruz 11%
Rubio 7%
Paul 4%
Huckabee 2%
Christie 2%
Fiorina 2%
Santorum 2%
Kasich 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki 0%

Making a Jeb supporters day. Keep on keeping on, old buddy :'-)

anyone know a reason for this, or likely just oulier/MoE noise?

[Holmes]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 1:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151127-20151201/type/day

Dems

Clinton 50%
Sanders 36%
O’Malley 4%

GOP

Trump 36%
Carson 17%
Bush 11%
Cruz 11%
Rubio 7%
Paul 4%
Huckabee 2%
Christie 2%
Fiorina 2%
Santorum 2%
Kasich 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki 0%

Making a Jeb supporters day. Keep on keeping on, old buddy :'-)

anyone know a reason for this, or likely just oulier/MoE noise?

Well, it's Reuters.  They're not the best.

[EliteLX]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 1:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151127-20151201/type/day

Dems

Clinton 50%
Sanders 36%
O’Malley 4%

GOP

Trump 36%
Carson 17%
Bush 11%
Cruz 11%
Rubio 7%
Paul 4%
Huckabee 2%
Christie 2%
Fiorina 2%
Santorum 2%
Kasich 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki 0%

Making a Jeb supporters day. Keep on keeping on, old buddy :'-)

anyone know a reason for this, or likely just oulier/MoE noise?

I don't have a real backed up reason, just speculation. Could be MoE as well. Jeb has been playing on the low and just getting out his campaign ground game campaigning lately and staying out of the noise, so he is slowly bumping back up small bits in a poll here and there. Never know I guess.

He's definitely dug a hole but he ought to play a sharp primary campaign from now on and kill the debates.

[Eraserhead]

Sanders within 15%? Has that ever happened before post-Biden?

[Holmes]

On Reuters I think so, but then it'll go to a 30% margin a couple of days later.

[Ebsy]

Reuters has been all over the place.

[Pandaguineapig]

Reuters has been all over the place.

Internet polls are usually a good look at the opinions of people who are dumb enough to respond to pop-ups

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Sanders within 15%? Has that ever happened before post-Biden?

On Reuters... so, it doesn't matter.

[Volrath50]

I miss last time, where Gallup had a daily GOP tracking poll that wasn't completely out of line with everything else, was not prone to random swings, and was actually quite useful.

[Fusionmunster]

Sanders within 15%? Has that ever happened before post-Biden?

Yeah, like two weeks ago.

Then Hillary opened up a 30 point lead 6 days later.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I'll wait until it doesn't include the Thanksgiving weekend to put much stock into this poll.

[Mr. Morden]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 4:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151130-20151204/type/day

Dems

Clinton 56%
Sanders 32%
O’Malley 4%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20151130-20151204/type/day

GOP

Trump 35%
Carson 14%
Rubio 13%
Bush 10%
Cruz 8%
Paul 4%
Fiorina 3%
Christie 3%
Huckabee 2%
Kasich 2%
Gilmore 1%
Graham, Pataki, Santorum 0%

[weixiaobao]

Reuters always seemed to favored Bush for some reason.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 4:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151130-20151204/type/day

Dems

Clinton 56%
Sanders 32%
O’Malley 4%

So much for Bernie's bump.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 4:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151130-20151204/type/day

Dems

Clinton 56%
Sanders 32%
O’Malley 4%

So much for Bernie's bump.

Reuters really seems to enjoy toying with the Sandernistas.

[IceSpear]

People actually take Reuters seriously? They constantly have wild swings for literally no reason, and included candidates who weren't running for like a year.

[Holmes]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 4:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151130-20151204/type/day

Dems

Clinton 56%
Sanders 32%
O’Malley 4%

So much for Bernie's bump.

Reuters really seems to enjoy toying with the Sandernistas.

It's almost funny, if it weren't so sad. Every time Sanders is within 15%, they're all here, but then a few days later she's back to a 25%+ lead.

[Ebsy]

Thus confirming Reuters is even more of a joke.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 4:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151130-20151204/type/day

Dems

Clinton 56%
Sanders 32%
O’Malley 4%

So much for Bernie's bump.

Reuters really seems to enjoy toying with the Sandernistas.

It's almost funny, if it weren't so sad. Every time Sanders is within 15%, they're all here, but then a few days later she's back to a 25%+ lead.

