Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton leads Republicans by 3-10 points

[Mr. Morden]

Quinnipiac national poll:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2172

Clinton 46%
Christie 39%

Clinton 47%
Paul 41%

Clinton 47%
Huckabee 40%

Clinton 45%
Bush 42%

Clinton 46%
Rubio 41%

Clinton 48%
Walker 39%

Clinton 48%
Cruz 38%

[Mr. Morden]

fav/unfav %:

Rubio 30/22% for +8%
Clinton 48/45% for +3%
Huckabee 34/32% for +2%
Paul 31/31% for +/-0
Walker 23/24% for -1%
Bush 34/40% for -6%
Cruz 23/29% for -6%
Christie 32/39% for -7%

[Mr. Morden]

And Christie, despite all his problems, *STILL* gets more Democratic support in the GE matchup than any of the other Republicans do in their matchups with Clinton.

In Christie vs. Clinton, Christie gets 7% of Democrats.  Huckabee gets the next most crossover support, at 5%.  Cruz only gets 2%.  But Christie is especially weak with his own party, so that's why he loses to Clinton by 7 points, while some of the other candidates do better.

[Free Bird]

It's narrowing...

[Devils30]

This is the first poll with Bush doing better than the rest, outlier or not we will see. The R+3 party ID in this sample is a joke too.

[IceSpear]

So Hillary leads Jeb by double digits in OH/PA (and even by a point in Florida), but only by three nationally? That's obviously impossible. They really need to fix their schizophrenic state/national divide.

[IceSpear]

Basically, all the people who view Clinton favorably are currently supporting her (48%). If her favorability numbers drop (which is likely), she is in trouble (assuming the GOP doesn't nominate a nutjob which I think it won't). The campaign hasn't even started and her favorability numbers are under 50%. Really not good news for her. Walker polling lower than Paul and Rubio is a surprise, though.

Why would her favorability drop more? The GOP has already gotten all the low hanging fruit that made her lose her ~65% favorability from 2012/2013.

[Xing]

There's no guarantee that her favorability will drop. It could go up. It is a bit surprising that she's only up by 3 against Bush, despite leading him by more in just about every swing state. It's sort of like 2012 polling.

[King]

Basically, all the people who view Clinton favorably are currently supporting her (48%). If her favorability numbers drop (which is likely), she is in trouble (assuming the GOP doesn't nominate a nutjob which I think it won't). The campaign hasn't even started and her favorability numbers are under 50%. Really not good news for her. Walker polling lower than Paul and Rubio is a surprise, though.

Why would her favorability drop more? The GOP has already gotten all the low hanging fruit that made her

Don't think so. The candidates of each party will find plenty more "dirty" stuff to attack their opponent once the campaign begins. It's already beginning to work with Walker and Clinton, their poll numbers are dropping.

Then they cancel out and we're left with the same result?

[m4567]

So Hillary leads Jeb by double digits in OH/PA (and even by a point in Florida), but only by three nationally? That's obviously impossible. They really need to fix their schizophrenic state/national divide.

It kind of reminds me of the Obama/Romney polls in 2011/2012. Obama was up in most or all of the key states, but often tied nationally.

[pbrower2a]

The Obama pattern of 2008 -- winning a raft of states by 9% or more (he won Iowa by a bit over 9% and that was the tipping-point state), but losing fewer states but mostly by huge margins.  Reagan-like margins in wins, but McGovern-like margins in losses.