Presidential Election 1992 State Polls Aggregate
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Author Topic: Presidential Election 1992 State Polls Aggregate  (Read 2294 times)
solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« on: March 13, 2015, 11:44:29 PM »
If this site had already existed in 1992, what would a State Polls Aggregate map have looked like on November 2?

Use the common shades of blue, red and green for the mean values safe, lean, slight, and tossup.
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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2015, 09:52:11 PM »
My suggestion:
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #2 on: March 19, 2015, 10:07:43 PM »
« Edited: August 10, 2022, 02:28:35 AM by MT Treasurer »
This is what the final CBS News State Polls Aggregate looked like:



This is my guess as to how it would have looked on Atlas:

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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #3 on: March 20, 2015, 03:05:47 PM »
Wow! There are some surprises in the CBS map:

New Jersey, Alaska, Wyoming, Alabama, Kansas, the Dakotas, Hawaii Huh
Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Colorado Huh
Virginia Huh
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
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« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2015, 04:07:35 PM »
Quote from: Landroo Lover on March 20, 2015, 03:05:47 PM
Wow! There are some surprises in the CBS map:

New Jersey, Alaska, Wyoming, Alabama, Kansas, the Dakotas, Hawaii Huh
Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Colorado Huh
Virginia Huh

Remember things were not as they are now. The only real surprise is Hawaii.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2015, 04:35:57 PM »
Quote from: tara gilesbie on March 21, 2015, 04:07:35 PM
Quote from: Landroo Lover on March 20, 2015, 03:05:47 PM
Wow! There are some surprises in the CBS map:

New Jersey, Alaska, Wyoming, Alabama, Kansas, the Dakotas, Hawaii Huh
Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Colorado Huh
Virginia Huh

Remember things were not as they are now. The only real surprise is Hawaii.

Hawaii always has a big incumbency bias. There were polls that showed Bush ahead in 2004, too. However, it is just too democratic to be competitive (even though a popular incumbent Republican president could carry it! Bush I and Bush II were both not popular when they ran for re-election).
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
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« Reply #6 on: March 21, 2015, 04:47:04 PM »
Quote from: IndyRep on March 21, 2015, 04:35:57 PM
Quote from: tara gilesbie on March 21, 2015, 04:07:35 PM
Quote from: Landroo Lover on March 20, 2015, 03:05:47 PM
Wow! There are some surprises in the CBS map:

New Jersey, Alaska, Wyoming, Alabama, Kansas, the Dakotas, Hawaii Huh
Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Colorado Huh
Virginia Huh

Remember things were not as they are now. The only real surprise is Hawaii.

Hawaii always has a big incumbency bias. There were polls that showed Bush ahead in 2004, too. However, it is just too democratic to be competitive (even though a popular incumbent Republican president could carry it! Bush I and Bush II were both not popular when they ran for re-election).

Yes, I remember close Hawaii polls in 2004. Very far off. I'm not sure if even a popular Republican incumbent could carry it anymore. The 1972 and 1984 elections were such ridiculous landslides and the Democratic Party in such dysfunction both times that they seem more like aversions to me.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #7 on: March 23, 2015, 02:30:48 PM »
Quote from: Landroo's little tantrum on March 20, 2015, 03:05:47 PM
Wow! There are some surprises in the CBS map:

New Jersey, Alaska, Wyoming, Alabama, Kansas, the Dakotas, Hawaii Huh
Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Colorado Huh
Virginia Huh

Most of those states were won by narrow margins.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: March 26, 2015, 03:34:28 PM »
I've found the 1996 State Polls Aggregate:


LOL at Georgia and Nevada.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #9 on: March 27, 2015, 12:56:20 PM »
I recall from "War Room" that the Clinton/Gore 92 team had them leading in 9/10 largest states on election day. I guess TX was the one that wasnt, but Bush did carry FL.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #10 on: March 27, 2015, 05:00:46 PM »
It is crazy to think that Virginia and NC voted against a southern baptist bubba. Yet voted for a black guy with the middle name Hussein.
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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #11 on: March 27, 2015, 09:10:15 PM »
Had the Nebraska/Maine districts been at issue at any one time?
IIRC, those two states started to split back then in 1992.
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