Post random maps here
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 06:56:54 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 142 143 144 145 146 [147] 148 149 150 151 152 ... 238
Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 979890 times)
PolitiJunkie
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,124


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3650 on: May 28, 2013, 08:30:33 PM »

A tentative prediction of the 2016 swing states.   Any thoughts? 



No legitimate reason to believe that Michigan or Minnesota will be swing states. Also, Arizona should be a swing state. Finally, it depends on the candidates- with Hillary, Schweitzer, and Christie on the tickets, Arkansas, Montana, and New Jersey are all swing states. Without any of them, the only one that could potentially be a swing state is Montana and that's only in a race where the Dem candidate gets 350+ EVs.

I'll add Martinez and New Mexico to the category of "ticket swing states". Her approvals are very high and could flip there too. Other than that, you said everything perfectly.



Definitely- those were just examples. I'd say there is a 60% chance of NM going R if Martinez is the presidential nominee, and a 15% chance of NM going R if Martinez is the VP nominee. I'm sure there are a couple of other ticket swing states I am forgetting, but those are all with less likely Presidential/VP nominees (Evan Bayh, Susan Collins, a popular, moderate/conservative southern Democrat, etc.)
Logged
DKrol
dkrolga
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,542


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3651 on: May 28, 2013, 08:55:36 PM »



Mayor Rudy Giuliani (NY)/ former Governor Paul Cellucci (MA) - 341
Senator Hillary Clinton (NY)/ Senator Evan Bayh (IN) - 197
Logged
PolitiJunkie
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,124


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3652 on: May 28, 2013, 09:22:44 PM »



Mayor Rudy Giuliani (NY)/ former Governor Paul Cellucci (MA) - 341
Senator Hillary Clinton (NY)/ Senator Evan Bayh (IN) - 197

I don't know about that...
Logged
Emperor Charles V
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 554
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -6.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3653 on: May 29, 2013, 08:37:18 AM »

2000

Gore / Lieberman vs. Pataki / McCain

Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3654 on: May 29, 2013, 10:16:35 PM »

Republican: 304 (50.1%)
Democrat: 234 (48.3%)

Logged
Emperor Charles V
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 554
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -6.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3655 on: May 30, 2013, 07:17:09 AM »
« Edited: May 30, 2013, 07:22:35 AM by Emperor Charles V »

Republican: 304 (50.1%)
Democrat: 234 (48.3%)

This looks almost exactly like my Torrey vs. Caldero 2068 matchup!
Logged
Consciously Unconscious
Liberty Republican
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,453
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3656 on: May 30, 2013, 12:54:51 PM »

Another random map.

Logged
Enderman
Jack Enderman
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,380
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3657 on: May 30, 2013, 02:09:02 PM »


I was about to say Fallin/Huntsman, but Vermont stumps me greatly...... IDK!
Logged
Emperor Charles V
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 554
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -6.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3658 on: May 30, 2013, 03:23:58 PM »


I was about to say Fallin/Huntsman, but Vermont stumps me greatly...... IDK!

Fallin / Huntsman with a pledge to make Bernie Sanders the Supreme Ruler of the Americas.
Logged
Emperor Charles V
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 554
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -6.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3659 on: May 30, 2013, 06:34:34 PM »

Logged
badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3660 on: May 31, 2013, 12:43:48 AM »


I was about to say Fallin/Huntsman, but Vermont stumps me greatly...... IDK!

Fallin / Huntsman with a pledge to make Bernie Sanders the Supreme Ruler of the Americas.


