PEI General Election 2015

[RogueBeaver]

Election call Monday. McLauchlin said E-Day will be before Mother's Day.

[the506]

Definitely May 4th. It's the only day before Mothers Day that fits the minimum campaign length and the requirement that all elections be on a Monday.

Right after MacLauchlan took office, they were blindsided by the e-gaming scandal:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/small-island-big-bet-how-pei-lost-its-online-gambling-gamble/article23237214/

No polls since then, so we can't measure the political impact yet. The most recent poll from February (http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/liberal-lead-holding-on-p-e-i-poll-1.2981184) had the Liberals leading 58-26. Don't expect many during the campaign either. It's a tiny province.

[DC Al Fine]

Definitely May 4th. It's the only day before Mothers Day that fits the minimum campaign length and the requirement that all elections be on a Monday.

Right after MacLauchlan took office, they were blindsided by the e-gaming scandal:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/small-island-big-bet-how-pei-lost-its-online-gambling-gamble/article23237214/

No polls since then, so we can't measure the political impact yet. The most recent poll from February (http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/liberal-lead-holding-on-p-e-i-poll-1.2981184) had the Liberals leading 58-26. Don't expect many during the campaign either. It's a tiny province.

Indeed. PEI resembles national campaigns from the 50's. Two polls all campaign and no one has any idea what's going on.

[DC Al Fine]

FTR I predict status quo. Liberals win a majority and the Tories hold 1-5 seats.

[Hatman 🍁]

Election called for May 5.

[the506]

May 4th actually. Gave MacLauchlan a reason to make a bunch of gratuitous Star Wars references in his speech.

[Hatman 🍁]

Oh, Alberta will be the 5th, I think.

[Zanas]

Guys, I know we're on one of the geekier boards on an already quite geeky forum, but could you at least be bothered to develop the acronym "PEI" at least once in the OP, I dunno ? Oh and maybe write 2 or 3 lines on what's the election gonna be about ? There are a few ignorant kids around, even around here.

[Sol]

PEI is Prince Edward Island.

[Zanas]

PEI is Prince Edward Island.

Yeah, thanks, I happen to know that. I meant that not everybody necessarily knows that, and it could be good to explain in a few lines where it is, and what their political scene is like. Oh well...

[Hatman 🍁]

If you don't know what PEI stands for, then this is not a thread that is going to interest you in the least.

Besides, who hasn't heard of PEI? Isn't Anne of Green Gables one of the most famous book series ever?

[DC Al Fine]

PEI is Prince Edward Island.

Yeah, thanks, I happen to know that. I meant that not everybody necessarily knows that, and it could be good to explain in a few lines where it is, and what their political scene is like. Oh well...

It's a very small island. Their politics revolve around centrist consensus and patronage. Their elections aren't really exciting except the winners tend to win huge majorities because the electorate is so uniform.

[the506]

This is how predictable PEI politics is: the last 3 governments have been voted out on exactly their 4th election.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/elections/prince-edward-island-votes/p-e-i-election-a-50-year-tradition-on-the-line-1.3023495

[Hatman 🍁]

[Boston Bread]

More useful might be the provincial election results:



It shows how much of a 2-party state PEI is. The NDP didn't run candidates in half the ridings. Hopefully the NDP is better prepared this time. (I don't really mind the Liberals, but I tend to not like political dynasties) It'll be a miracle if they form official opposition but they are nonetheless polling at record levels (10-20%).

[Hatman 🍁]

Anyone can go to Wikipedia and find that map, but I spent the better part of the day calculating mine (BTW, the Wikipedia map is mine too, or at least uses the same outline)

I wanted to see if the federal NDP won any ridings in Charlottetown, but they alas did not. They came pretty close in Charlottetown-Victoria Park though,

[adma]

I wanted to see if the federal NDP won any ridings in Charlottetown, but they alas did not. They came pretty close in Charlottetown-Victoria Park though,

They probably did so in 1997.

[Hatman 🍁]

I wanted to see if the federal NDP won any ridings in Charlottetown, but they alas did not. They came pretty close in Charlottetown-Victoria Park though,

They probably did so in 1997.

Doesn't look like their support was concentrated enough, actually.

[adma]

They probably did so in 1997.

Doesn't look like their support was concentrated enough, actually.

Again: 1997.  Not 2011.  Back when Alexamania lifted Dody Crane's ship.

[Hatman 🍁]

They probably did so in 1997.

Doesn't look like their support was concentrated enough, actually.

Again: 1997.  Not 2011.  Back when Alexamania lifted Dody Crane's ship.

Yes, I know. I looked at the poll map.

[Joe Republic]

I get why the Francophone area (forget what it's called right now) in the south west would vote heavily Liberal in the provincial election, but why did it go Tory in the federal election?

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

A poll from the end of February suggests that it would be 58-26-12-4% (Liberals, Tories, NDP, Greens).

The last time, the Liberals won in a blow out, but the Tories at least had a higher share of the vote. I wouldn't want to be a Tory in a bit under a month, that's for sure. I doubt NDP will pick up a seat, but they might come close in Charlottetown.

Note: Despite my avatar, I have never even been to PEI. I chose it because my great-grandfather was from there and no one else was using here on Atlas Forum.

[Hatman 🍁]

I get why the Francophone area (forget what it's called right now) in the south west would vote heavily Liberal in the provincial election, but why did it go Tory in the federal election?

Popular MP/cabinet minister. That riding is called Evangeline-Miscouche.

Despite the Conservatives winning just one riding in PEI, they won the popular vote by winning Egmont by a large margin, while being somewhat competitive in the other three ridings.

[Boston Bread]

The NDP have a full slate (unlike 2011), as do the Libs and PCs.
Still waiting on the first poll.

[Hatman 🍁]

The Greens are running a near full slate. First time in three elections where the NDP is running more candidates than the Greens.