You have to click on day for the 5 day average. These are the correct results for Dec. 4.
Clinton 51.9
Sanders 35.5
O'Malley 4.1

Thus confirming Reuters is even more of a joke.

I'm not sure if it was a bug. But these seem to be the correct result. It might have been choosing some other time period before.

Anyways, this is the only post Thanksgiving weekend national poll we have so far.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 4:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151130-20151204/type/day

Dems

Clinton 56%
Sanders 32%
O’Malley 4%

So much for Bernie's bump.

Reuters really seems to enjoy toying with the Sandernistas.

It's almost funny, if it weren't so sad. Every time Sanders is within 15%, they're all here, but then a few days later she's back to a 25%+ lead.

Too bad your wrong.

[Fusionmunster]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 4:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151130-20151204/type/day

Dems

Clinton 56%
Sanders 32%
O’Malley 4%

So much for Bernie's bump.

Reuters really seems to enjoy toying with the Sandernistas.

It's almost funny, if it weren't so sad. Every time Sanders is within 15%, they're all here, but then a few days later she's back to a 25%+ lead.

You have to click on day for the 5 day average. These are the correct results for Dec. 4.
Clinton 51.9
Sanders 35.5
O'Malley 4.1

Thus confirming Reuters is even more of a joke.

I'm not sure if it was a bug. But these seem to be the correct result. It might have been choosing some other time period before.

Anyways, this is the only post Thanksgiving weekend national poll we have so far.

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TR131/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20150901-20151204/collapsed/false/spotlight/1

This is what I get. Regardless, the website is awfull since the redesign and combined with the fact that they're a pretty awfull pollster in general(C from fivethirtyeight and wild swings), it makes me wish I could just ignore them completely. However, you make a big deal about any slight movement in Bernies favor and then vanish when Hillary opens up a 28 point lead. Its hard to take your input in this thread seriously.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 4:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151130-20151204/type/day

Dems

Clinton 56%
Sanders 32%
O’Malley 4%

So much for Bernie's bump.

Reuters really seems to enjoy toying with the Sandernistas.

It's almost funny, if it weren't so sad. Every time Sanders is within 15%, they're all here, but then a few days later she's back to a 25%+ lead.

You have to click on day for the 5 day average. These are the correct results for Dec. 4.
Clinton 51.9
Sanders 35.5
O'Malley 4.1

Thus confirming Reuters is even more of a joke.

I'm not sure if it was a bug. But these seem to be the correct result. It might have been choosing some other time period before.

Anyways, this is the only post Thanksgiving weekend national poll we have so far.

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TR131/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20150901-20151204/collapsed/false/spotlight/1

This is what I get. Regardless, the website is awfull since the redesign and combined with the fact that they're a pretty awfull pollster in general(C from fivethirtyeight and wild swings), it makes me wish I could just ignore them completely. However, you make a big deal about any slight movement in Bernies favor and then vanish when Hillary opens up a 28 point lead. Its hard to take your input in this thread seriously.

Well Hillary has a 16.4 point lead, not a 28 point lead.

[Ebsy]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 4:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151130-20151204/type/day

Dems

Clinton 56%
Sanders 32%
O’Malley 4%

So much for Bernie's bump.

Reuters really seems to enjoy toying with the Sandernistas.

It's almost funny, if it weren't so sad. Every time Sanders is within 15%, they're all here, but then a few days later she's back to a 25%+ lead.

You have to click on day for the 5 day average. These are the correct results for Dec. 4.
Clinton 51.9
Sanders 35.5
O'Malley 4.1

Thus confirming Reuters is even more of a joke.

I'm not sure if it was a bug. But these seem to be the correct result. It might have been choosing some other time period before.

Anyways, this is the only post Thanksgiving weekend national poll we have so far.

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TR131/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20150901-20151204/collapsed/false/spotlight/1

This is what I get. Regardless, the website is awfull since the redesign and combined with the fact that they're a pretty awfull pollster in general(C from fivethirtyeight and wild swings), it makes me wish I could just ignore them completely. However, you make a big deal about any slight movement in Bernies favor and then vanish when Hillary opens up a 28 point lead. Its hard to take your input in this thread seriously.

Well Hillary has a 16.4 point lead, not a 28 point lead.

Thanks for making his point.