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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Abandon hope all ye who register here, Apocrypha)
  Post random maps here
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 852626 times)
badgate
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« Reply #3650 on: May 27, 2013, 03:31:38 am »
« edited: May 27, 2013, 03:36:53 am by badgate »

Inspired by the matchup in this thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=174082.0



Governor Martin O'Malley / Senator Heidi Heitkamp - 234
Senator Ted Cruz / Governor Pat McCrory - 94
Governor Chris Christie / "Philanthropist" Bill Gates - 210



House Vote #1


Governor Martin O'Malley - 20
Senator Ted Cruz - 15
Governor Chris Christie - 15



House Vote #2



Governor Martin O'Malley - 16
Senator Ted Cruz - 8
Governor Chris Christie - 26
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Emperor Charles V
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« Reply #3651 on: May 27, 2013, 09:52:45 am »
« Edited: May 27, 2013, 09:55:33 am by Emperor Charles V »

Republican Landslide by 10 Points



Republican - 474 EV
Democrat - 64 EV

Democratic Landslide by 10 Points



Democrat - 414 EV
Republican - 126 EV
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Consciously Unconscious
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« Reply #3652 on: May 27, 2013, 10:15:10 am »

A tentative prediction of the 2016 swing states.   Any thoughts? 

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PolitiJunkie
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« Reply #3653 on: May 27, 2013, 11:59:26 am »

A tentative prediction of the 2016 swing states.   Any thoughts? 



No legitimate reason to believe that Michigan or Minnesota will be swing states. Also, Arizona should be a swing state. Finally, it depends on the candidates- with Hillary, Schweitzer, and Christie on the tickets, Arkansas, Montana, and New Jersey are all swing states. Without any of them, the only one that could potentially be a swing state is Montana and that's only in a race where the Dem candidate gets 350+ EVs.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #3654 on: May 27, 2013, 03:47:21 pm »

Time travel is invented and the Constitution lets you have as many VPs as you want. McGovern runs with Mondale, Cox, Muskie, Biden, Boxer, Reid, and Giffords as running mates. Lincoln is Republican candidate. Tongue


Wonder if anyone can guess this one? Hint: it involves a real presidential election and counties.

That would be... interesting to watch.

This scenario actually happened though. Just how...
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Consciously Unconscious
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« Reply #3655 on: May 28, 2013, 11:01:29 am »

Just for the heck of it:



Republicans: 302
Democrats: 236
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Goodwin
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« Reply #3656 on: May 28, 2013, 02:20:52 pm »

2012


Barack Obama (D-IL) / Joe Biden (D-DE) 405 (55.9%)
Ron Paul (R-TX) / Gary Johnson (R-NM) 133 (42.8%)
Others 0 (1.3%)
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Marxist-Cornpopist Thought
SawxDem
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« Reply #3657 on: May 28, 2013, 07:38:03 pm »

A tentative prediction of the 2016 swing states.   Any thoughts? 



No legitimate reason to believe that Michigan or Minnesota will be swing states. Also, Arizona should be a swing state. Finally, it depends on the candidates- with Hillary, Schweitzer, and Christie on the tickets, Arkansas, Montana, and New Jersey are all swing states. Without any of them, the only one that could potentially be a swing state is Montana and that's only in a race where the Dem candidate gets 350+ EVs.

I'll add Martinez and New Mexico to the category of "ticket swing states". Her approvals are very high and could flip there too. Other than that, you said everything perfectly.

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PolitiJunkie
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« Reply #3658 on: May 28, 2013, 08:30:33 pm »

A tentative prediction of the 2016 swing states.   Any thoughts? 



No legitimate reason to believe that Michigan or Minnesota will be swing states. Also, Arizona should be a swing state. Finally, it depends on the candidates- with Hillary, Schweitzer, and Christie on the tickets, Arkansas, Montana, and New Jersey are all swing states. Without any of them, the only one that could potentially be a swing state is Montana and that's only in a race where the Dem candidate gets 350+ EVs.

I'll add Martinez and New Mexico to the category of "ticket swing states". Her approvals are very high and could flip there too. Other than that, you said everything perfectly.