...and DC goes to Fallin because she makes a strong statehood pledge.
Logged
Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,094
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3661 on: May 31, 2013, 01:26:38 AM »


Landrieu/Freudenthal vs. Kirk/Ayotte? No real idea about this one.
Logged
Emperor Charles V
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 554
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -6.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3662 on: May 31, 2013, 11:00:35 AM »


Actually it's a Democratic win in 2050. Good guess though.
Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3663 on: May 31, 2013, 12:36:05 PM »

Republican: 302 (50%)
Democrat: 236 (48%)

Democrat: 269 (49%)
Republican: 269 (49%)

Republican: 301 (52%)
Democrat: 237 (46%)

Democrat: 273 (49%)
Republican: 265 (48%)
Logged
Peter the Lefty
Peternerdman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,506
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3664 on: June 01, 2013, 10:47:58 AM »

1968:


Robert F. Kennedy/Hubert Humphrey (D)-44.8%
Richard M. Nixon/Spiro Agnew (R)-41.3%
George C. Wallace/Curtis LeMay (AI)-13.5%
Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3665 on: June 01, 2013, 10:54:39 AM »

Democrat: 538 (88.63%)
Republican: 0 (10.05%)
Logged
Emperor Charles V
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 554
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -6.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3666 on: June 01, 2013, 04:49:53 PM »
« Edited: June 01, 2013, 04:51:34 PM by Emperor Charles V »

Democrat: 538 (88.63%)
Republican: 0 (10.05%)

FDR and Kennedy both come back from the dead. The 22nd Amendment is repealed and the minimum age to be President/VP is lowered to 30. Then...

FDR / John F. Kennedy (Democrat) - 538 EV
John Boehner / Britney Spears (Republican) - 0 EV
Logged
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,896
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3667 on: June 01, 2013, 05:20:39 PM »

Democrat: 538 (88.63%)
Republican: 0 (10.05%)

Clinton/Schweitzer run unopposed in most states, with only perennial challengers on the ballot in several states. Polarization of the electorate prevents Clinton from hitting 60% in extreme Republican states, and reaching 90% overall.

Clinton/Schweitzer: 538 (88.63%)
Assorted Perennial Candidates/Assorted Perennial Candidates: 0 (10.05%)
Logged
Peter the Lefty
Peternerdman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,506
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3668 on: June 01, 2013, 06:14:55 PM »

American Parliamentary election, 1964


Liberal Party (Lyndon B. Johnson)
Conservative Party (Richard Nixon)
Labor Party (Hubert Humphrey)
American National Movement (Richard B. Russel) (green on the map)
Logged
Emperor Charles V
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 554
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -6.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3669 on: June 02, 2013, 12:14:15 AM »

American Parliamentary election, 1964


Liberal Party (Lyndon B. Johnson)
Conservative Party (Richard Nixon)
Labor Party (Hubert Humphrey)
American National Movement (Richard B. Russel) (green on the map)

This looks cool. Is this for an American Kingdom?
Logged
Consciously Unconscious
Liberty Republican
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,453
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3670 on: June 04, 2013, 10:29:14 AM »



A week before the election, the Democratic nominee is caught in sixteen sex scandals, over thirty cases of fraud, is secretly a Muslim terrorist who was behind every attack on America in the last fifty years, and is caught eating children. 
Logged
badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3671 on: June 04, 2013, 02:56:11 PM »

AW, c'mon Vermont!
Logged
Consciously Unconscious
Liberty Republican
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,453
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3672 on: June 04, 2013, 03:03:01 PM »

The Green party runs a strong campaign in Vermont and D.C., causing a narrow Democratic win. 
Logged
Goldwater
Republitarian
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,063
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.55, S: -4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3673 on: June 04, 2013, 10:17:18 PM »

The Green party runs a strong campaign in Vermont and D.C., causing a narrow Democratic win. 

How the fudge does the Green Party take away votes from Republicans?
Logged
Consciously Unconscious
Liberty Republican
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,453
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3674 on: June 05, 2013, 06:05:18 AM »

The Green party runs a strong campaign in Vermont and D.C., causing a narrow Democratic win. 

How the fudge does the Green Party take away votes from Republicans?

The democratic nominee is from Vermont, for d.c. statehood, but hates everyone else. 
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 142 143 144 145 146 [147] 148 149 150 151 152 ... 238  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.144 seconds with 10 queries.