UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)
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Author Topic: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)  (Read 175515 times)
morgieb
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« Reply #1000 on: May 08, 2015, 02:44:48 AM »
Losing Morley & Outwood is balls.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1001 on: May 08, 2015, 02:46:56 AM »
Quote from: Jöë Rëpüblïc on May 08, 2015, 02:38:43 AM
Why is Thanet South so slow to declare?  Did they hire a bunch of lazy immigrants to count the votes or something?

I'm having flashbacks to this Twitter hashtag from three years ago:

https://twitter.com/search?q=%23thingsfasterthannvgop&src=typd
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YL
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« Reply #1002 on: May 08, 2015, 02:50:49 AM »
Yes, to be honest Balls had become a liability and if Labour were going to lose some seats to the Tories, it was for the best that that was one of them.

Is it currently 10 Lab gains from Con and 7 going the other way?  I might have missed one or two, but it's clear that Labour simply didn't perform in the marginals, and that then the Lib Dem collapse has given the Tories a narrow majority.

Cable losing was the biggest shock for me.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #1003 on: May 08, 2015, 02:58:10 AM »
Quote from: YL on May 08, 2015, 02:50:49 AM
Yes, to be honest Balls had become a liability and if Labour were going to lose some seats to the Tories, it was for the best that that was one of them.

Is it currently 10 Lab gains from Con and 7 going the other way?  I might have missed one or two, but it's clear that Labour simply didn't perform in the marginals, and that then the Lib Dem collapse has given the Tories a narrow majority.

Cable losing was the biggest shock for me.

There are some aspects of 1987 about this result with first-term Conservative incumbents boosting their majorities (although most of those boosted majorities collapsed again in 1992).

There are also aspects of 1992 with a tiny and unexpected Conservative majority with a large loony right on the backbenches and a lot of things coming up in the future that can go wrong (massive spending cuts that the Tories avoided talking about during the campaign, an EU membership referendum souring relations with the rest of Europe, and the Scottish problem).

#clutchingatstraws
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Erc
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« Reply #1004 on: May 08, 2015, 03:01:33 AM »
CON gain Derby North.  Is this a big surprise?
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Erc
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« Reply #1005 on: May 08, 2015, 03:05:15 AM »
Any chance for the Lib Dems to hold on in any of Berwick-upon-Tweed, St Ives, or Wells?
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #1006 on: May 08, 2015, 03:07:15 AM »
The sitting MP in Wells has unofficially admitted defeat; the other two seats only begin counting this morning.
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YL
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« Reply #1007 on: May 08, 2015, 03:07:31 AM »
Quote from: Erc on May 08, 2015, 03:05:15 AM
Any chance for the Lib Dems to hold on in any of Berwick-upon-Tweed, St Ives, or Wells?

IMO St Ives is unlikely and the other two are even less promising.
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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #1008 on: May 08, 2015, 03:09:55 AM »
It'll be interesting to see how the Cabinet changes now that the coalition is done. I wonder where they'll put Boris.
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #1009 on: May 08, 2015, 03:22:18 AM »
If you think about the Lib Dems and the Tories as one homogeneous bloc, they technically did 'lose' seats. While that is an incredibly terrible way to think about British politics, it seems that at least in some sense, there's some rebuff to the current government?

As ObserverIE said, clutching at straws...
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Erc
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« Reply #1010 on: May 08, 2015, 03:25:59 AM »
CON hold in Bedford.  This makes 331 CON less ludicrous than it was earlier, though still unlikely on balance.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1011 on: May 08, 2015, 03:32:53 AM »
Quote from: Erc on May 08, 2015, 03:01:33 AM
CON gain Derby North.  Is this a big surprise?

No, the majority was small and it was won on a low share of the vote in 2010.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1012 on: May 08, 2015, 03:34:13 AM »
Quote from: Citizen (The) Doctor on May 08, 2015, 03:22:18 AM
If you think about the Lib Dems and the Tories as one homogeneous bloc, they technically did 'lose' seats. While that is an incredibly terrible way to think about British politics, it seems that at least in some sense, there's some rebuff to the current government?

It isn't unreasonable to suggest that the LibDems functioned as a lightening rod and/or human shield for the Tories in the last parliament.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1013 on: May 08, 2015, 03:36:24 AM »
Labour hold Halifax. lmao.
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jfern
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« Reply #1014 on: May 08, 2015, 03:40:50 AM »
Pretty impressive result for the SNP.
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Zinneke
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« Reply #1015 on: May 08, 2015, 03:47:49 AM »

I'll call Nick Robinson to say he's facing a potential challenge from over the Atlantic.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #1016 on: May 08, 2015, 03:57:30 AM »
Well, the only consolation I can take from that one is that we increased our national vote share and Galloway lost.
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« Reply #1017 on: May 08, 2015, 03:59:50 AM »
I'm guessing St Ives will be last because of the Isles of Scilly right?
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afleitch
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« Reply #1018 on: May 08, 2015, 04:23:55 AM »
If the Tories get a majority then it puts to bed braying at the SNP for making it happen. If Labour held every seat in Scotland it lost to the SNP it wouldn't have made a blind bit of difference.

Otherwise very pleased that my October prediction was right and that my example seat of Bolton West was a Tory gain.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #1019 on: May 08, 2015, 04:32:11 AM »
Thanet South being declared!
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MalaspinaGold
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« Reply #1020 on: May 08, 2015, 04:33:33 AM »
Wow Nigel is drunk...
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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #1021 on: May 08, 2015, 04:34:45 AM »
Farage loses!
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #1022 on: May 08, 2015, 04:37:49 AM »
« Edited: May 08, 2015, 04:40:20 AM by London Man »
Quote from: afleitch on May 08, 2015, 04:23:55 AM
If the Tories get a majority then it puts to bed braying at the SNP for making it happen. If Labour held every seat in Scotland it lost to the SNP it wouldn't have made a blind bit of difference.

If the SNP hadn't been polling as well as they did, I suspect a good number of floating voters in England might have gone to Labour.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1023 on: May 08, 2015, 04:40:27 AM »
Where now for UKIP I wonder?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #1024 on: May 08, 2015, 04:43:27 AM »

What is Robert Kilroy-Silk doing nowadays anyway? Cheesy
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