Reuters primary polling: tracking thread.

[Fusionmunster]

The tracking poll has different numbers. They're as of the 24th, and
Clinton 54.0
Sanders 34.0
O'Malley 4.6

Sample size is smaller than usual, 383.

Ipsos=/=Daily Tracking poll.

Im not sure why we have one thread for both of them since its two different pollsters. Ipsos is the better pollster according to fivethirtyeights ratings btw.

[jaichind]

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/27/us-election-trump-idUSKBN0TG2AN20151127#XfRs4ZLoBCdY0LL6.97

Trump   35
Carson  15
Rubio      8
Cruz        8
Bush       7

[Mr. Morden]

The tracking poll has different numbers. They're as of the 24th, and
Clinton 54.0
Sanders 34.0
O'Malley 4.6

Sample size is smaller than usual, 383.

Ipsos=/=Daily Tracking poll.

Im not sure why we have one thread for both of them since its two different pollsters. Ipsos is the better pollster according to fivethirtyeights ratings btw.

No, I believe it is the same pollster, doing an Ipsos/Reuters joint venture.  Look at the daily #s for Nov. 25th, and they match the #s from that Ipsos release.  The only difference is that the number of respondents is off by like 10 people or something, so maybe they use a slightly different filter, but otherwise it's the same.  Same deal if you look at their earlier releases.

[Mr. Morden]

5 day rolling average through Nov. 27:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151123-20151127/type/day

Dems

Clinton 57%
Sanders 30%
O’Malley 6%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20151123-20151127/type/day

GOP

Trump 31%
Carson 15%
Rubio 8%
Cruz 8%
Bush 7%
Huckabee 5%
Kasich 5%
Christie 4%
Gilmore 3%
Paul 3%
Fiorina 2%
Pataki 2%

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Look what happens when you turn off the Democratic filter.

Sanders 34.0
Clinton 32.0
O'Malley 6.0

LOL. Of course Bernie isn't actually ahead.

[Fusionmunster]

Look what happens when you turn off the Democratic filter.

Sanders 34.0
Clinton 32.0
O'Malley 6.0

LOL. Of course Bernie isn't actually ahead.

Uhmm....

I hate to break it to you, but this is the democratic primary. I.E a majority of the people voting in it will be democrats. And when I remove the filter it becomes this:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/dates/20151123-20151127/type/day

And when I filter it to only Republicans and Independents I get this:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:3|2

Neither show him ahead.

[Ebsy]

jfern being low energy.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Look what happens when you turn off the Democratic filter.

Sanders 34.0
Clinton 32.0
O'Malley 6.0

LOL. Of course Bernie isn't actually ahead.

Please, stop it. This poll is nonsense, of course, you were happy to champion it when goes rogue, but no one should take a poll this jumpy seriously.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Look what happens when you turn off the Democratic filter.

Sanders 34.0
Clinton 32.0
O'Malley 6.0

LOL. Of course Bernie isn't actually ahead.

Please, stop it. This poll is nonsense, of course, you were happy to champion it when goes rogue, but no one should take a poll this jumpy seriously.

I guess no one read the bolded sentence.

[Fusionmunster]

Look what happens when you turn off the Democratic filter.

Sanders 34.0
Clinton 32.0
O'Malley 6.0

LOL. Of course Bernie isn't actually ahead.

Please, stop it. This poll is nonsense, of course, you were happy to champion it when goes rogue, but no one should take a poll this jumpy seriously.

I guess no one read the bolded sentence.

We all assumed you were being sarcastic.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Look what happens when you turn off the Democratic filter.

Sanders 34.0
Clinton 32.0
O'Malley 6.0

LOL. Of course Bernie isn't actually ahead.

Please, stop it. This poll is nonsense, of course, you were happy to champion it when goes rogue, but no one should take a poll this jumpy seriously.

I guess no one read the bolded sentence.

We all assumed you were being sarcastic.

Well I wasn't.

[Likely Voter]

Like all junkes, this forum needs a poll fix bad. Right now we are searching couch cushions for leftover morsels

[Lief 🗽]

Like all junkes, this forum needs a poll fix bad. Right now we are searching couch cushions for leftover morsels

my sources tell me we're getting a real humdinger of a SHOCK POLL tomorrow, so stay tuned

[Ebsy]

Like all junkes, this forum needs a poll fix bad. Right now we are searching couch cushions for leftover morsels

my sources tell me we're getting a real humdinger of a SHOCK POLL tomorrow, so stay tuned

What exactly are these sources saying?

