NV-Gravis: Clinton leads Bush/Christie/Paul/Walker by 6-13 points

[Mr. Morden]

Gravis poll of Nevada:

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/02/26/first-look-scott-walker-leads-in-nevada-poll-jeb-performs-worst-against-hillary/

Clinton 49%
Walker 43%

Clinton 49%
Paul 42%

Clinton 47%
Christie 38%

Clinton 50%
Bush 37%

[King]

Nevada won't be contested by the Republican candidate.

[pbrower2a]

Gravis was close enough to conventional pollsters in Iowa that I can use it. Nevada got polled little for being a swing state in recent years. Under such circumstances beggars can't be choosers.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Another interesting fact from that poll:

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If that is the case, the GOP shouldn't ignore the Asian vote in 2016.

Too small subsample, hence enormous MoE.
Not even the teabaggers hate Obama so much.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

NV is a Lean Democratic state and at the very least Clinton will keep the 272 firewall going with a solid VP pick to help in CO or OH.

[IceSpear]

>Gravis

[Brittain33]

They're counting Sharron Angle.

[Xing]

Clinton 49%
Paul 42%

B-b-but, Paul was supposed to win Nevada!

[moderatevoter]

They also did a head-to-head of Hillary vs. Governor Sandoval.

Sandoval leads 46-43.

[bobloblaw]

Nevada won't be contested by the Republican candidate.

Then they wont win.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Nevada won't be contested by the Republican candidate.

Then they wont win.

I think it's possible for a Republican to win without Nevada, but the "Nevada curse" will probably strike again. They've picked the winner in the past 25 of 26 Presidential elections (voting for Gerald Ford over Jimmy Carter in 1976).

[Free Bird]

Nevada won't be contested by the Republican candidate.

I agree, but I fear that the GOP will contest NH again. Republicans should really give up on NH once and for all. They have a bigger chance of winning NV than they have winning NH.

All about the candidate, boys. Don't put money because of a poll over a year and a half before the fact

[Rockefeller GOP]

Nevada won't be contested by the Republican candidate.

I agree, but I fear that the GOP will contest NH again. Republicans should really give up on NH once and for all. They have a bigger chance of winning NV than they have winning NH.

Very much disagree.  NH is much more elastic.  Obama was a very good fit for the Northeast, and NH generally won't get behind a "fire breather."  A fully recovered Christie or Kasich could win it, IMO.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Nevada won't be contested by the Republican candidate.

I agree, but I fear that the GOP will contest NH again. Republicans should really give up on NH once and for all. They have a bigger chance of winning NV than they have winning NH.

Very much disagree.  NH is much more elastic.  Obama was a very good fit for the Northeast, and NH generally won't get behind a "fire breather."  A fully recovered Christie or Kasich could win it, IMO.

Perhaps, if Hillary's image gets tarnished and she becomes unpopular.  If the Republicans win convincingly by a margin or, say, 6%, nationwide, NH should be in their column.