AZ-PPP: Walker/Rubio/Bush & Clinton ahead

[Tender Branson]

(Republicans) Given the choices of Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike
Huckabee, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco
Rubio, and Scott Walker, who would you most
like to see as the GOP candidate for President
in 2016?

Scott Walker ................................................... 16%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 14%
Jeb Bush......................................................... 14%
Ben Carson..................................................... 11%
Rand Paul ....................................................... 11%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 9%
Chris Christie .................................................. 5%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 5%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 2%
Not sure .......................................................... 12%

(Democrats) Given the choices of Lincoln
Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, Bernie
Sanders, and Jim Webb who would you most
like to see as the Democratic candidate for
President in 2016?

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 58%
Bernie Sanders ............................................... 16%
Lincoln Chafee................................................ 5%
Jim Webb........................................................ 5%
Martin O'Malley............................................... 4%
Not sure .......................................................... 12%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/05/clinton-close-to-most-republicans-in-arizona.html

[Ebsy]

What a mess for the Republicans.

[Gallium]

Chafeementum!

[Skye]

Sandersmentum?

[Bull Moose Base]

Sandersmentum?

He has as much support as any Republican.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Chafeementum!

[IceSpear]

LOL at Chafee beating O'Malley.

[Eraserhead]

Can't wait for Ben Carson to start taking leads in these polls. You know it's coming

[Türkisblau]

Webb at 5%? I'll take it.

[Mr. Morden]

On the GOP side, who leads among...?

moderates: Bush
somewhat conservative: Rubio
very conservative: Walker
men: Walker
women: Carson
age 18-45: Paul
age 46-65: Walker
age 65+: Walker

[WVdemocrat]

Webb at 5%? I'll take it.

And I'll take O'Malley at 4%! That's, like, four times the support he normally gets in these polls.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Webb at 5%? I'll take it.

And I'll take O'Malley at 4%! That's, like, four times the support he normally gets in these polls.

I was amazed at how well the bottom 3 were doing. Chafee at 5%?!? 16% for Bernie in Arizona is excellent especially when 50% of people didn't have an opinion of him.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Webb at 5%? I'll take it.

And I'll take O'Malley at 4%! That's, like, four times the support he normally gets in these polls.

I was amazed at how well the bottom 3 were doing. Chafee at 5%?!? 16% for Bernie in Arizona is excellent especially when 50% of people didn't have an opinion of him.

Yep. Hillary might just be beatable in the primary..

[Gallium]

Webb at 5%? I'll take it.

And I'll take O'Malley at 4%! That's, like, four times the support he normally gets in these polls.

I was amazed at how well the bottom 3 were doing. Chafee at 5%?!? 16% for Bernie in Arizona is excellent especially when 50% of people didn't have an opinion of him.

Yep. Hillary might just be beatable in the primary..

Wishful thinking.

There's still obviously an "Anyone But Hillary" contingent (which would be true for any non-incumbent candidate),  but it's not big enough to provide an opening for another candidate to win like it was 8 years ago. At the beginning of 2007 Clinton's support started at around 33% and although it rose and fell it never went below that floor. Every single poll - perhaps a couple of outliers aside - shows her support now is consistently above 50%. Her floor is the majority of Democrats.

[IceSpear]

Webb at 5%? I'll take it.

And I'll take O'Malley at 4%! That's, like, four times the support he normally gets in these polls.

I was amazed at how well the bottom 3 were doing. Chafee at 5%?!? 16% for Bernie in Arizona is excellent especially when 50% of people didn't have an opinion of him.

Yep. Hillary might just be beatable in the primary..

Yes, that measly 42 point deficit...

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Webb at 5%? I'll take it.

And I'll take O'Malley at 4%! That's, like, four times the support he normally gets in these polls.

I was amazed at how well the bottom 3 were doing. Chafee at 5%?!? 16% for Bernie in Arizona is excellent especially when 50% of people didn't have an opinion of him.

Yep. Hillary might just be beatable in the primary..

Yes, that measly 42 point deficit...

But, once people learn about the four horsemen of the apoc-election, they'll surely abandon Hillary just like '08.

Seriously through, a 16% showing for Sanders with only about half the respondents having an opinion is pretty good. I'm guessing that he's breaking 20% in NH (we need a Warren-less poll).

[IceSpear]

These crosstabs are always fun:

- Chafee supporters love Webb
- The favor is not returned however, as Webb supporters hate Chafee
- Nearly everyone dislikes O'Malley besides his own supporters
- Everyone likes Sanders
- Clinton and Webb supporters have Sanders as their second choice, the rest have Clinton
- Hillary does way better with liberals than with moderates (but muh conventional wisdom!)