[Holmes]

Like all junkes, this forum needs a poll fix bad. Right now we are searching couch cushions for leftover morsels

my sources tell me we're getting a real humdinger of a SHOCK POLL tomorrow, so stay tuned

What exactly are these sources saying?

A Quinnipiac poll showing Republicans beating Hillary nationally by 20+.

[Eraserhead]

Like all junkes, this forum needs a poll fix bad. Right now we are searching couch cushions for leftover morsels

my sources tell me we're getting a real humdinger of a SHOCK POLL tomorrow, so stay tuned

What exactly are these sources saying?

A Quinnipiac poll showing Republicans beating Hillary nationally by 20+.

Or a PPP poll showing Clinton beating Sanders in New Hampshire by 15+.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Like all junkes, this forum needs a poll fix bad. Right now we are searching couch cushions for leftover morsels

my sources tell me we're getting a real humdinger of a SHOCK POLL tomorrow, so stay tuned

What exactly are these sources saying?

A Quinnipiac poll showing Republicans beating Hillary nationally by 20+.

Or a PPP poll showing Clinton beating Sanders in New Hampshire by 15+.

That would be rather unsubtle of them. I'd assume PPP would want to have Hillary only doing 10 points better than the other polls.

[Mr. Morden]

Like all junkes, this forum needs a poll fix bad. Right now we are searching couch cushions for leftover morsels

Well, Quinnipiac has a national poll coming out in just over 6 hours.  That'll give us something to talk about for a while.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Like all junkes, this forum needs a poll fix bad. Right now we are searching couch cushions for leftover morsels

my sources tell me we're getting a real humdinger of a SHOCK POLL tomorrow, so stay tuned

What exactly are these sources saying?

A Quinnipiac poll showing Republicans beating Hillary nationally by 20+.

Or a PPP poll showing Clinton beating Sanders in New Hampshire by 15+.

That would be rather unsubtle of them. I'd assume PPP would want to have Hillary only doing 10 points better than the other polls.

Wait... so.... that's not in bold. So you're being serious?

[Tender Branson]

Like all junkes, this forum needs a poll fix bad. Right now we are searching couch cushions for leftover morsels

my sources tell me we're getting a real humdinger of a SHOCK POLL tomorrow, so stay tuned

Do you mean the Quinnipiac national poll or PPP's NH poll ?

I guess Cruz is surging accross the board, but more so nationally than in NH ...

[Mr. Morden]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 1:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151127-20151201/type/day

Dems

Clinton 50%
Sanders 36%
O’Malley 4%

GOP

Trump 36%
Carson 17%
Bush 11%
Cruz 11%
Rubio 7%
Paul 4%
Huckabee 2%
Christie 2%
Fiorina 2%
Santorum 2%
Kasich 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki 0%

[Tender Branson]

Did anyone notice too that Trump and Sanders perform much better with online polls than telephone polls ?

Probably because they skew young. But those are usually not the people who are turning out later to vote.

[muon2]

Did anyone notice too that Trump and Sanders perform much better with online polls than telephone polls ?

Probably because they skew young. But those are usually not the people who are turning out later to vote.

Harry Enten just did an article about this on 538.

[Mr. Morden]

Probably because they skew young.

No, because all of these polls do some kind of demographic weighting.  It's got to be more a matter of "the type of person who answers these polls, after you control for age, sex, race, etc., is more likely to support X".

As for your first question, "Did anyone notice...?"  Yes, we've talked about it endlessly on this forum. 

[EliteLX]

Five day rolling average through Dec. 1:

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20151127-20151201/type/day

Dems

Clinton 50%
Sanders 36%
O’Malley 4%

GOP

Trump 36%
Carson 17%
Bush 11%
Cruz 11%
Rubio 7%
Paul 4%
Huckabee 2%
Christie 2%
Fiorina 2%
Santorum 2%
Kasich 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki 0%

Making a Jeb supporters day. Keep on keeping on, old buddy :'-)