MT-Gravis: All Republicans ahead of Hillary

[Tender Branson]

49-35 Bush/Clinton
48-38 Paul/Clinton
49-37 Walker/Clinton
50-33 Christie/Clinton
50-33 Huckabee/Clinton

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-montana-polling-2/

[MT Treasurer]

Glorious news! At least MT will be safe GOP. Wasn't Hillary supposed to be competitive there against "the GOP clown car"? And this poll was conducted even before E-Mailgate, though I doubt that her numbers have changed much since then.

[retromike22]

Oh no 3 whole electoral votes!

[IceSpear]

Not like it matters since MT isn't a competitive state, but this poll is still junk.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The Mountain West is not and never was kind to Hillary.  Ho hum. 

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

The Perot factor must have been HUGE in the mountain west in 1992. Clinton won Montana and lost Wyoming of all places by 5 points,  despite the Mountain West's anti Clinton voting patterns afterwards.

[DemPGH]

Montana is bet-the-house-sure NOT in play, not anymore than Connecticut and Vermont are, anyway. This all looks a lot like 2012 to me. I bet Arizona wouldn't really be in play for her either, at least not as long as the most populated part of the state is content with that psychotic sheriff.

"Hillary's losing Montana!!!!!" and "Hillary's under 60!!!!!!" is just cheerleading.

[MT Treasurer]

The Perot factor must have been HUGE in the mountain west in 1992. Clinton won Montana and lost Wyoming of all places by 5 points,  despite the Mountain West's anti Clinton voting patterns afterwards.

That's right, even though the Dems still believe that the Perot vote split 50-50 which is wrong. It helped elect Clinton by a larger margin.

Montana is bet-the-house-sure NOT in play, not anymore than Connecticut and Vermont are, anyway. This all looks a lot like 2012 to me. I bet Arizona wouldn't really be in play for her either, at least not as long as the most populated part of the state is content with that psychotic sheriff.

"Hillary's losing Montana!!!!!" and "Hillary's under 60!!!!!!" is just cheerleading.

Some Hillary supporters are still fantasizing about her winning this state against the "GOP clown car".

[Mr. Morden]

So Christie and Huck are the strongest here (if one were to take this poll seriously)?  Someone should make a map of which GOP candidate is the strongest in every state.

[Ebsy]

I think most Democrats fully realize Montana is either out of reach for Hillary Clinton or not worth the effort when resources can be allocated to states with far more electoral votes with a far more likely chance of victory.

[YaBoyNY]

The Perot factor must have been HUGE in the mountain west in 1992. Clinton won Montana and lost Wyoming of all places by 5 points,  despite the Mountain West's anti Clinton voting patterns afterwards.

That's right, even though the Dems still believe that the Perot vote split 50-50 which is wrong. It helped elect Clinton by a larger margin.

Nationally, it was likely closer to 50/50, though pikely more anti-Bush in the Mountain West.

[pbrower2a]

Montana became R when the ranch interests became more powerful than the mining interests. To be sure, the mine owners can be reactionary in the extreme, but miners have often been the most militant union members of all. Ranch owners must create a tolerable existence for ranch hands, supplying even housing; ranch hands are much more isolated from each other than are miners who might live in mass settlements (towns) and thus unreachable by union organizers. The rancher-hand relationship is more paternal than adversarial in labor-management issues.  

[Xing]

Some Hillary supporters are still fantasizing about her winning this state against the "GOP clown car".

I don't think anyone realistically expects her to win MT, unless the Republican nominee is Carson. Montana's about as much a swing state as Oregon.

[HAnnA MArin County]

The Perot factor must have been HUGE in the mountain west in 1992. Clinton won Montana and lost Wyoming of all places by 5 points,  despite the Mountain West's anti Clinton voting patterns afterwards.

That's right, even though the Dems still believe that the Perot vote split 50-50 which is wrong. It helped elect Clinton by a larger margin.

Montana is bet-the-house-sure NOT in play, not anymore than Connecticut and Vermont are, anyway. This all looks a lot like 2012 to me. I bet Arizona wouldn't really be in play for her either, at least not as long as the most populated part of the state is content with that psychotic sheriff.

"Hillary's losing Montana!!!!!" and "Hillary's under 60!!!!!!" is just cheerleading.

Some Hillary supporters are still fantasizing about her winning this state against the "GOP clown car".

I don't think any true Hillary supporter thinks she would win Montana, even against one of the loons, but they'd have to extremely looney like in the Carson/Palin tent.

[mds32]

If you go to 270towin it is the only state that Walker leads in at the moment.