Definitely- those were just examples. I'd say there is a 60% chance of NM going R if Martinez is the presidential nominee, and a 15% chance of NM going R if Martinez is the VP nominee. I'm sure there are a couple of other ticket swing states I am forgetting, but those are all with less likely Presidential/VP nominees (Evan Bayh, Susan Collins, a popular, moderate/conservative southern Democrat, etc.)
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DKrol
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« Reply #3659 on: May 28, 2013, 08:55:36 pm »



Mayor Rudy Giuliani (NY)/ former Governor Paul Cellucci (MA) - 341
Senator Hillary Clinton (NY)/ Senator Evan Bayh (IN) - 197
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PolitiJunkie
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« Reply #3660 on: May 28, 2013, 09:22:44 pm »



Mayor Rudy Giuliani (NY)/ former Governor Paul Cellucci (MA) - 341
Senator Hillary Clinton (NY)/ Senator Evan Bayh (IN) - 197

I don't know about that...
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Emperor Charles V
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« Reply #3661 on: May 29, 2013, 08:37:18 am »

2000

Gore / Lieberman vs. Pataki / McCain

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NHI
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« Reply #3662 on: May 29, 2013, 10:16:35 pm »

Republican: 304 (50.1%)
Democrat: 234 (48.3%)

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Emperor Charles V
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« Reply #3663 on: May 30, 2013, 07:17:09 am »
« Edited: May 30, 2013, 07:22:35 am by Emperor Charles V »

Republican: 304 (50.1%)
Democrat: 234 (48.3%)

This looks almost exactly like my Torrey vs. Caldero 2068 matchup!
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Consciously Unconscious
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« Reply #3664 on: May 30, 2013, 12:54:51 pm »

Another random map.

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Endy
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« Reply #3665 on: May 30, 2013, 02:09:02 pm »


I was about to say Fallin/Huntsman, but Vermont stumps me greatly...... IDK!
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Emperor Charles V
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« Reply #3666 on: May 30, 2013, 03:23:58 pm »


I was about to say Fallin/Huntsman, but Vermont stumps me greatly...... IDK!

Fallin / Huntsman with a pledge to make Bernie Sanders the Supreme Ruler of the Americas.
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Emperor Charles V
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« Reply #3667 on: May 30, 2013, 06:34:34 pm »

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badgate
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« Reply #3668 on: May 31, 2013, 12:43:48 am »


I was about to say Fallin/Huntsman, but Vermont stumps me greatly...... IDK!

Fallin / Huntsman with a pledge to make Bernie Sanders the Supreme Ruler of the Americas.


...and DC goes to Fallin because she makes a strong statehood pledge.
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Marxist-Cornpopist Thought
SawxDem
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« Reply #3669 on: May 31, 2013, 01:26:38 am »


Landrieu/Freudenthal vs. Kirk/Ayotte? No real idea about this one.
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Emperor Charles V
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« Reply #3670 on: May 31, 2013, 11:00:35 am »


Actually it's a Democratic win in 2050. Good guess though.
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NHI
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« Reply #3671 on: May 31, 2013, 12:36:05 pm »

Republican: 302 (50%)
Democrat: 236 (48%)

Democrat: 269 (49%)
Republican: 269 (49%)

Republican: 301 (52%)
Democrat: 237 (46%)

Democrat: 273 (49%)
Republican: 265 (48%)
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Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #3672 on: June 01, 2013, 10:47:58 am »

1968:


Robert F. Kennedy/Hubert Humphrey (D)-44.8%
Richard M. Nixon/Spiro Agnew (R)-41.3%
George C. Wallace/Curtis LeMay (AI)-13.5%
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NHI
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« Reply #3673 on: June 01, 2013, 10:54:39 am »

Democrat: 538 (88.63%)
Republican: 0 (10.05%)
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Emperor Charles V
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« Reply #3674 on: June 01, 2013, 04:49:53 pm »
« Edited: June 01, 2013, 04:51:34 pm by Emperor Charles V »

Democrat: 538 (88.63%)
Republican: 0 (10.05%)

FDR and Kennedy both come back from the dead. The 22nd Amendment is repealed and the minimum age to be President/VP is lowered to 30. Then...

FDR / John F. Kennedy (Democrat) - 538 EV
John Boehner / Britney Spears (Republican) - 0 EV
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